TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Will FK Crvena zvezda win on 2026-02-19?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$192,366
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$231,022

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $192,366 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 170 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No59c27,748$16,329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,328.893,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No58c17,647$10,201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,201.112,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes15c8,435$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,134.856119.7%12 W · 49 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-31.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Yes16c8,267$1,323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,944.281643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+34.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26f8…3452backed Yes51c7,828$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,827.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+95.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Yes69c7,392$5,088 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,3045635.7%20 W · 36 L-6.2wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-27.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x8bd8…f306backed Yes17c5,000$850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,149.991533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid+1.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d3a…64b7backed Yes17c5,000$850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,149.98540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+57.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1947…02b4backed Yes16c3,640$589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,050.892050%10 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d1f…4965backed Yes16c3,074$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,582.22520%1 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick15cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes68c2,694$1,822 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$871.8776941.9%322 W · 447 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-24.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes18c2,392$431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,961.1926022.3%58 W · 202 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick21cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No39c2,302$890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$889.5144952.6%236 W · 213 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7fcc…e083backed Yes18c2,222$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,822.221353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+46.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3c5b…0584backed Yes15c2,000$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7001450%7 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+46.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes48c1,889$915 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$973.5512868%87 W · 41 L+9.5wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+18.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes15c1,740$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,478.938247.1%180 W · 202 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No56c1,615$898 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$897.97851.3%40 W · 38 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0e3…dd00backed Yes47c1,563$732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$830.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+113.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Yes15c1,500$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,27521925.6%56 W · 163 L+0.7wins0.00per pick25cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf24…15ecbacked No51c1,430$729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$729.092828.6%8 W · 20 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb22a…8e6cbacked Yes16c1,250$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,050728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.22per pick51cpaid+9.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Yes17c999.99$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$829.9937926.1%99 W · 280 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0cd1…18c3backed Yes48c996.98$479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$518.43540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-23.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbfe…409abacked Yes45c895.76$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$495.762100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+106%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x65b6…8b4cbacked Yes15c840.47$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$714.4250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick21cpaid+233.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed No48c818.26$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.755234.6%18 W · 34 L-0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid+10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Yes45c784$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.191250%6 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-21%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2269…6233backed Yes75c749.93$561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.96250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-33.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdfc0…eb3cbacked Yes23c739.47$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569.47560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+57.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x17cb…3ab8backed Yes15c667$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$566.951457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+32.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed No48c647.08$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.046950.7%35 W · 34 L+0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad19…a7adbacked Yes18c555.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.561241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+29.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x85c6…367dbacked Yes18c555.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.561936.8%7 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+20.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0bae…55b5backed Yes19c526.32$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.322944.8%13 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No52c500$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2605123.5%12 W · 39 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-38.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80b4…a52ebacked Yes17c471.71$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.71825%2 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick29cpaid+9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0180…b8cdbacked Yes17c429.17$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.173534.3%12 W · 23 L+0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29bf…08a1backed Yes18c400$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3284940.8%20 W · 29 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe62e…8147backed Yes18c379.99$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.352450%12 W · 12 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+34.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d3d…7a79backed Yes75c357.33$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Yes44c340.91$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.9117447.7%83 W · 91 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1aab…773bbacked Yes15c339.98$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.98250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+233.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa69a…3360backed Yes15c333.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.33137.7%1 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick12cpaid-48.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xff6b…8a9ebacked Yes18c333.33$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.332657.7%15 W · 11 L+4.8wins+0.19per pick39cpaid+54.8%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0xd32a…640fbacked Yes15c333.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.33616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick31cpaid+11.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8a0…92dfbacked Yes19c315.79$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.791747.1%8 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.12per pick35cpaid+53.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf074…9164backed Yes16c312.5$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.51145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+34.