TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Sevilla FC vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$135,019
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$117,414

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $135,019 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 159 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x83d9…651bbacked Yes10c30,984$3,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,140.2160147.9%288 W · 313 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+13.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbd14…d62abacked Yes29c6,957$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-34.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes20c6,828$1,339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,338.6992345.5%420 W · 503 L-30.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e5a…0122backed Yes15c4,630$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7003611.1%4 W · 32 L-4.3wins-0.12per pick23cpaid-64%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed No71c3,005$2,147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$857.38160.5%49 W · 32 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No72c2,520$1,815 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$705.71,17651.9%610 W · 566 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f28…ff9abacked No72c2,208$1,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$618.339666.7%64 W · 32 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0cef…fa91backed No71c2,000$1,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$579.963073.3%22 W · 8 L+3.2wins+0.11per pick63cpaid+16.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf2f6…679ebacked Yes40c1,712$685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$684.651952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Yes10c1,662$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.0322553.8%121 W · 104 L+18.6wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+27.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x54ea…f74abacked No63c1,397$880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$516.831662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+20.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb442…bed7backed Yes40c1,388$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5555248.1%25 W · 27 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No70c1,365$961 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.4964457%367 W · 277 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No65c1,330$869 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.1158548%281 W · 304 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x287a…02d2backed No66c1,299$858 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441.813476.5%26 W · 8 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick68cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No71c1,239$876 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.562,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes30c1,115$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.3619840.4%80 W · 118 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes6c1,075$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.583939.8%334 W · 505 L-21.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b75…433bbacked Yes28c1,071$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3006550.8%33 W · 32 L+5.5wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+21%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes10c1,028$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.857024.3%17 W · 53 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick23cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x138f…657ebacked Yes10c964.1$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.41825%2 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes17c895.5$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.831,41945.6%647 W · 772 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb40…c661backed Yes8c876.25$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.420%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f21…3d6ebacked Yes5c700$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3510938.5%42 W · 67 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick33cpaid-3.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9950…1432backed Yes29c689.66$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4cb7…3644backed Yes32c625$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+61.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa6e3…3fe8backed Yes28c560$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.83630.6%11 W · 25 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-33%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed No70c556$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.954537.8%17 W · 28 L-0.2wins0.00per pick38cpaid-27.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9079…b19bbacked Yes10c551.29$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.5310556.2%59 W · 46 L+6.9wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed No70c500$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15011154.1%60 W · 51 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbec5…8f77backed Yes22c500$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1101145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick36cpaid+17.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x74a3…3b73backed Yes30c472.31$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1404841.7%20 W · 28 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-9.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0176…910ebacked No65c449.99$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.55166.7%34 W · 17 L+5.7wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+20.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Yes13c427$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.8722446%103 W · 121 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3946…b565backed Yes40c425$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1701735.3%6 W · 11 L-4.0wins-0.23per pick59cpaid-42.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x459f…c1f5backed Yes29c409.37$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.726839.7%27 W · 41 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Yes11c403.73$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.4123957.7%138 W · 101 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Yes11c403.73$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.4120050.5%101 W · 99 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6c4…df5fbacked No72c399.97$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.9917159.1%101 W · 70 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Yes13c384.62$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5019555.9%109 W · 86 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf95a…d895backed Yes13c384.62$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504440.9%18 W · 26 L+5.2wins+0.12per pick29cpaid+56.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x7479…e171backed Yes11c382.56$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.767950.6%40 W · 39 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x903e…2829backed Yes40c375$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick34cpaid-68.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa7b2…7b9cbacked Yes29c344.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002835.7%10 W · 18 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Yes4c343.03$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2911819.5%23 W · 95 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Yes31c329.82$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.9423843.3%103 W · 135 L-13.9wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-16.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x079b…7263backed Yes28c322.74$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.3810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2be3…5c4bbacked Yes31c322.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick45cpaid+57.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa4f4…d132backed Yes13c307.69$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No71c304.73$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.2675451.2%386 W · 368 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2cf0…df85backed Yes33c303.03$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003250%16 W · 16 L+4.5wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+49.