TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,314,889
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,349,821

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,314,889 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 2,437 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa614…e553backed Yes38c385,789$146,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146,599.66616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.25per pick42cpaid-78.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xee0d…57abbacked No66c361,336$236,730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124,606.374654.3%25 W · 21 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xee67…ef38backed Yes36c249,093$89,672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89,672.236048.3%29 W · 31 L+10.6wins+0.18per pick31cpaid+68.4%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No62c175,000$108,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66,50026047.7%124 W · 136 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed No76c172,765$130,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42,085.68258.5%48 W · 34 L+10.0wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+36.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe1a2…14b8backed Yes33c159,641$53,287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53,287.461855.6%10 W · 8 L+2.9wins+0.16per pick40cpaid+40.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9857…a505backed Yes0c147,132$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4151414.3%2 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick10cpaid-17.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked No66c140,807$93,256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47,550.866344.4%28 W · 35 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes36c134,979$48,595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48,595.395745.6%26 W · 31 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No78c113,989$88,429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,559.971,95944.1%863 W · 1,096 L+2.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked No68c90,042$61,274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,767.998751.7%45 W · 42 L+7.4wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+12%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Yes37c77,536$28,870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,870.251330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-43.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x62ca…1760backed No63c72,915$45,666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,249.43141.9%13 W · 18 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No65c71,686$46,703 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,983.3946048.5%223 W · 237 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbca8…f06dbacked No63c66,698$42,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,678.413100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x333d…134ebacked Yes38c63,825$24,066 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,065.5920%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc41d…74fdbacked No62c59,555$36,924 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,631475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+18.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x95de…c9b2backed No62c58,550$36,386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,163.49366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Yes36c52,547$18,830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,829.772142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xada8…3016backed Yes27c51,442$13,634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,633.7810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No63c49,557$31,221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,335.986442.2%27 W · 37 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No56c48,626$27,063 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,562.449659.4%57 W · 39 L+6.8wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+10.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked No63c48,592$30,715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,877.43447.1%16 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde9f…b8f7backed Yes37c46,892$17,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,350425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-52.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No64c45,817$29,374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,443.2961447.2%290 W · 324 L-14.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x37e0…024ebacked No62c45,333$28,106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,226.447346.6%34 W · 39 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No62c38,725$24,126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,599.415442.9%66 W · 88 L+7.3wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbe87…6fc0backed No54c36,071$19,319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,751.651258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57cd…a0fbbacked No63c35,175$22,072 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,102.635545.5%25 W · 30 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9158…fa7bbacked No63c34,809$21,930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,879.483842.1%16 W · 22 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x29cc…3c29backed No62c33,574$20,883 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,690.061741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-23.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d2f…ef1abacked No63c30,360$19,127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,233.175341.5%22 W · 31 L-6.4wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-24.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes19c29,028$5,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,5002025%5 W · 15 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-52.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc6b1…78fdbacked Yes9c28,982$2,539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,538.882050%10 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Yes46c27,637$12,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,639.838647.7%41 W · 45 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3402…9446backed Yes36c27,548$9,917 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,917.262751.9%14 W · 13 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xaad1…b418backed Yes37c26,486$9,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,800450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b05…1553backed Yes1c26,244$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.61118.2%2 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick12cpaid+43.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0165…8235backed Yes37c26,201$9,695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,694.54250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+76.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fc8…6ca6backed Yes18c25,631$4,614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,613.5820%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6815…9edbbacked Yes0c25,420$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.421250%6 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-22.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecbe…42ffbacked Yes8c25,199$1,896 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,895.83619.4%7 W · 29 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-54.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41bb…26e8backed Yes37c24,805$9,178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,17810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5351…9b3cbacked No63c23,810$15,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,809.624544.4%20 W · 25 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-17.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x05d8…31cfbacked No78c22,531$17,609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,921.781968.4%13 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick57cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed No55c21,052$11,599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,452.8910648.1%51 W · 55 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Yes0c20,413$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.383336.4%12 W · 21 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-21.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7002…395cbacked Yes46c19,631$9,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,000955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.16per pick39cpaid+51.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x571c…c16abacked Yes37c18,919$7,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,0005740.4%23 W · 34 L-5.1wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-33.