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5424…b09bbacked Yes18c308.67$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.11955.6%5 W · 4 L+2.4wins+0.26per pick29cpaid+103.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd265…a7ecbacked No52c301.93$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.421844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked Yes17c300$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2498949.4%44 W · 45 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked Yes17c300$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24911843.2%51 W · 67 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-19.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9d4e…6e96backed Yes15c300$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2551338.5%5 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick26cpaid+46.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked No54c300$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1627829.5%23 W · 55 L-11.2wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-34.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x8b90…30b6backed Yes68c294.12$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.12944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick38cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f9a…7ef9backed Yes19c287.74$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.321258.3%7 W · 5 L+2.8wins+0.23per pick35cpaid+63.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x14b0…8d0ebacked Yes19c263.16$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.169638.5%37 W · 59 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f33…0d47backed Yes22c234.4$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.831163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.18per pick46cpaid+67%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Yes16c232.6$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.965540%22 W · 33 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+34.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2dbd…4f8bbacked No43c224.56$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.561346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcf3…f535backed Yes17c223.85$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.81566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+68.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a09…76e9backed Yes16c218.75$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.752532%8 W · 17 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-28.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x23de…05c1backed Yes18c217.9$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.91566.7%10 W · 5 L+4.5wins+0.30per pick37cpaid+104.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Yes67c214.09$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.9613040%52 W · 78 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes71c210.49$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.938636%31 W · 55 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb03b…7eecbacked Yes48c207.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.021100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e1d…1c0bbacked Yes15c207.4$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.292100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+310.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0ccc…dbcdbacked Yes17c200.99$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.827636.8%28 W · 48 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x73ef…1f17backed Yes19c200$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1621100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.81per pick19cpaid+426.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9bbb…92efbacked Yes18c200$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165933.3%3 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick20cpaid+21.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked Yes14c199.96$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.979142.9%39 W · 52 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9fa…c365backed Yes16c198$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.82437.5%9 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick40cpaid+18.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b7f…e826backed No52c192.45$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+26.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x377e…f111backed Yes69c186.51$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.821100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed No8c185.2$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.577851.3%40 W · 38 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc0c8…090cbacked No55c182.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-47.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x02b6…8f5fbacked Yes55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.821952.6%10 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick63cpaid-17.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf800…bdbabacked Yes17c179.99$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.398442.9%36 W · 48 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+17.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb311…264fbacked Yes18c166.67$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.672653.8%14 W · 12 L+3.2wins+0.12per pick41cpaid+35.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No41c156.86$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.2863857.2%365 W · 273 L+35.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x14de…414ebacked Yes67c156.72$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.722100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe16c…1dd4backed Yes16c156.25$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.251233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1877…78d7backed Yes16c156.25$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.25728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick51cpaid+9.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa95d…6a82backed Yes16c147.5$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.9728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick51cpaid+9.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x63f9…0f1bbacked Yes70c142.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.19450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde7a…737bbacked Yes18c138.89$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.892100%2 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.77per pick23cpaid+350.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5711…fbf5backed Yes18c138.89$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.89742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+67.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed No55c136.9$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.7510537.1%39 W · 66 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-22.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc2d…8668backed Yes74c135.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.141952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes34c130.38$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.012,16737.6%815 W · 1,352 L+5.7wins0.00per pick37cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc694…1171backed No41c130$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.31020%2 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-64.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x27e2…20ccbacked Yes47c126.51$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.051100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb196…33d5backed Yes17c125.98$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.136048.3%29 W · 31 L-5.3wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-10.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4db9…14f5backed Yes18c125$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.5944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick31cpaid+61.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe343…5c31backed Yes16c125$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1051729.4%5 W · 12 L+2.1wins+0.12per pick17cpaid+52.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x777f…0fc4backed Yes16c125$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1051145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+32.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9973…cc32backed Yes16c124.65$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.651030%3 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes79c121.38$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.5679532.2%256 W · 539 L-16.9wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-27.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd0f…5aabbacked No38c117.04$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick24cpaid-47.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcdea…31e9backed Yes49c116.33$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.33837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-31.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.