TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Will Lille OSC vs. FK Crvena zvezda end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$144,995
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$147,719

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $144,995 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 159 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3cc6…9df6backed Yes26c49,388$13,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,0001346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No73c17,775$13,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,734.6484850.8%431 W · 417 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No75c15,861$11,918 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,942.912,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No78c10,125$7,898 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,227.553452.9%18 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x954e…927fbacked Yes24c10,000$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,399.99728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-26.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09e0…e546backed No78c9,250$7,215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,034.971172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.20per pick53cpaid+49.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x24a5…5d07backed Yes28c6,400$1,823 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,823.411540%6 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No72c6,080$4,402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,678.6644952.6%236 W · 213 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No75c3,587$2,676 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$911.3938247.1%180 W · 202 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes24c3,585$872 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$871.713,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No76c2,800$2,128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67233349.8%166 W · 167 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes21c2,092$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440.4513149.6%65 W · 66 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No74c1,978$1,466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511.8691950.9%468 W · 451 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x81f0…cbb1backed No77c1,956$1,507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4491100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc840…16d6backed Yes4c1,900$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85130%0 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes9c1,778$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1686119.7%12 W · 49 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-31.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd43…88d7backed Yes20c1,735$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.9840%0 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe648…b79abacked Yes24c1,571$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3772420.8%5 W · 19 L-3.4wins-0.14per pick35cpaid-60.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No76c1,493$1,135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.8425157%143 W · 108 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+14.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Yes28c1,433$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.325234.6%18 W · 34 L-0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid+10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No75c1,152$865 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.851,03950%520 W · 519 L+26.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed No77c1,068$826 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.5513040%52 W · 78 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd43…cd41backed No71c782.42$556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.91190.9%10 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.21per pick70cpaid+31.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1947…02b4backed Yes14c628.57$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$882050%10 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Yes3c500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155123.5%12 W · 39 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-38.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked Yes25c500$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1254955.1%27 W · 22 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked No74c473$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.989858.2%57 W · 41 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x845e…3ed3backed No77c432.84$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.551100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked Yes24c426.31$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.3111843.2%51 W · 67 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-19.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Yes24c412.86$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014963.1%94 W · 55 L+8.7wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x41da…0b58backed Yes10c412.31$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421520%3 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick15cpaid-9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Yes30c396.67$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11911449.1%56 W · 58 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No79c380.14$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.3763857.2%365 W · 273 L+35.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9dce…b663backed No74c335.14$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.141978.9%15 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick72cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa83…4965backed Yes30c334.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10050%0 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x74bb…1759backed Yes30c329.99$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.74837.5%3 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick26cpaid+44.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4fbe…f9e5backed Yes32c312.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003225%8 W · 24 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes22c306$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.12,16737.6%815 W · 1,352 L+5.7wins0.00per pick37cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb82d…c40dbacked Yes20c300$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.75333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-45.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No75c300$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7524655.7%137 W · 109 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No75c270$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.514252.1%74 W · 68 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x87a9…701abacked No76c250$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe62e…8147backed Yes25c248.39$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.322450%12 W · 12 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+34.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Yes21c238.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506241.9%26 W · 36 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Yes21c238.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506142.6%26 W · 35 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1250…3909backed No76c236$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x533a…6566backed No76c233$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed No75c230$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.58046.3%37 W · 43 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed No74c227.97$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.749054.4%49 W · 41 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4fce…dcb4backed No76c226$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed No75c225$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.2510554.3%57 W · 48 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9bd8…ec8dbacked No76c223$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Yes30c201$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.981250%6 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-21%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29bf…08a1backed Yes25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504940.8%20 W · 29 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked Yes20c200$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409142.9%39 W · 52 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69c1…fbb6backed No76c194$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7972…594fbacked No74c193.24$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.241163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7da6…4ff3backed No76c187$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.882951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb7f…cc74backed No76c186$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd1…ec0ebacked Yes28c182.58$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.2850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94a5…018dbacked No76c180$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed No75c180$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458056.3%45 W · 35 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed No75c180$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458953.9%48 W · 41 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x588b…8593backed Yes29c172.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501729.4%5 W · 12 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick20cpaid+14.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x86ac…2c33backed No76c169$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4f3…999fbacked Yes15c160$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.29338.7%36 W · 57 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7146…cc73backed Yes31c159.69$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-46.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Yes21c151.99$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.9218049.4%89 W · 91 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd257…d215backed Yes23c150$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359920.2%20 W · 79 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a50…ea80backed Yes21c145.95$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.653135.5%11 W · 20 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick28cpaid+34.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x63f9…0f1bbacked Yes26c144.91$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Yes23c138.34$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.2315949.1%78 W · 81 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf6e4…5e4ebacked Yes22c136.36$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick23cpaid-26.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc7c…3d8cbacked No76c131.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.581973.7%14 W · 5 L+3.2wins+0.17per pick57cpaid+32.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x05e1…85a2backed No76c131.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.58666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8cd…e951backed No79c126$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.462185.7%18 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.12per pick74cpaid+15.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x52ca…54f0backed Yes24c125$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302454.2%13 W · 11 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+16.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Yes24c125$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3037926.1%99 W · 280 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x36c8…2925backed No77c121.07$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.07875%6 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed No75c120$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308052.5%42 W · 38 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed No75c120$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306349.2%31 W · 32 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed No75c120$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307248.6%35 W · 37 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-1.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked No75c120$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306350.8%32 W · 31 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked No75c120$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306448.4%31 W · 33 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked No75c120$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307754.5%42 W · 35 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed No75c120$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307647.4%36 W · 40 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed No75c120$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308551.8%44 W · 41 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked No75c120$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308057.5%46 W · 34 L+4.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed No75c120$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308755.2%48 W · 39 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed No78c118.21$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.0111153.2%59 W · 52 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a97…c1f9backed No76c113.75$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.31450%7 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Yes25c113.68$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.425540%22 W · 33 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+34.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes19c111$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.5410537.1%39 W · 66 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-22.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17cb…3ab8backed Yes14c110$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.41457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+32.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x38c4…7c65backed No73c102$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.123582.9%29 W · 6 L+6.4wins+0.18per pick64cpaid+34.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No79c101.16$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.912345.5%56 W · 67 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed No75c100$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258554.1%46 W · 39 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46af…1f6abacked No75c100$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254551.1%23 W · 22 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd306…4320backed Yes21c100$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216521.5%14 W · 51 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick30cpaid-27.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Yes31c100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3113337.6%50 W · 83 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-9.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.