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfeab…9cd0backed Yes40c269.2$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.68520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick36cpaid-61.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc97c…cdf6backed Yes29c268.46$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.965942.4%25 W · 34 L+4.6wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+25.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x38c4…7c65backed No72c255$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.48672.1%62 W · 24 L+9.6wins+0.11per pick61cpaid+19.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc820…9e00backed Yes29c251.72$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7330%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes6c250$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510431.7%33 W · 71 L+8.7wins+0.08per pick23cpaid+24.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8c1b…63ddbacked Yes40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-29.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked No70c248.22$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.2435442.7%151 W · 203 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Yes12c244.17$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.4635759.4%212 W · 145 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6cba…843fbacked Yes9c223.11$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20475%3 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.38per pick37cpaid+91.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked No71c219.99$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.848251.2%247 W · 235 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc105…c1b0backed No72c212.44$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.48333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-53.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x81a8…9c69backed No72c211.17$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.133351.5%17 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-12.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x604d…4608backed Yes29c206.9$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607635.5%27 W · 49 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x923c…6d03backed Yes11c205.48$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.66225.8%16 W · 46 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed No71c190.17$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.1522448.2%108 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Yes12c181.62$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.558229.3%24 W · 58 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-16.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes29c172.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013426.1%35 W · 99 L-8.1wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-24.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9603…de5ebacked No76c166.51$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.691100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7c2…4939backed No61c155.13$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.94250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-17.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a7f…0492backed Yes12c154.24$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181637.5%6 W · 10 L+1.9wins+0.12per pick25cpaid+107%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No72c151.25$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.8692254.1%499 W · 423 L+1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed0d…bc18backed Yes10c150$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd3a…3203backed Yes29c143.04$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.483036.7%11 W · 19 L-4.7wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-48.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x14c3…0262backed Yes13c138.46$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185427.8%15 W · 39 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+58.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b78…47cdbacked Yes29c137.93$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Yes11c130.6$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8121322.1%47 W · 166 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-32.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Yes10c130$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1316348.5%79 W · 84 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked Yes28c125$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3510245.1%46 W · 56 L+6.9wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x723c…01ebbacked Yes16c125$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201827.8%5 W · 13 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick22cpaid+40.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc28…9a83backed Yes40c125$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-47.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed No72c120$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.626853%142 W · 126 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8adc…6b14backed Yes28c117.17$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.9821457.5%123 W · 91 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No65c116.81$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.5763553.1%337 W · 298 L+1.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e41…b875backed Yes30c116.67$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357946.8%37 W · 42 L-6.5wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-13.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3f48…f8c8backed Yes11c109.09$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121030%3 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-32.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d85…5c50backed Yes28c105.91$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302015%3 W · 17 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick25cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Yes12c104.74$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.0521950.2%110 W · 109 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-22.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4512…5d41backed Yes29c103.45$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307838.5%30 W · 48 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+18.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb7a4…31eebacked Yes29c103.45$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+15.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x40d2…1959backed Yes29c103.45$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-13%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b43…9e23backed Yes40c102.5$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4115832.9%52 W · 106 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xce53…834bbacked No72c100.83$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.234341.9%18 W · 25 L-3.7wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-15.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked No72c100$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2817859.6%106 W · 72 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe891…4b25backed Yes40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Yes30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3062744.3%278 W · 349 L-2.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4d5…13eebacked No72c100$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289276.1%70 W · 22 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick70cpaid+11.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2568…ef92backed No72c100$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.511258%65 W · 47 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1633…1e55backed Yes29c100$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291323.1%3 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f84…67efbacked Yes14c100$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1413626.5%36 W · 100 L+0.3wins0.00per pick26cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.