Champions League · resolved market
Exact Score: FC Bayern München 2 - 1 Paris Saint-Germain FC?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdfea19f310ebdb6b1c067dbea8f21a9d0f303c1cd67e15f4d308289ba33fdbe7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,788
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,516
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,788 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x837c…5771backed Yes | 10c | 4,814$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -50%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88e2…7489backed Yes | 11c | 4,577$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75b1…323cbacked Yes | 19c | 2,611$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 10c | 2,010$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.99 | 886 | 31.7%281 W · 605 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa970…d62cbacked Yes | 9c | 1,581$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 8cpaid | +193.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68d0…b4dabacked Yes | 10c | 1,500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 32cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1402…4853backed Yes | 11c | 1,364$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 49 | 18.4%9 W · 40 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b71…80ecbacked Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -85.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…69f1backed Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fa…44e5backed Yes | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21dd…0b83backed Yes | 11c | 517.82$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.96 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed Yes | 9c | 500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +3.5wins | +0.31per pick | 32cpaid | +99.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8b23…6bf7backed Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.44per pick | 23cpaid | +332.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdffa…767fbacked Yes | 11c | 475.87$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4573…2c90backed Yes | 11c | 335.09$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.86 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0204…0e31backed Yes | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -21%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a5c…d35cbacked Yes | 13c | 275.57$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7468…3d24backed Yes | 11c | 258.91$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.48 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8df…8a93backed Yes | 12c | 250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 46 | 19.6%9 W · 37 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81f8…ead6backed Yes | 10c | 230$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62de…e70bbacked Yes | 22c | 227.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8850…3d53backed Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c1…6b32backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +33%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480e…90c7backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 11cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee1f…652cbacked Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | +26%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfba2…948fbacked Yes | 22c | 182.77$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa504…c842backed Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2a…f038backed Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc385…8eb0backed Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 97 | 39.2%38 W · 59 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x47d4…54e1backed Yes | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 12cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0192…a627backed Yes | 14c | 148.79$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4130…2fd6backed Yes | 18c | 138.88$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -4.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xcf09…e85abacked Yes | 11c | 136.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc8…f45bbacked Yes | 10c | 130$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 19cpaid | +66.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9787…37dfbacked Yes | 10c | 120$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28f0…ceabbacked Yes | 10c | 117.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.74 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1941…48e0backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae0…0dfebacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a81…40d9backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9772…b724backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbbc…3122backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x958a…df0ebacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c7…f1f3backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2524…9053backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…ab9fbacked Yes | 11c | 95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 54 | 27.8%15 W · 39 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94a4…6f8fbacked Yes | 22c | 54.55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 34cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: FC Bayern München 2 - 1 Paris Saint-Germain FC?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: FC Bayern München 0 - 0 Paris Saint-Germain FC?No won
- Exact Score: FC Bayern München 1 - 0 Paris Saint-Germain FC?No won
- Exact Score: FC Bayern München 1 - 1 Paris Saint-Germain FC?Yes won
- Exact Score: FC Bayern München 2 - 0 Paris Saint-Germain FC?No won
- Exact Score: FC Bayern München 2 - 2 Paris Saint-Germain FC?No won
- Exact Score: FC Bayern München 3 - 0 Paris Saint-Germain FC?No won
- Exact Score: FC Bayern München 3 - 1 Paris Saint-Germain FC?No won
- Exact Score: FC Bayern München 3 - 2 Paris Saint-Germain FC?No won
- Exact Score: FC Bayern München 3 - 3 Paris Saint-Germain FC?No won
- Exact Score: FC Bayern München 4 - 0 Paris Saint-Germain FC?No won
- Exact Score: FC Bayern München 4 - 1 Paris Saint-Germain FC?No won
- Exact Score: FC Bayern München 4 - 2 Paris Saint-Germain FC?No won
- Exact Score: FC Bayern München 4 - 3 Paris Saint-Germain FC?No won
- Exact Score: FC Bayern München 4 - 4 Paris Saint-Germain FC?No won
- Exact Score: FC Bayern München 5 - 1 Paris Saint-Germain FC?No won
- Exact Score: FC Bayern München 5 - 2 Paris Saint-Germain FC?No won
- Exact Score: FC Bayern München 5 - 3 Paris Saint-Germain FC?No won
- Exact Score: FC Bayern München 5 - 4 Paris Saint-Germain FC?No won
- Exact Score: FC Bayern München 6 - 0 Paris Saint-Germain FC?No won
- Exact Score: FC Bayern München 6 - 2 Paris Saint-Germain FC?No won
- Exact Score: FC Bayern München 6 - 3 Paris Saint-Germain FC?No won
- Exact Score: FC Bayern München 6 - 4 Paris Saint-Germain FC?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.