TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x02b6…8f5f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
323
Categories scored
22
Categories below 50
15

Best Category: Bundesliga, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Bundesliga at 56 out of 100; worst NBA at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tweetslast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT10542.9%45 W · 60 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 105 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.86
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.6
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+61.4%+$12.56
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+253%+$43.72
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+85.6%+$26.07
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.32
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 6 to July 8, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$473Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+54.7%+$258.96
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+33.2%+$33.89
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$6.75
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+182.5%+$182.51
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.96
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$21.38
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,800.05
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.01
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.31
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$190.01
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+400%+$80
Showing 25 of 105 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT4647.8%22 W · 24 L-6.3wins-0.14per pick61cpaid-23.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
NBA — the 46 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Hawks vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.41
Hornets vs. Spurs: O/U 228.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+49.7%+$24.83
Raptors vs. Pelicansbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Cavaliers vs. Magicbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Celtics vs. Cavaliers: O/U 223.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.05
Rockets vs. Heatbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Wizards vs. Cavaliers: O/U 240.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Pelicans vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$409Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$409
Bulls vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,096Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+35.1%+$384.93
Timberwolves vs. Grizzliesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Bucks vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+40.5%+$16.1
Trail Blazers vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+212.5%+$21.25
Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+143.9%+$28.78
Nuggets vs. Mavericksbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+100%+$71
Heat vs. Thunder: O/U 231.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+35.1%+$30.84
Heat vs. Pacersbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$226Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$226
Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 115.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+78.5%+$156.91
Knicks vs. Pistons: O/U 231.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Hornets vs. Bucks: 1H O/U 112.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Rockets vs. Nets: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Trail Blazers vs. Thunder: O/U 234.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+99.8%+$99.81
Pistons vs. Lakers: O/U 230.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+78.6%+$31.43
Knicks vs. Pelicans: O/U 247.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Pistons vs. Clippers: O/U 223.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Showing 25 of 46 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT2853.6%15 W · 13 L-3.6wins-0.13per pick66cpaid-22.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Premier League — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.68
AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Everton FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+37.7%+$18.65
Manchester United FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+37%+$36.99
Manchester United FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+68.1%+$136.5
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+107.9%+$104.59
Will Everton FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.98
Will Arsenal FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.32
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Leeds United FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+42.1%+$25.26
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+41.4%+$41.42
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+25%+$25
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+38.9%+$38.89
West Ham United FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+29.9%+$29.87
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-01-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$187Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+25.9%+$48.49
Fulham FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+85.2%+$34.07
Sunderland AFC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+25%+$5
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2755.6%15 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+210.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rodri win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+6,257.3%+$625.73
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Michael Olise score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$390Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$390
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.28
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.79
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 1 Belgium?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.25
Will Morocco be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$56.41
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Lionel Messi score 8+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+52.7%+$158.4
Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Canada be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$70.27
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
Will France win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$59.74
Will Austria finish second in Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$72.41
Will Harry Kane score 3+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+31.8%+$31.75
Spread: England (-1.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$94.12
Will Spain win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+27.6%+$27.58
Spread: Portugal (-1.5)backed Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$22.46
Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$33.33
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: Spain (-2.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$450
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$112.77
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$26.58
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.09
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT2755.6%15 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.09per pick64cpaid-20.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$86
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.56
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$55.04
FC Barcelona vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.22
FC Bayern München vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+37.2%+$37.17
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$33.58
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+59%+$29.49
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$44.93
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+75.7%+$37.87
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$36.21
Galatasaray SK vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.1
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-02-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+38.9%+$77.78
Olympiakós SFP vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+35.1%+$35.14
Club Brugge KV vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+26.6%+$26.58
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+26.6%+$53.16
FC Bayern München vs. RU Saint-Gilloise: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$100
FC Bayern München vs. RU Saint-Gilloise: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+47.1%+$38.12
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+27.9%+$19.51
FC Bayern München vs. Sporting CP: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+28.4%+$19.87
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT1952.6%10 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick63cpaid-17.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trabzonspor vs. Ferencvárosi TC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+75.5%+$30.32
SC Braga vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$26.67
Nottingham Forest FC vs. FC Porto: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.01
Real Betis Balompié vs. SC Braga: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+46.7%+$22.92
RC Celta de Vigo vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+36.5%+$17.94
FC Porto vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.78
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$132.56
Will FC Midtjylland win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
FC Porto vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
FC Porto vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$29.87
Nottingham Forest FC vs. FC Midtjylland: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$12.3
Panathinaikós AO vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Panathinaikós AO vs. Real Betis Balompié end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Lille OSC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$29.87
Will FK Crvena zvezda win on 2026-02-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+81.8%+$81.82
Will KRC Genk win on 2026-01-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+44.9%+$44.93
Will FCSB vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will FC Porto win on 2025-11-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$15
All 19 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT1580%12 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.13per pick67cpaid+41.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$50.46
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$42.09
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+432.7%+$822.67
SC Freiburg vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.56
SC Freiburg vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+46.4%+$82.09
FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$42.9
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+108.4%+$108.44
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
FC Bayern München vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+28.2%+$28.21
VfB Stuttgart vs. VfL Wolfsburg: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+38.9%+$38.89
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+26.6%+$79.75
1. FC Union Berlin vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+31.6%+$31.58
1. FC Köln vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+29.9%+$59.74
Will FC Bayern München vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+40.9%+$30.5
All 15 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT1553.3%8 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.14per pick67cpaid-20.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-08-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+57.7%+$69.25
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$55.67
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.82
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$32.83
Real Madrid CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
FC Barcelona vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
FC Barcelona vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$156.41
Villarreal CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+25%+$50
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$29.87
Athletic Club vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$100
FC Barcelona vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+28.2%+$28.21
Will Celta Vigo win on 2025-12-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Elche CF vs. Girona: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+31.6%+$6.32
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 15 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Dec 5, 2025, EST40%0 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
KK Crvena Zvezda vs. Barcelonabacked KK Crvena Zvezda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Valencia vs. KK Crvena Zvezdabacked KK Crvena Zvezda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$18
Panathinaikos vs. BC Dubaibacked BC Dubai · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$10
ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne vs. Partizanbacked Partizan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 4 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick40cpaid+41.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Sharks - Map 2 Winnerbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.9
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Sharks - Map 1 Winnerbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.21
All 2 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Team Nemesis - Game 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.06
Dota 2: Hive vs Team Syntax - Game 1 Winnerbacked Hive · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.49
All 2 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 15, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Clemson vs. Louisville: O/U 50.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+100%+$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$29.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.