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes0c18,847$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.858853.4%47 W · 41 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Yes1c17,868$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.868644.2%38 W · 48 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-26.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2128…da98backed No63c17,859$11,251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,607.871643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-27.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae2b…90eabacked Yes33c17,752$5,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,8003036.7%11 W · 19 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fec…b8edbacked Yes34c17,600$5,984 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,9841926.3%5 W · 14 L-2.7wins-0.14per pick41cpaid-43.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf344…9a04backed No63c16,117$10,203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,914.293100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+60.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked No61c15,094$9,207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,886.514953%79 W · 70 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85e8…474abacked No62c14,938$9,262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,676.45771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick48cpaid+38%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No79c14,857$11,783 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,073.471546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-31.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x09a5…0306backed Yes19c14,786$2,765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,765.441631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-33.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f04…7994backed Yes20c14,651$2,930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,930.12812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick27cpaid-51.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No66c14,630$9,657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,973.4945042%189 W · 261 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Yes16c13,807$2,248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,248.171921.1%4 W · 15 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick28cpaid-65.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No68c13,702$9,304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,398.2439443.1%170 W · 224 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-20.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05b9…2adfbacked No63c13,492$8,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,992.062100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick64cpaid+57.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe5db…f982backed Yes21c13,246$2,726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,725.925928.8%17 W · 42 L+0.1wins0.00per pick29cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe16d…3159backed Yes2c13,183$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-28%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No77c13,038$10,028 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,010.5320948.8%102 W · 107 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Yes1c12,967$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.0710852.8%57 W · 51 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No76c11,857$9,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,826.743336.4%12 W · 21 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-44.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbd16…d24dbacked Yes5c11,778$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.62229.1%2 W · 20 L-2.8wins-0.13per pick22cpaid-79.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Yes1c11,146$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.37758.4%45 W · 32 L+8.2wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+8.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf989…47ccbacked Yes18c11,111$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0001338.5%5 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.16per pick23cpaid+92%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf655…7ea4backed Yes37c11,110$4,055 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,055.152520%5 W · 20 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick21cpaid+156.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8479…40dfbacked Yes38c10,966$4,167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,167250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes23c10,673$2,418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,418.1927236.4%99 W · 173 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-22.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes35c10,506$3,677 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,677.0588137.7%332 W · 549 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd261…b663backed Yes2c10,500$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1962222.7%5 W · 17 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-35.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ea5…b5e6backed Yes16c10,035$1,614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,613.953336.4%12 W · 21 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac47…d234backed Yes1c10,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001850%9 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8aa0…f18bbacked Yes1c10,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed Yes12c10,000$1,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,159.99450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-10%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1b6…c914backed Yes38c9,832$3,688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,688.323525.7%9 W · 26 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-40.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed No65c9,817$6,381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,435.95944.1%26 W · 33 L-4.6wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-29.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x203d…2b2cbacked Yes31c9,809$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0002035%7 W · 13 L+2.2wins+0.11per pick24cpaid+17.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc198…6d2cbacked Yes38c9,737$3,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,7003138.7%12 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked No62c9,730$6,032 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,697.224247.6%20 W · 22 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f3c…2f57backed Yes37c9,662$3,575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,575837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes7c9,589$644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64410628.3%30 W · 76 L+5.3wins+0.05per pick23cpaid+13.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfba5…8e17backed No64c9,052$5,793 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,258.722100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+64.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed No64c9,000$5,730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,269.973754.1%20 W · 17 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb953…e058backed Yes20c8,724$1,781 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,781.2920%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc862…e047backed Yes37c8,703$3,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,220475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked No65c8,691$5,649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,041.985549.1%27 W · 28 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2759…2b38backed No39c8,618$3,319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,299.7810536.2%38 W · 67 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed No65c8,432$5,481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,951.365248.1%25 W · 27 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-20.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9caf…94dcbacked Yes37c8,108$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0002030%6 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-20.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc0ff…9953backed Yes62c8,000$4,938 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,938.191369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+14.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked No65c8,000$5,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,799.952860.7%17 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No64c8,000$5,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,879.9522147.5%105 W · 116 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc9d…930fbacked Yes37c7,943$2,962 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,962825%2 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-20.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.