TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2be3…5c4b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
76
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: La Liga, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 55 out of 100; worst NBA at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT2330.4%7 W · 16 L-2.9wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-24.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Evan Mobley: Rebounds O/U 8.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Donovan Mitchell: Assists O/U 3.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 27.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Karl-Anthony Towns: Assists O/U 5.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 219.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$48.75
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$50.29
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+203%+$40.61
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 225.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$20.71
Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$167.65
Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 214.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$175
Lakers vs. Thunderbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.73
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 214.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 210.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$225.53
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
76ers vs. Celticsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$367.24
76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 205.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+150%+$300
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$95
All 23 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1850%9 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankeesbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankeesbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$23.06
Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Houston Astros vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$24.55
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago White Sox vs. Seattle Marinersbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+85%+$17
Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$19.22
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cincinnati Reds vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Milwaukee Brewers vs. Chicago Cubsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankeesbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$15.69
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Athletics vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+118.5%+$23.7
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Houston Astros vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$22.55
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Houston Astrosbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Athletics vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Boston Red Sox vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$26.51
New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$12.79
All 18 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.23per pick61cpaid-44.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick45cpaid+57.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+39.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden Knights vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.62
Wild vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$307Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+68.6%+$210.81
Canadiens vs. Lightningbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$18.39
All 3 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid+4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-45.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+105.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AS Roma win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$61.29
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+150%+$225
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SC Freiburg vs. VfL Wolfsburg end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$68.11
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$156.71
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$25.15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Liquid (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Connecticut Sun vs. Portland Firebacked Connecticut Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.