Tweets · resolved market
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9567ddd70bdf4384cb1350e1fd6f781a2fcee8ef8d4dc65e8da995d27b2360b2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $289,897
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $315,985
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $289,897 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 394 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7712…155abacked No | 1c | 26,911$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.55 | 158 | 44.9%71 W · 87 L | +12.4wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xacbc…7cc3backed No | 10c | 25,279$2,622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,621.68 | 115 | 12.2%14 W · 101 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa638…1d87backed Yes | 49c | 13,780$6,754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,026.07 | 293 | 31.7%93 W · 200 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x017b…1ef4backed No | 2c | 10,200$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.99 | 78 | 20.5%16 W · 62 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e9…f380backed Yes | 42c | 6,008$2,521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,487.43 | 176 | 31.8%56 W · 120 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfafe…2e34backed No | 68c | 4,650$3,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,162.46 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0170…a17cbacked Yes | 79c | 4,455$3,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$929.11 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7871…2917backed Yes | 59c | 4,258$2,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,760.27 | 108 | 29.6%32 W · 76 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93fd…7e2fbacked Yes | 68c | 3,896$2,638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,257.96 | 572 | 22%126 W · 446 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -42%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x019f…1152backed No | 52c | 3,655$1,906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,905.7 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6964…ef53backed Yes | 66c | 2,582$1,711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$871.06 | 662 | 22.2%147 W · 515 L | -34.7wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fb7…9f50backed Yes | 43c | 2,566$1,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,452.94 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes | 70c | 2,261$1,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.7 | 535 | 22.6%121 W · 414 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1db9…a43bbacked Yes | 69c | 2,207$1,516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.72 | 238 | 19.3%46 W · 192 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -25%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c29…8c43backed Yes | 53c | 2,168$1,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020.23 | 465 | 21.3%99 W · 366 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x732f…201ebacked Yes | 62c | 2,000$1,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768.6 | 397 | 23.2%92 W · 305 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e9c…9a07backed Yes | 56c | 1,967$1,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$869.49 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…37febacked Yes | 63c | 1,895$1,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.99 | 316 | 21.8%69 W · 247 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21d3…8d3fbacked No | 63c | 1,800$1,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,134.1 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed No | 58c | 1,716$988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$987.84 | 388 | 28.6%111 W · 277 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x849c…4009backed No | 38c | 1,665$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.94 | 1,782 | 7.4%132 W · 1,650 L | -23.2wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 44c | 1,340$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748.14 | 2,552 | 13.1%335 W · 2,217 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcbe…b37cbacked Yes | 46c | 1,306$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700.49 | 74 | 32.4%24 W · 50 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed No | 16c | 1,250$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 83 | 20.5%17 W · 66 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d4…a31ebacked No | 11c | 1,228$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.92 | 109 | 17.4%19 W · 90 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x713b…f43cbacked Yes | 64c | 1,200$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432 | 105 | 36.2%38 W · 67 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed No | 38c | 1,091$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.69 | 150 | 7.3%11 W · 139 L | -11.1wins | -0.07per pick | 15cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6b7…227bbacked No | 57c | 1,048$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.27 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe243…af59backed Yes | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 364 | 11%40 W · 324 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbeab…d961backed Yes | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 148 | 29.1%43 W · 105 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x387c…2423backed Yes | 67c | 996.47$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.8 | 176 | 28.4%50 W · 126 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58cd…775abacked Yes | 61c | 982.98$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.56 | 386 | 14.2%55 W · 331 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47f3…e493backed Yes | 58c | 897.17$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.25 | 97 | 26.8%26 W · 71 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e3babacked Yes | 42c | 896.19$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.37 | 325 | 29.2%95 W · 230 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb3…56f3backed No | 60c | 885$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…0861backed No | 57c | 825.96$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.26 | 880 | 18.6%164 W · 716 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbae1…cdf9backed No | 18c | 810$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd769…f90cbacked Yes | 45c | 808.24$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.61 | 144 | 13.9%20 W · 124 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…66e1backed Yes | 69c | 750.87$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.3 | 827 | 14.9%123 W · 704 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a5c…d35cbacked Yes | 38c | 749.02$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.33 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b19…ca35backed Yes | 37c | 748.54$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.73 | 61 | 29.5%18 W · 43 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7141…8345backed Yes | 45c | 723.61$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.13 | 151 | 36.4%55 W · 96 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x555c…c64dbacked Yes | 57c | 711.64$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.91 | 143 | 32.9%47 W · 96 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6afc…9c39backed Yes | 50c | 702.31$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…d898backed Yes | 45c | 699.37$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +124.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c0…d656backed No | 58c | 670.06$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.68 | 880 | 17.3%152 W · 728 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04a2…e16cbacked No | 45c | 655.81$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.69 | 638 | 21.5%137 W · 501 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 35c | 651$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.4 | 217 | 32.3%70 W · 147 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2957…964ebacked Yes | 50c | 644.17$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.58 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 20c | 640.22$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.36 | 287 | 23.7%68 W · 219 L | -46.5wins | -0.16per pick | 40cpaid | -63%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd675…5cdebacked Yes | 54c | 633.58$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.88 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +105.