TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Exact Score: FC Bayern München 2 - 2 Paris Saint-Germain FC?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$39,529
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$38,521

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,529 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x330f…d4b1backed Yes8c14,269$1,100 inLost-$1,1002010%2 W · 18 L-0.1wins0.00per pick10cpaid-54.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48d9…227fbacked Yes8c2,500$200 inLost-$200837.5%3 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick24cpaid+32.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa970…d62cbacked Yes7c1,429$100 inLost-$100520%1 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick8cpaid+193.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b71…80ecbacked Yes8c1,323$100 inLost-$100911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick21cpaid-85.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0713…87e8backed Yes7c1,266$94 inLost-$94.410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1393…446dbacked Yes8c643.5$50 inLost-$50333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-58.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3bf…e70fbacked Yes7c599.98$41 inLost-$415722.8%13 W · 44 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick20cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x480e…90c7backed Yes7c385.71$27 inLost-$27616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick11cpaid-44.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1d2…2be9backed Yes8c362.5$29 inLost-$291250%6 W · 6 L+2.7wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+44.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xee1f…652cbacked Yes7c285.71$20 inLost-$20933.3%3 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick20cpaid+26%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8850…3d53backed Yes7c285.71$20 inLost-$2040%0 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbbdd…c26abacked Yes8c250$20 inLost-$202321.7%5 W · 18 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-37.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8df…8a93backed Yes12c250$30 inLost-$304619.6%9 W · 37 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick16cpaid+28.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd419…3f03backed Yes8c187.5$15 inLost-$15366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick40cpaid+19.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…94f5backed Yes12c169.33$20 inLost-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb077…b958backed Yes8c150$12 inLost-$1230%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0192…a627backed Yes11c132.32$15 inLost-$1520%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf86d…f572backed Yes8c130$10 inLost-$10.4110%0 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb421…d8ccbacked Yes8c125$10 inLost-$10825%2 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick13cpaid+23.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8fdc…47a4backed Yes8c125$10 inLost-$102259.1%13 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4130…2fd6backed Yes43c58.14$25 inLost-$25140%0 W · 14 L-4.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x710d…48d0backed Yes80c12.5$10 inLost-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.