TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0a5c…d35c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
89
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: IPO, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category IPO at 54 out of 100; worst Ligue 1 at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tweets Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT1225%3 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick17cpaid-26.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+237.3%+$94.92
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+175.8%+$123.08
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.89
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$148.24
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$284Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+164%+$465.33
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.34
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.6
All 12 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+93.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-05-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.82
Exact Score: Chelsea FC 2 - 0 Nottingham Forest FC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$66.28
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$34.48
Exact Score: Leeds United FC 3 - 1 Burnley FC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+1,150%+$115
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-05-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+39.9%+$39.87
Leeds United FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$18.1
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+84.6%+$164.62
All 11 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT1118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick27cpaid-46.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Exact Score: FC Bayern München 1 - 0 Paris Saint-Germain FC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Exact Score: FC Bayern München 2 - 0 Paris Saint-Germain FC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Exact Score: FC Bayern München 2 - 1 Paris Saint-Germain FC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$119
Viktor Gyokeres: Anytime Goalscorerbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+77%+$77.04
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$267Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+315%+$840.31
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$206Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$205.68
All 11 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+22%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+55.6%+$35.83
Will AS Roma vs. ACF Fiorentina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Juventus FC vs. Hellas Verona FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+223.9%+$76.57
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Pisa SC vs. US Lecce end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will SS Lazio vs. Udinese Calcio end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$49.21
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-04-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.51
Will Cagliari Calcio vs. Atalanta BC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.37
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$532Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$532.34
Will Torino FC vs. FC Internazionale Milano end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+283.5%+$60.02
All 10 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick25cpaid-41%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick21cpaid+58.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Earnings — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid+44.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+148.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
IPO — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+262.3%+$78.7
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$5.27
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Vålerenga Fotball vs. KFUM-Kameratene Oslo: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
IK Start vs. Tromsø IL: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+100%+$15
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.03
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$217Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$216.88
All 2 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-05-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.31
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.99
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.