Champions League · resolved market
Exact Score: FC Bayern München 3 - 2 Paris Saint-Germain FC?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x90165a17b90c7de0542389711c87cb9547a0bd95e52c9ab98a3b05351375cd3a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,230
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,818
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,230 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x330f…d4b1backed Yes | 7c | 12,857$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 7c | 3,302$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.29 | 886 | 31.7%281 W · 605 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa970…d62cbacked Yes | 7c | 2,857$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 8cpaid | +193.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba16…b3fcbacked Yes | 7c | 2,071$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1402…4853backed Yes | 7c | 1,429$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 49 | 18.4%9 W · 40 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13af…b19fbacked Yes | 7c | 1,143$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe65b…271bbacked Yes | 7c | 999.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdffa…767fbacked Yes | 8c | 626.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Yes | 7c | 600$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f86…33c0backed Yes | 7c | 557.14$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bf…e70fbacked Yes | 7c | 546.34$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.97 | 57 | 22.8%13 W · 44 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0204…0e31backed Yes | 7c | 437.93$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -21%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2fe…8d65backed Yes | 7c | 428.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4529…d10abacked Yes | 7c | 428.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70c4…dd99backed Yes | 8c | 375$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…88afbacked Yes | 7c | 345.14$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes | 6c | 325.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 12.9%4 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes | 6c | 299.42$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.97 | 48 | 27.1%13 W · 35 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3139…0725backed Yes | 7c | 290$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee1f…652cbacked Yes | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | +26%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f93…f75cbacked Yes | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb57e…e719backed Yes | 7c | 271.43$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe92a…7d0dbacked Yes | 7c | 271.14$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.98 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b39…bc0dbacked Yes | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +5.1wins | +0.17per pick | 22cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x37a0…8423backed Yes | 7c | 214.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f3a…6e1dbacked Yes | 7c | 214.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 16cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…ad68backed Yes | 7c | 214.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf09…e85abacked Yes | 7c | 214.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0988…f6f9backed Yes | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e4f…b04fbacked Yes | 6c | 166.7$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4130…2fd6backed Yes | 15c | 166.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -4.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5451…1acbbacked Yes | 7c | 146.6$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb08a…4d30backed Yes | 10c | 102$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7315…061bbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: FC Bayern München 3 - 2 Paris Saint-Germain FC?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: FC Bayern München 0 - 0 Paris Saint-Germain FC?No won
- Exact Score: FC Bayern München 1 - 0 Paris Saint-Germain FC?No won
- Exact Score: FC Bayern München 1 - 1 Paris Saint-Germain FC?Yes won
- Exact Score: FC Bayern München 2 - 0 Paris Saint-Germain FC?No won
- Exact Score: FC Bayern München 2 - 1 Paris Saint-Germain FC?No won
- Exact Score: FC Bayern München 2 - 2 Paris Saint-Germain FC?No won
- Exact Score: FC Bayern München 3 - 0 Paris Saint-Germain FC?No won
- Exact Score: FC Bayern München 3 - 1 Paris Saint-Germain FC?No won
- Exact Score: FC Bayern München 3 - 3 Paris Saint-Germain FC?No won
- Exact Score: FC Bayern München 4 - 0 Paris Saint-Germain FC?No won
- Exact Score: FC Bayern München 4 - 1 Paris Saint-Germain FC?No won
- Exact Score: FC Bayern München 4 - 2 Paris Saint-Germain FC?No won
- Exact Score: FC Bayern München 4 - 3 Paris Saint-Germain FC?No won
- Exact Score: FC Bayern München 4 - 4 Paris Saint-Germain FC?No won
- Exact Score: FC Bayern München 5 - 1 Paris Saint-Germain FC?No won
- Exact Score: FC Bayern München 5 - 2 Paris Saint-Germain FC?No won
- Exact Score: FC Bayern München 5 - 3 Paris Saint-Germain FC?No won
- Exact Score: FC Bayern München 5 - 4 Paris Saint-Germain FC?No won
- Exact Score: FC Bayern München 6 - 0 Paris Saint-Germain FC?No won
- Exact Score: FC Bayern München 6 - 2 Paris Saint-Germain FC?No won
- Exact Score: FC Bayern München 6 - 3 Paris Saint-Germain FC?No won
- Exact Score: FC Bayern München 6 - 4 Paris Saint-Germain FC?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.