TailMyPicks
Market

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-04-26?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,849,049
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,824,461

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,849,049 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 555 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x61ef…5a75backed No46c696,672$320,469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376,202.883100%3 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+142.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0792…b778backed Yes55c634,751$349,228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349,228.432740.7%11 W · 16 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2eb1…4ea4backed No45c623,227$279,662 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343,564.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Yes54c171,477$92,597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92,597.485642.9%24 W · 32 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-27.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb904…c255backed No45c118,973$53,538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65,435.21560%9 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+18.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed Yes54c110,154$59,483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59,483.271643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3c7…c83bbacked Yes54c53,920$29,122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,122.19757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes55c53,271$29,471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,471.1762648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc350…3669backed Yes54c50,000$27,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,000862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes57c33,195$18,756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,755.651,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Yes55c33,000$18,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,1503256.3%18 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes55c31,987$17,604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,604.4987344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x709e…66f5backed Yes54c30,560$16,605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,604.691421.4%3 W · 11 L-2.7wins-0.19per pick41cpaid-47.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked No45c29,999$13,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,499.4516644.6%74 W · 92 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes54c28,000$15,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,12013348.9%65 W · 68 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes54c21,154$11,527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,526.9424349.4%120 W · 123 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes15c20,602$3,090 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,090.255330.2%16 W · 37 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-20.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x95de…c9b2backed Yes54c20,000$10,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,80020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x73c5…2f80backed Yes15c19,452$2,823 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,822.88475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+13.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes52c16,737$8,757 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,756.61,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Yes60c15,000$9,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,999.9914346.9%67 W · 76 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed Yes54c13,225$7,106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,105.533148.4%15 W · 16 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2114…84c5backed Yes55c12,668$6,968 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,967.65850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes55c12,057$6,663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,663.1512963.6%82 W · 47 L+12.6wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+14.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Yes54c12,000$6,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,4802853.6%15 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes56c11,154$6,201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,200.8652550.1%263 W · 262 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x08f0…b809backed Yes55c10,000$5,467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,466.671346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes55c8,584$4,755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,755.0221143.1%91 W · 120 L-7.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd684…f320backed No34c7,718$2,624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,094.034045%18 W · 22 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes60c6,506$3,903 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,903.045651.8%29 W · 27 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a92…6941backed Yes13c6,015$809 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$808.851258.3%7 W · 5 L+2.7wins+0.23per pick36cpaid+148.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc0ff…9953backed No47c5,943$2,793 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,150.041154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed No39c5,408$2,109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,299.165257.7%30 W · 22 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdd3b…cea6backed Yes61c5,024$3,053 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,052.91050%5 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d5d…191dbacked Yes55c4,763$2,620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,619.5540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+40.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdf07…e601backed Yes56c4,600$2,584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5841315.4%2 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.16per pick32cpaid-8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No40c4,530$1,812 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,717.7635157%200 W · 151 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f12…70d4backed Yes55c4,458$2,452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,451.961729.4%5 W · 12 L-4.2wins-0.25per pick54cpaid-45.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes61c4,447$2,713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,712.524642.3%104 W · 142 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes13c4,400$573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$573.4618847.9%90 W · 98 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x578e…c3c0backed Yes59c4,326$2,552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,551.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed Yes65c3,999$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,599.573053.3%16 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xdb63…7fb5backed Yes59c3,999$2,359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,359.43650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+77.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes55c3,931$2,177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,177.228448.2%137 W · 147 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4c3…60d9backed No35c3,868$1,353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,515.336446.9%30 W · 34 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e4e…1dfcbacked Yes55c3,538$1,946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,946633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Yes56c3,477$1,947 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,947.25947.5%28 W · 31 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec8d…dd71backed No44c3,354$1,481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,873.883354.5%18 W · 15 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+20%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3102…187cbacked Yes55c2,919$1,605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,605.451637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.7wins-0.17per pick54cpaid-31.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Yes42c2,672$1,132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,132.436943.5%30 W · 39 L-5.5wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-18.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed No40c2,564$1,026 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,538.648254.9%45 W · 37 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc253…7cf5backed Yes64c2,500$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6001127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.24per pick51cpaid-38.