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 60c | 599.98$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241 | 426 | 28.2%120 W · 306 L | -38.2wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf723…ab01backed Yes | 48c | 586.16$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48e7…1b38backed Yes | 44c | 579.72$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.64 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d3…71cfbacked No | 63c | 570.99$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.14 | 86 | 34.9%30 W · 56 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b67…60aabacked Yes | 65c | 561.36$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.71 | 141 | 37.6%53 W · 88 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x275b…1780backed Yes | 48c | 561.12$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.66 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c4…848dbacked No | 57c | 557.77$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.77 | 609 | 7.7%47 W · 562 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97fc…229ebacked Yes | 59c | 537.24$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.73 | 135 | 11.9%16 W · 119 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fb…dad8backed Yes | 47c | 520.85$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.05 | 123 | 32.5%40 W · 83 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65ab…273dbacked Yes | 62c | 513$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.54 | 204 | 32.4%66 W · 138 L | -11.3wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbab2…e819backed No | 54c | 499.98$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.99 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf8a…07d3backed No | 48c | 499.97$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.99 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.8wins | -0.28per pick | 68cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Yes | 78c | 498.61$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.21 | 23 | 87%20 W · 3 L | +5.0wins | +0.22per pick | 65cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd317…025abacked Yes | 60c | 497.52$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.25 | 220 | 23.6%52 W · 168 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea1e…2858backed Yes | 62c | 497.17$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.68 | 117 | 29.1%34 W · 83 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5c…6d2abacked No | 63c | 494.05$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.14 | 625 | 39.5%247 W · 378 L | +48.1wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe130…4006backed Yes | 39c | 476.61$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.48 | 1,045 | 13.6%142 W · 903 L | +37.8wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86ff…7bfdbacked Yes | 35c | 470.34$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.21 | 85 | 28.2%24 W · 61 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a0…dea8backed No | 57c | 469.55$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.75 | 576 | 21.2%122 W · 454 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83ad…f1c0backed Yes | 46c | 463.47$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.91 | 47 | 19.1%9 W · 38 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75fe…252cbacked Yes | 41c | 459.27$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.97 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa25a…3e8ebacked Yes | 52c | 451.98$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.86 | 63 | 12.7%8 W · 55 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63ed…437dbacked No | 30c | 443.32$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.93 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 28cpaid | -73.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf366…425ebacked Yes | 42c | 433.53$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.67 | 61 | 27.9%17 W · 44 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x201a…66a8backed Yes | 44c | 429.69$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.67 | 201 | 29.4%59 W · 142 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9255…6e3bbacked Yes | 39c | 420.38$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.29 | 509 | 13.8%70 W · 439 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd15a…80dbbacked Yes | 70c | 415.71$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.18 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 71cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc331…1d71backed Yes | 46c | 413.84$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.7 | 114 | 17.5%20 W · 94 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bcf…f0d9backed Yes | 30c | 410$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9b…7e0cbacked Yes | 30c | 400$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc507…6054backed Yes | 43c | 400$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02b6…8f5fbacked No | 48c | 394.27$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.01 | 105 | 42.9%45 W · 60 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa6…0b79backed Yes | 67c | 392.7$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.52 | 80 | 33.8%27 W · 53 L | -8.1wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3b42…229ebacked Yes | 47c | 389.15$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.13 | 103 | 22.3%23 W · 80 L | +8.6wins | +0.08per pick | 14cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd68…0261backed Yes | 45c | 384.41$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.43 | 199 | 30.7%61 W · 138 L | +13.6wins | +0.07per pick | 24cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16a0…2f60backed Yes | 36c | 375.61$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.39 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x064b…eae5backed No | 55c | 368.93$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.47 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab1…8121backed No | 27c | 363.95$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.06 | 488 | 19.3%94 W · 394 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd444…0083backed Yes | 62c | 362.88$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.81 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd0f…2154backed No | 54c | 356.13$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.8 | 344 | 25.6%88 W · 256 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4239…5dafbacked Yes | 66c | 355.17$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.65 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5545…3059backed No | 56c | 352.06$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.73 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x180f…0c07backed No | 31c | 339.92$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.38 | 76 | 26.3%20 W · 56 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b8…5a0fbacked No | 64c | 320.28$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.76 | 601 | 27.3%164 W · 437 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb68e…3ebabacked Yes | 57c | 318.97$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.25 | 96 | 27.1%26 W · 70 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50a8…98edbacked Yes | 76c | 312.2$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.85 | 334 | 22.2%74 W · 260 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacfe…b2fabacked Yes | 45c | 309.82$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.71 | 58 | 25.9%15 W · 43 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6df3…6180backed Yes | 39c | 306.04$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.68 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.17per pick | 59cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x544a…dbe1backed No | 20c | 300$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 118 | 31.4%37 W · 81 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?this page
- Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.