Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will OGC Nice win on 2026-04-26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x81aafc28f45fc1c976ef6497030ccafb999e98427ac61302654897542ddc116e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $135,676
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $134,937
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $135,676 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 21c | 24,296$5,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,062.85 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 79c | 21,139$16,701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,438.09 | 626 | 48.6%304 W · 322 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 20c | 20,980$4,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,249.86 | 246 | 42.3%104 W · 142 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…eb64backed Yes | 16c | 8,753$1,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,424.7 | 87 | 34.5%30 W · 57 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 7c | 8,077$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.57 | 1,426 | 40.8%582 W · 844 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked No | 79c | 5,558$4,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,167.14 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Yes | 15c | 5,105$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778.41 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 79c | 4,814$3,803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,010.84 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb904…c255backed Yes | 20c | 4,723$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$944.65 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 14c | 3,861$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.33 | 316 | 36.1%114 W · 202 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed No | 79c | 3,500$2,765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 12c | 2,211$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.95 | 332 | 44.9%149 W · 183 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked No | 80c | 2,000$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 16c | 1,768$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.21 | 543 | 49.9%271 W · 272 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1894…9b71backed Yes | 9c | 1,615$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.25 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -4.3wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4af0…9996backed Yes | 21c | 1,605$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.01 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes | 13c | 1,533$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.29 | 72 | 27.8%20 W · 52 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed No | 80c | 1,235$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yes | 14c | 986.4$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.68 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -4.8wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 79c | 949$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.29 | 212 | 43.4%92 W · 120 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 79c | 837.77$662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.93 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yes | 8c | 723.15$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.93 | 119 | 16.8%20 W · 99 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +14%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8796…c744backed Yes | 10c | 709.45$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.08 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -66.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6bad…4d53backed Yes | 3c | 700$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 11c | 690.34$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.28 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -6.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e5a…0122backed Yes | 14c | 677.43$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.84 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73f4…a16fbacked Yes | 15c | 632.67$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 79c | 620.6$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.33 | 95 | 53.7%51 W · 44 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0db…56d5backed No | 80c | 617.5$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.5 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 67cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc253…7cf5backed Yes | 17c | 601.47$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.25 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.24per pick | 51cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda92…7d77backed Yes | 16c | 596.73$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No | 79c | 596.62$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.29 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71ed…67c2backed Yes | 16c | 593.2$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.91 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 8c | 589.35$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.21 | 109 | 38.5%42 W · 67 L | -11.4wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcd1f…f0d8backed Yes | 7c | 566.4$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.21 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4a…f43dbacked Yes | 5c | 535.19$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.23 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.14per pick | 34cpaid | +96.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 15c | 524.71$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.71 | 56 | 19.6%11 W · 45 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yes | 17c | 499.98$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 122 | 38.5%47 W · 75 L | -11.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed No | 79c | 484.95$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.84 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fcd…f84fbacked Yes | 21c | 467.23$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.12 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes | 3c | 408.11$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +105.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…1973backed Yes | 9c | 324.73$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.36 | 76 | 32.9%25 W · 51 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 79c | 301$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.21 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed No | 79c | 300$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Yes | 14c | 294.81$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.27 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Yes | 9c | 282.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.88 | 58 | 29.3%17 W · 41 L | -8.8wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb4ed…33ffbacked Yes | 17c | 259.85$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.17 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 17c | 209$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.53 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -3.9wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked No | 79c | 199.99$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 12c | 159.11$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 166 | 24.1%40 W · 126 L | -13.5wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a15…52d6backed No | 80c | 157.73$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.55 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 60cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe33f…132dbacked Yes | 15c | 151.84$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed No | 79c | 150$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 99 | 54.5%54 W · 45 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 79c | 149.99$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 208 | 60.6%126 W · 82 L | +12.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e65…b28bbacked Yes | 14c | 141.84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.86 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d79…1aabbacked Yes | 21c | 136.09$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.58 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…78d9backed Yes | 14c | 135.49$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.97 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked No | 79c | 111.98$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.51 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 14c | 109.03$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.26 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | -6.1wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked No | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17d6…f1e2backed No | 79c | 99.98$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e2…c751backed No | 80c | 98.8$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.76 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344c…4eb5backed Yes | 21c | 81.65$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed No | 79c | 75.59$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.87 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc46e…9ed8backed Yes | 19c | 75.11$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.27 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 39cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a1…ea66backed Yes | 17c | 61.06$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e76…7b84backed Yes | 19c | 58.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 79c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 178 | 56.2%100 W · 78 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No | 79c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 137 | 55.5%76 W · 61 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x938c…8df4backed No | 80c | 35.69$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.14 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked No | 80c | 24.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8acc…cc29backed No | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 79c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 467 | 50.1%234 W · 233 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x422f…da1abacked No | 80c | 16.06$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.21 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 67cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will OGC Nice win on 2026-04-26?this page
- Will Olympique de Marseille vs. OGC Nice end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-04-26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.