Champions League · resolved market
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xad91a1ae0dd67bfc9e0313e42afe1d0321b25ec55ffa6555f611e17f2aa60bc0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $969,722
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $781,523
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $969,722 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 815 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9857…a505backed Yes | 0c | 120,182$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.99 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4f8…96a4backed No | 75c | 106,262$79,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,263.24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +50%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed No | 76c | 89,825$68,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,558.04 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 24c | 55,543$13,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,407.73 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c58…a5a1backed Yes | 25c | 40,000$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Yes | 0c | 35,383$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.38 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Yes | 0c | 32,185$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.99 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e5a…0122backed Yes | 23c | 23,393$5,477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,477.39 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.18per pick | 28cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Yes | 0c | 15,853$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.65 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +8.2wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Yes | 23c | 14,560$3,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,348.87 | 138 | 43.5%60 W · 78 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes | 4c | 12,259$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d0…9391backed Yes | 25c | 11,258$2,805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,804.88 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc198…6d2cbacked Yes | 18c | 10,132$1,833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,833.14 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 21c | 8,935$1,837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,836.75 | 243 | 40.7%99 W · 144 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 73c | 8,592$6,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,300.34 | 209 | 48.8%102 W · 107 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4233…b16cbacked Yes | 24c | 8,172$1,961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,961.17 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked No | 76c | 7,751$5,927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,823.58 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed No | 77c | 7,738$5,958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,779.74 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -6.3wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 74c | 7,615$5,672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,943.45 | 123 | 48.8%60 W · 63 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe6…fcc9backed Yes | 24c | 7,363$1,767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,767.08 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed No | 73c | 7,300$5,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,941.8 | 247 | 42.5%105 W · 142 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 24c | 6,239$1,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,497.3 | 394 | 43.1%170 W · 224 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 75c | 6,020$4,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,481.32 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc920…7914backed Yes | 24c | 5,951$1,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,428.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb267…5f55backed Yes | 25c | 5,680$1,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,405.99 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +92.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc3…5827backed Yes | 28c | 5,625$1,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,575.13 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d71…8da4backed Yes | 23c | 5,192$1,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,194.2 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 76c | 5,030$3,838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,192.38 | 450 | 42%189 W · 261 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc294…570ebacked Yes | 24c | 5,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -4.7wins | -0.28per pick | 33cpaid | -89.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdf07…e601backed Yes | 21c | 5,000$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.29per pick | 37cpaid | -86.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes | 23c | 5,000$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,169.99 | 291 | 36.8%107 W · 184 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x089b…2193backed Yes | 24c | 4,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40f8…327dbacked Yes | 24c | 4,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce72…cbefbacked Yes | 25c | 3,841$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960.31 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35d3…e506backed Yes | 9c | 3,840$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328 | 131 | 34.4%45 W · 86 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked No | 77c | 3,753$2,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$863.19 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 73cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c1…d98bbacked No | 76c | 3,481$2,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$835.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf63a…90e6backed Yes | 24c | 3,476$819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe87…6fc0backed No | 79c | 3,443$2,713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730.51 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x981f…a3d6backed Yes | 8c | 3,254$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 24c | 3,252$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775.43 | 144 | 31.9%46 W · 98 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e1d…b7cabacked Yes | 1c | 3,190$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.95 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…43d0backed Yes | 25c | 3,171$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Yes | 25c | 3,140$785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$785.01 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4b…541bbacked Yes | 24c | 3,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb73…53b0backed Yes | 25c | 2,976$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.02 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc97f…505ebacked No | 75c | 2,936$2,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 24c | 2,845$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.75 | 614 | 47.2%290 W · 324 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4f…81a1backed No | 73c | 2,820$2,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770.37 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 72cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb0…34ecbacked No | 76c | 2,771$2,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +52%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 24c | 2,767$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.04 | 272 | 36.4%99 W · 173 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e6…b6a5backed Yes | 24c | 2,700$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.99 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f6…e46cbacked Yes | 25c | 2,687$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.9 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d9c…4695backed Yes | 22c | 2,668$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.73 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed No | 75c | 2,508$1,881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.91 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Yes | 4c | 2,501$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 117 | 35.9%42 W · 75 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ba…3c6cbacked No | 75c | 2,500$1,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed No | 75c | 2,500$1,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed Yes | 24c | 2,500$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 76c | 2,417$1,826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.22 | 82 | 59.8%49 W · 33 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f28…ff9abacked No | 77c | 2,265$1,744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.94 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3090…be73backed No | 76c | 2,251$1,711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.27 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes | 15c | 2,250$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344 | 45 | 13.3%6 W · 39 L | -5.3wins | -0.12per pick | 25cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa1…1fa9backed Yes | 10c | 2,200$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.49 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3520…1fa0backed Yes | 23c | 2,174$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e8e…c986backed Yes | 24c | 2,100$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88c7…9012backed Yes | 23c | 2,100$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 48cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…b1eebacked Yes | 7c | 2,082$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d2c…a07dbacked Yes | 10c | 2,063$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee39…8cf1backed Yes | 23c | 2,048$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e7d…3c7fbacked Yes | 25c | 2,014$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Yes | 24c | 2,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked No | 74c | 2,000$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Yes | 23c | 1,990$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.69 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 22c | 1,960$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.18 | 1,959 | 44.1%863 W · 1,096 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b1b…bc0cbacked Yes | 25c | 1,910$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.5 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6945…873dbacked Yes | 25c | 1,910$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53f4…1837backed Yes | 12c | 1,905$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.29 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x578e…c3c0backed Yes | 21c | 1,863$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f12…1937backed Yes | 23c | 1,830$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee72…1996backed Yes | 24c | 1,829$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Yes | 8c | 1,800$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Yes | 24c | 1,676$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.4 | 415 | 53%220 W · 195 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…a262backed Yes | 25c | 1,652$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.83 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30d9…7c7bbacked Yes | 22c | 1,520$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecd5…755ebacked Yes | 24c | 1,520$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.7 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 25c | 1,512$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378 | 106 | 28.3%30 W · 76 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x440a…035abacked Yes | 22c | 1,501$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x357b…eb2abacked Yes | 26c | 1,474$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.33 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68d0…b4dabacked Yes | 24c | 1,455$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 32cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x471c…3b43backed Yes | 23c | 1,434$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -19%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa890…1a32backed Yes | 21c | 1,406$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa179…258ebacked Yes | 19c | 1,379$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.27 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb92f…d78abacked Yes | 15c | 1,347$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 72c | 1,316$948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.49 | 389 | 35.2%137 W · 252 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe738…40d3backed No | 76c | 1,297$986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd51…1041backed Yes | 23c | 1,294$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b6…f8c7backed Yes | 24c | 1,270$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01a5…312ebacked Yes | 26c | 1,266$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.16 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b75…433bbacked Yes | 25c | 1,200$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?this page
- Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?No won
- Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.