Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will Olympique de Marseille vs. OGC Nice end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf183531ecabe2419bab66a1b8ec735f83ca281503cddb136ba49cad333296a90
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $84,794
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $87,904
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $84,794 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Yes | 24c | 22,163$5,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,843.7 | 166 | 44.6%74 W · 92 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed No | 76c | 15,848$12,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,044.82 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 78c | 13,723$10,731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,991.95 | 626 | 48.6%304 W · 322 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31e0…94b0backed No | 67c | 13,446$8,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,994.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed No | 30c | 5,454$1,622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,621.77 | 58 | 29.3%17 W · 41 L | -8.8wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed Yes | 32c | 4,717$1,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,207.26 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 37c | 3,476$1,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,191.06 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 76c | 2,999$2,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,279.3 | 246 | 42.3%104 W · 142 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e5a…0122backed Yes | 16c | 2,968$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,492.7 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 42c | 2,614$1,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,506.67 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed No | 36c | 2,560$915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$914.82 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 35c | 2,275$786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,488.54 | 331 | 45%149 W · 182 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 43c | 2,271$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 109 | 38.5%42 W · 67 L | -11.4wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 56c | 2,185$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220.11 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 76c | 1,672$1,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,270.72 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 35c | 1,408$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.11 | 296 | 37.5%111 W · 185 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 53c | 1,251$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.66 | 150 | 71.3%107 W · 43 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed No | 22c | 1,200$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.53 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 77c | 1,067$816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$816.43 | 304 | 48%146 W · 158 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 79c | 1,001$791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790.78 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x287a…02d2backed No | 74c | 987.28$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730.59 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 73cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…50c8backed Yes | 22c | 866.55$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.91 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 73c | 855.35$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.4 | 486 | 49%238 W · 248 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 23c | 825.86$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.96 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +4.9wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +70.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…cd41backed No | 67c | 747$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.49 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -3.7wins | -0.18per pick | 70cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcd8c…f75abacked Yes | 66c | 741.22$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.39 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3be…c163backed Yes | 72c | 705.78$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.73 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -4.0wins | -0.21per pick | 58cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf638…3de2backed Yes | 14c | 677.43$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.86per pick | 14cpaid | +614.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed No | 78c | 647.74$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.24 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -4.9wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed No | 10c | 588.03$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.8 | 57 | 63.2%36 W · 21 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd80…5ef4backed No | 10c | 571.47$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.95 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb63…7fb5backed Yes | 16c | 569.76$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +77.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked No | 79c | 499.99$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.01 | 122 | 38.5%47 W · 75 L | -11.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed No | 79c | 490.21$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.27 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 74c | 465.56$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.02 | 53 | 66%35 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bad…4d53backed Yes | 21c | 433.82$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.04 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed No | 53c | 413.76$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.27 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e05…1b97backed No | 78c | 323.24$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.13 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 75cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 76c | 313.53$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.28 | 263 | 54%142 W · 121 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bf…f0ccbacked Yes | 68c | 286.84$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.14 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +6.3wins | +0.29per pick | 49cpaid | +78.7%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 41c | 279.62$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.8 | 123 | 67.5%83 W · 40 L | +11.9wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 10c | 268.32$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.56 | 260 | 40.4%105 W · 155 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 63c | 254.16$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.57 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | -6.1wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No | 16c | 248.88$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.97 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf269…fa23backed Yes | 23c | 237.26$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.85 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +115.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca5e…4af1backed No | 76c | 232.6$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 67c | 231.11$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.95 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 18c | 224.72$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.54 | 263 | 46.4%122 W · 141 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1894…9b71backed No | 73c | 223.59$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.76 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -4.3wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Yes | 42c | 221.87$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.99 | 78 | 61.5%48 W · 30 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed No | 9c | 209.37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 15c | 204.06$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.38 | 188 | 47.9%90 W · 98 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 71c | 196.46$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.96 | 80 | 66.3%53 W · 27 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked No | 10c | 184.47$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.45 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 15c | 183$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.88 | 156 | 49.4%77 W · 79 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 44c | 155.1$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.53 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 26c | 143.34$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.07 | 223 | 40.8%91 W · 132 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 34c | 136.74$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.25 | 180 | 46.7%84 W · 96 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 78c | 129.43$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.95 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 37c | 128.93$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.71 | 240 | 52.9%127 W · 113 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc124…1745backed Yes | 80c | 123.5$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 80c | 120$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 138 | 44.2%61 W · 77 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62ff…6b66backed Yes | 16c | 118.7$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.71 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec3e…11c0backed Yes | 23c | 114.46$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.13 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b64…eaf4backed No | 41c | 112.2$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x553e…df91backed Yes | 26c | 110.26$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked No | 18c | 108.52$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.27 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 78c | 100.75$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.59 | 380 | 56.6%215 W · 165 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Yes | 24c | 100.1$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.08 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked No | 76c | 100$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe87…6fc0backed No | 65c | 91$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.15 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 71c | 82.99$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.58 | 159 | 51.6%82 W · 77 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd030…2133backed Yes | 34c | 81.92$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.06 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeca6…08ffbacked Yes | 24c | 81.69$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.08 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc995…05a3backed Yes | 20c | 76.69$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.35 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc92…7e4abacked Yes | 16c | 67.24$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.84per pick | 16cpaid | +543.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb70b…1668backed Yes | 74c | 66.51$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.29 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed No | 77c | 65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.05 | 106 | 43.4%46 W · 60 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2128…da98backed No | 75c | 64.6$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.45 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd920…9fa1backed Yes | 25c | 61.58$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +292.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 25c | 59.76$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.86 | 178 | 17.4%31 W · 147 L | -16.2wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc454…8c31backed Yes | 33c | 59.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.95 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e76…7b84backed Yes | 23c | 58.62$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.89 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4ed…33ffbacked Yes | 23c | 58.06$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.7 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked No | 77c | 54.45$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.93 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd1…7edabacked Yes | 74c | 53.21$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 77c | 51.42$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.45 | 233 | 42.5%99 W · 134 L | -11.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc482…b505backed Yes | 77c | 51.23$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.78 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fb…74f3backed Yes | 38c | 50.67$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.42 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 32cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 80c | 50$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d0…4b71backed Yes | 63c | 46.56$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.23 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 78c | 45.45$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.45 | 112 | 50.9%57 W · 55 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3092…c9a8backed Yes | 36c | 40.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.86 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 75c | 39.16$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.37 | 260 | 41.9%109 W · 151 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 46c | 37.41$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.08 | 162 | 24.1%39 W · 123 L | -13.0wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc079…8accbacked No | 76c | 34.79$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.44 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -5.6wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e1…62a2backed No | 59c | 34.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.34 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec45…6c6dbacked No | 78c | 33.32$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.12 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c7…c6bdbacked No | 79c | 31.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | +12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed No | 77c | 30.33$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.35 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -5.0wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -38%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Olympique de Marseille vs. OGC Nice end in a draw?this page
- Will OGC Nice win on 2026-04-26?No won
- Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-04-26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.