TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Exact Score: FC Bayern München 2 - 0 Paris Saint-Germain FC?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$105,426
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$106,497

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $105,426 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x565c…f3c0backed Yes0c53,822$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5590%0 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e78…ddecbacked Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes7c2,857$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20088631.7%281 W · 605 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14ba…ed95backed Yes7c1,435$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.42633.3%2 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick16cpaid+47.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4b71…80ecbacked Yes7c1,429$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick21cpaid-85.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f40…eb64backed Yes6c1,094$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.5312036.7%44 W · 76 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xabce…2f87backed Yes7c891.71$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.421546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b2f…f3f6backed Yes7c714.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick19cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Yes6c500$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309332.3%30 W · 63 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-1.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a5c…d35cbacked Yes7c500$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick27cpaid-46.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc574…b9dabacked Yes7c499.99$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352020%4 W · 16 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-67.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4f9f…feecbacked Yes7c428.57$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick15cpaid-67.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbbdd…c26abacked Yes7c285.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202321.7%5 W · 18 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-37.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb387…4a00backed Yes7c250.29$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x480e…90c7backed Yes6c250$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick11cpaid-44.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2d1…b516backed Yes7c213.14$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141010%1 W · 9 L-2.6wins-0.26per pick36cpaid-84.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb08a…4d30backed Yes8c125$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1050%0 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.