TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-02-10?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$213,112
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$237,506

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $213,112 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 187 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8790…010bbacked Yes64c51,606$32,901 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,704.6521251.9%110 W · 102 L+14.3wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes60c19,267$11,642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,624.623435%82 W · 152 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No39c18,340$7,167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,167.53,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No31c12,468$3,803 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,802.828,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Yes60c10,562$6,337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,224.831349.8%156 W · 157 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes59c8,254$4,870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,384.1423354.9%128 W · 105 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No29c5,733$1,638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,637.615,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda9b…b2a9backed Yes60c5,730$3,438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,292.111050%5 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4d3…c2f0backed Yes74c5,617$4,184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,433.092254.5%12 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x68c9…b988backed Yes61c4,916$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,916.263100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+86.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No38c4,808$1,805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,805.291,98544.8%890 W · 1,095 L-44.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No38c4,501$1,715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,714.722,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No41c3,802$1,566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,566.128643%37 W · 49 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-4.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfec0…aeb9backed No41c3,154$1,293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,293.144153.7%22 W · 19 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb17e…22bebacked No8c2,280$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.796647%31 W · 35 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+26.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x62ca…1760backed No41c1,560$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$639.551010%1 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.23per pick33cpaid-77.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7447…c413backed Yes59c1,528$902 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$626.622744.4%12 W · 15 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-12.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb1ef…9fadbacked Yes61c1,405$857 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$547.9512354.5%67 W · 56 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e27…9967backed No7c1,157$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.991963.2%12 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick62cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d91…df18backed Yes60c1,054$633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421.757951.9%41 W · 38 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked No18c1,039$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.9913828.3%39 W · 99 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-1.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb06…4ababacked Yes61c1,005$613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.924055%22 W · 18 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2020…7e22backed No26c1,000$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.951010%1 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.21per pick31cpaid-84.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xedf9…5b10backed Yes58c999.99$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$420366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a92…6941backed Yes76c978.94$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.6114443.1%62 W · 82 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2420…ce7fbacked Yes58c966.39$558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.94633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-48.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4fba…1404backed Yes58c899.99$522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3781040%4 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-40.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd93b…cd48backed No42c855$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.17143.7%31 W · 40 L-7.8wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-20.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Yes59c845$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.4518742.2%79 W · 108 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked No43c830.06$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.418842%37 W · 51 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No8c800$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.5118129.8%54 W · 127 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-35.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No7c700$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4999259.1%586 W · 406 L+108.7wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+26.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xc3fc…5176backed No41c611.71$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.81618.8%3 W · 13 L-3.7wins-0.23per pick42cpaid-66%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No22c597.32$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.451,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No30c567.58$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.61,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb53…c50bbacked No14c549.91$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$754847.9%23 W · 25 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+34.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Yes77c539.66$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.1235758%207 W · 150 L+17.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+22.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed Yes72c510.18$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.8128651.7%148 W · 138 L+14.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3d3f…c7f3backed Yes78c494.29$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.811833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.5wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-28.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0bcf…75c6backed Yes61c491.8$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.82360.9%14 W · 9 L+2.7wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+4.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x04a7…164bbacked Yes59c490$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.94257.1%24 W · 18 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1dbf…7776backed Yes59c432.29$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.241747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No38c388.06$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.871,09155.6%607 W · 484 L-19.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed No39c350.57$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.6910846.3%50 W · 58 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc617…25e8backed Yes60c333.33$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.332458.3%14 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Yes60c333.33$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.3376951.5%396 W · 373 L-2.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x172d…6f3ebacked Yes61c330.03$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.039545.3%43 W · 52 L-6.9wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-16%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes78c304.51$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.271,66851.7%863 W · 805 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47c6…2fe4backed Yes60c300.54$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.541050%5 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Yes60c300$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12011245.5%51 W · 61 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes61c300$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11839127.1%106 W · 285 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No28c294.46$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.571,36244.9%611 W · 751 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa7f…3223backed Yes61c245.9$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.94953.1%26 W · 23 L+5.1wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+27.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc75c…86d0backed Yes60c245$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$984949%24 W · 25 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+12.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes59c227.5$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.2845253.1%240 W · 212 L+14.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x82af…f919backed Yes60c226$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.43253.1%17 W · 15 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc55d…9d2dbacked No39c205.13$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$804362.8%27 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick62cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed No39c200$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7717055.3%94 W · 76 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4300…5c69backed No40c200$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8012443.5%54 W · 70 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x96d9…18a0backed No45c197.78$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$891936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-26.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x73e6…d47cbacked Yes60c181.67$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.67333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No39c180$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.311459.6%68 W · 46 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes60c178.01$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.8181651.6%421 W · 395 L+12.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3036…15c2backed Yes58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.4113041.5%54 W · 76 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2344…6ba3backed No11c171.77$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.815940.7%24 W · 35 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaea3…7078backed Yes61c163.09$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.094271.4%30 W · 12 L+4.6wins+0.11per pick61cpaid+21.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No39c162$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.3719460.3%117 W · 77 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22cc…8aeabacked No40c154.19$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.1614954.4%81 W · 68 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56a8…3639backed Yes61c151$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.892458.3%14 W · 10 L+2.7wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+37.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x11f0…890dbacked Yes58c150$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+24.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1045…06c8backed Yes60c145$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$584856.3%27 W · 21 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+13.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed No39c138$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.137856.4%44 W · 34 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed No39c134$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.595160.8%31 W · 20 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick58cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1c5…c346backed Yes77c132.23$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.416100%6 W · 0 L+2.3wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+70.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No30c128.23$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.5481740.8%333 W · 484 L+20.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc05e…c64dbacked No39c127.36$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.6710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No40c114$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.552,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa106…5abbbacked Yes60c112.66$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.062450%12 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked No20c108$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.1232936.5%120 W · 209 L-10.0wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x890b…6afebacked Yes59c101.69$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.693100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+127.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc7dc…af80backed Yes60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401250%6 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-14%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f5f…46d8backed No20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed No39c100$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398457.1%48 W · 36 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick58cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e1c…e6aebacked Yes60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39fb…6d42backed No36c97.27$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick34cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x95ba…51ebbacked Yes76c97.09$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.3475%3 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick78cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d91…7e2ebacked No32c96.3$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.56425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-60.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x77b5…9170backed No39c94.99$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.215459.1%91 W · 63 L-0.6wins0.00per pick59cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f2c…ac5ebacked No40c94$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.61957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+39.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x15a2…5745backed No30c91.79$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.09850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-18.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc226…497dbacked Yes60c91.67$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.67366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20eb…9a09backed Yes60c84.28$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.05366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+31.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a98…0fc0backed Yes60c83.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x34e4…e1e1backed Yes61c81.97$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.97666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+18.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc49c…6dcabacked No40c80$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322045%9 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52b3…3a58backed No32c78$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.722920.7%6 W · 23 L-4.0wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-32.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x79fd…78cebacked Yes78c76.92$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.9217852.8%94 W · 84 L-0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3211…49e2backed Yes60c72.58$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.031233.3%4 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-17.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed No39c72$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.725151%26 W · 25 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed No38c72$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.725151%26 W · 25 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.