TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd1c5…c346

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
108
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: South American Leagues, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category South American Leagues at 58 out of 100; worst La Liga at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST3568.6%24 W · 11 L+4.0wins+0.11per pick57cpaid+13.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Lol — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+95.2%+$30.48
LoL: Cloud9 vs RED Canids - Game 4 Winnerbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$45.67
LoL: Cloud9 vs RED Canids (BO5) - Americas Cup Playoffsbacked RED Canids · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$55
Games Total: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+51.5%+$13.25
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+74.3%+$14.11
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+85.2%+$23.24
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 2 Winnerbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+38.9%+$9.34
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO5) - LCP Playoffsbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+58.1%+$6.39
LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs Ground Zero Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Ground Zero Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$204.75
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+66.4%+$102.86
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 4 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+66.7%+$61.97
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$64.06
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$30
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff Playoffsbacked Nongshim Esports Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+87.2%+$54.08
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs T1 Academy (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff Playoffsbacked T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+74.1%+$15.56
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+53.8%+$30.3
LoL: Gen.G vs BNK FEARX - Game 3 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$50.17
LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+100%+$20
LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$11
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winnerbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+59.9%+$36.57
LoL: TLN Pirates vs Vitality.Bee (BO1) - LFL Invitational Super Groupbacked TLN Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+59.7%+$19.85
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Oh My God - Game 1 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+67.5%+$89.24
LoL: Ground Zero Gaming vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO5) - LCP Playoffsbacked Deep Cross Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+44.7%+$16.1
LoL: Ground Zero Gaming vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Deep Cross Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+66.7%+$14.41
LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs Team Secret Whales (BO5) - LCP Playoffsbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+35.1%+$23.87
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST1258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$52.87
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+152.8%+$68.76
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$122.84
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+40.5%+$52.95
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+90.1%+$65.24
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$385Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$385.44
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$166Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+42.4%+$70.39
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$53
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$161Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+30.9%+$49.65
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+26.9%+$31.72
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+60.7%+$41.1
All 12 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST1258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: R2 Esports Club vs FOLHA AMARELA (BO3) - CCT South America Series #9 Playoffsbacked R2 Esports Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+88.7%+$34.12
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+102%+$21.43
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - PGL Bucharest: European Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$42.23
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs MOUZ NXT (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #16 Playoffsbacked MOUZ NXT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+130.1%+$29.91
Counter-Strike: NAVI Junior vs KUUSAMO.gg (BO3) - United21 Group Dbacked NAVI Junior · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+53.8%+$21.17
Counter-Strike: Galorys vs Imperial - Map 1 Winnerbacked Imperial · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$94.49
Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs TDK (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #16 Group Stagebacked MOUZ NXT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+42.7%+$37.23
Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs VP.Prodigy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #15 Group Stagebacked ASTRAL · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$35.17
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Krakow Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+41.1%+$19.65
Counter-Strike: FOLHA AMARELA vs Vasco Esports (BO3) - CCT South America Series #8 Group Stagebacked FOLHA AMARELA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$70
Counter-Strike: Nexus vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #15 Play-In Group Cbacked Nexus · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+26.9%+$15.69
Counter-Strike: magic vs Favbet (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #14 Playoffsbacked Favbet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$60
All 12 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST1050%5 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+75.4%+$8.95
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+98.3%+$24.96
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+95.9%+$128.63
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$62.17
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+38.9%+$64.23
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+203%+$44.67
Manchester United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$61
All 10 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.30per pick56cpaid+56.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick67cpaid+10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST6100%6 W · 0 L+2.3wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+70.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-66.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-55.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+74.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FK Crvena zvezda win on 2026-02-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+102%+$20.78
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-02-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+47.1%+$12.24
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+46.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+66.7%+$10.06
Will Al Riyadh Saudi Club win on 2026-02-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+26.6%+$10.21
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan vs. Parma Calcio 1913 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will AC Milan win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$52.99
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seattle Sounders FC vs. Colorado Rapids SC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+108.3%+$55.09
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.