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes14c2,392$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.7926040.4%105 W · 155 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-33.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Yes16c2,316$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.252941.4%12 W · 17 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick36cpaid-19%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No42c2,274$945 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,329.7330448%146 W · 158 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes62c2,234$1,385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,38523250.9%118 W · 114 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9ff…79dcbacked Yes54c2,181$1,178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,177.581233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-40.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked No42c2,080$876 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,203.6326354%142 W · 121 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Yes55c1,946$1,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,070.33461.8%21 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick61cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b3f…5a9fbacked Yes61c1,921$1,172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,171.92450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3ff…35ccbacked Yes60c1,915$1,152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,152.021330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-27.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3520…1fa0backed Yes54c1,801$972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$972.41323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.16per pick39cpaid-49.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x986c…3180backed Yes55c1,765$977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$976.523135.5%11 W · 20 L-3.4wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-28.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed No39c1,739$678 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,060.812738.6%49 W · 78 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-16.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Yes51c1,723$883 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$882.984231%13 W · 29 L-4.8wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-32.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x838a…add1backed Yes56c1,665$932 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$932.32580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick64cpaid+24.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No48c1,639$783 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$856.3333145%149 W · 182 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe02…1204backed Yes55c1,633$898 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$898.08933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-34%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4446…1fd0backed Yes61c1,602$977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$976.581442.9%6 W · 8 L-3.2wins-0.23per pick66cpaid-41%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1fd6…95e3backed Yes61c1,599$976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$975.621338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.15per pick54cpaid-28.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Yes30c1,592$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474.585846.6%27 W · 31 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick40cpaid-9.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No37c1,578$581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$996.6229637.5%111 W · 185 L+15.9wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+46.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x635e…0438backed No34c1,537$522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,014.181850%9 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf375…f105backed Yes65c1,530$998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$997.66333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick68cpaid-56.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes52c1,490$775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$774.962045%9 W · 11 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+24%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc58a…b8f8backed No46c1,479$673 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$805.862458.3%14 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed No42c1,464$615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$849.057549.3%37 W · 38 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae82…faf0backed No42c1,448$608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$839.721471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.7wins+0.19per pick52cpaid+39.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed Yes57c1,420$815 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$814.7614654.1%79 W · 67 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes45c1,397$629 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$628.554723.4%11 W · 36 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-31.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4789…994abacked Yes66c1,346$882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$882.37540%2 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick68cpaid-39.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x39f6…abe1backed No76c1,297$985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.511283.3%10 W · 2 L+4.2wins+0.35per pick48cpaid+66.6%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Yes55c1,290$710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$709.52437.5%9 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid+17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes62c1,277$797 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$797.1718046.7%84 W · 96 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed No56c1,214$674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540.047060%42 W · 28 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick62cpaid+6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d8…99aebacked Yes55c1,204$662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$662.24151.2%21 W · 20 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Yes53c1,200$636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6362650%13 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a59…ba82backed Yes55c1,165$641 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$640.913151.6%16 W · 15 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-15.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Yes49c1,154$562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562.0810938.5%42 W · 67 L-11.4wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-40.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Yes56c1,112$623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$622.71728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.5wins-0.35per pick64cpaid-59.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Yes55c1,069$592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$591.568644.2%38 W · 48 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked No58c1,065$617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448.4215071.3%107 W · 43 L+10.5wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+11.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2057…af78backed Yes60c1,060$632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$632.36728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.3wins-0.32per pick61cpaid-57.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes54c1,046$569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$569.3427748.7%135 W · 142 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Yes55c1,038$569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$569.198150.6%41 W · 40 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x167a…91d5backed Yes56c1,000$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x97fd…3313backed Yes54c1,000$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$540633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes54c1,000$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54027049.6%134 W · 136 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes54c1,000$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54033148.6%161 W · 170 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed No41c999.98$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$589.995251.9%27 W · 25 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.