Exact Score: FC Bayern München 3 - 1 Paris Saint-Germain FC?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0fec6de79f376b251bf7f7acf932bc692bb757d321ce6779a9aec7ca9ccf000d

Rebuilt 3 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: May 6, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $35,876
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $34,798

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,876 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Champions League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x837c…5771backed Yes	9c	5,041$476 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$475.78	14	21.4%3 W · 11 L	-1.0wins	-0.07per pick	28cpaid	-50%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	9c	2,394$215 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$215.5	910	32.6%297 W · 613 L	-6.1wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1402…4853backed Yes	9c	2,222$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	49	18.4%9 W · 40 L	-2.4wins	-0.05per pick	23cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa970…d62cbacked Yes	9c	1,667$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	5	20%1 W · 4 L	+0.6wins	+0.12per pick	8cpaid	+193.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x353c…01d9backed Yes	9c	1,333$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b71…80ecbacked Yes	9c	1,111$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-0.9wins	-0.10per pick	21cpaid	-85.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe7fa…44e5backed Yes	9c	1,111$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	22	40.9%9 W · 13 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4529…d10abacked Yes	8c	625$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	27	48.1%13 W · 14 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3bf…e70fbacked Yes	8c	598.57$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.58	57	22.8%13 W · 44 L	+1.5wins	+0.03per pick	20cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1393…446dbacked Yes	9c	555.56$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	32cpaid	-58.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8850…3d53backed Yes	9c	524.56$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.21	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f9f…feecbacked Yes	10c	501.4$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	15cpaid	-67.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe65b…271bbacked Yes	9c	500$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.7wins	+0.14per pick	46cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7bec…07a8backed Yes	8c	500$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	11	63.6%7 W · 4 L	+3.5wins	+0.31per pick	32cpaid	+99.1%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x480e…90c7backed Yes	8c	375$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	+0.3wins	+0.06per pick	11cpaid	-44.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Yes	8c	350$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	93	32.3%30 W · 63 L	-4.8wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0204…0e31backed Yes	9c	333.33$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	26	26.9%7 W · 19 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	27cpaid	-21%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x58be…2517backed Yes	7c	314.29$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	10	0%0 W · 10 L	-2.6wins	-0.26per pick	26cpaid	-100%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x38e2…2a95backed Yes	9c	288.89$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee1f…652cbacked Yes	8c	250$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	+1.2wins	+0.13per pick	20cpaid	+26%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb57e…e719backed Yes	9c	222.22$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc385…8eb0backed Yes	9c	222.22$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	16	31.3%5 W · 11 L	-1.1wins	-0.07per pick	38cpaid	-33.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f93…f75cbacked Yes	9c	222.22$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.9wins	-0.22per pick	22cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd2b8…41c9backed Yes	9c	222.22$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	17	17.6%3 W · 14 L	-0.9wins	-0.06per pick	23cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x22ce…3cf8backed Yes	9c	211.11$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x9605…a2c4backed Yes	8c	187.56$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.15	30	23.3%7 W · 23 L	-2.5wins	-0.08per pick	32cpaid	-45.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4537…fd02backed Yes	9c	166.67$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x37a0…8423backed Yes	9c	166.67$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	29cpaid	-26.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf86d…f572backed Yes	9c	166.67$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	11	0%0 W · 11 L	-2.2wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb077…b958backed Yes	9c	166.67$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.8wins	-0.26per pick	26cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x81f8…ead6backed Yes	9c	161.11$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.5	29	31%9 W · 20 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	29cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff20…08d2backed Yes	9c	154.78$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.93	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+2.0wins	+0.40per pick	20cpaid	+261.9%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0a24…f55dbacked Yes	8c	125$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-2.3wins	-0.29per pick	54cpaid	-54.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbbbc…3122backed Yes	8c	125$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-1.7wins	-0.17per pick	47cpaid	-47.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbef6…d2a6backed Yes	8c	125$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf785…7b19backed Yes	8c	125$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.0wins	-0.24per pick	24cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe8b…517cbacked Yes	11c	110.64$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	39	15.4%6 W · 33 L	-2.0wins	-0.05per pick	21cpaid	-35.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4130…2fd6backed Yes	38c	65.79$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	14	0%0 W · 14 L	-4.7wins	-0.34per pick	34cpaid	-100%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Exact Score: FC Bayern München 3 - 1 Paris Saint-Germain FC?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event