Bundesliga · resolved market
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-05-02?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1fb06fca14cb46de93c23da59a46b907046aeecd55b0fffcc227e43bcfdca0a4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $155,982
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $163,178
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $155,982 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 163 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2b03…2c36backed Yes | 31c | 32,258$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b5…4582backed Yes | 32c | 24,396$7,807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,806.82 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked No | 68c | 20,000$13,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,400 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Yes | 32c | 12,198$3,903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,903.41 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 33c | 11,780$3,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,879.76 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked No | 68c | 10,000$6,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,200 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 73c | 8,700$6,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,360.14 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 69c | 8,000$5,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,480 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 67c | 6,994$4,687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,307.11 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 68c | 5,607$3,835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,771.44 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed No | 69c | 3,500$2,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,085 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed No | 69c | 3,000$2,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked No | 68c | 2,832$1,926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$906.24 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Yes | 12c | 2,649$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308 | 50 | 24%12 W · 38 L | -5.3wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d8…8dd3backed Yes | 8c | 2,017$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed No | 69c | 2,000$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4bb…4645backed Yes | 6c | 1,900$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb897…fc48backed Yes | 7c | 1,700$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 117 | 41.9%49 W · 68 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed5d…2668backed Yes | 6c | 1,615$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +4.6wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes | 28c | 1,600$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked Yes | 14c | 1,551$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.55 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 69c | 1,300$897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed No | 69c | 1,300$897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 70c | 1,292$903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.7 | 208 | 45.7%95 W · 113 L | -16.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed No | 68c | 1,086$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.52 | 157 | 47.1%74 W · 83 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed No | 68c | 1,000$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Yes | 8c | 1,000$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 50 | 24%12 W · 38 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08f0…b809backed No | 68c | 925.43$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.14 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe619…6342backed Yes | 17c | 906.03$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -5.3wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No | 69c | 900$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6945…873dbacked No | 68c | 882.35$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.35 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x923c…6d03backed Yes | 23c | 811.61$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.09 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed No | 69c | 800$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed No | 69c | 800$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No | 69c | 800$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed No | 69c | 771.89$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.29 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 67c | 746$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.18 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x473e…c0f6backed Yes | 2c | 738.64$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.64 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.16per pick | 40cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 67c | 699.96$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.99 | 287 | 55.1%158 W · 129 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf09…e85abacked Yes | 31c | 658.06$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 68c | 645.36$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.68 | 298 | 55.4%165 W · 133 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a23…fd22backed Yes | 31c | 610$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.1 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.3wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed No | 69c | 584$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.04 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10f9…9d91backed No | 69c | 579.71$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.71 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +141.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7841…7273backed Yes | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -5.1wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfe11…18cfbacked No | 68c | 500$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…8e51backed Yes | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47fb…0c7bbacked No | 68c | 500$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked No | 69c | 500$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked No | 69c | 499.99$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1572…7991backed Yes | 32c | 472.35$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.15 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -5.0wins | -0.28per pick | 50cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 69c | 463.85$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.79 | 94 | 59.6%56 W · 38 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e05…2ebcbacked No | 68c | 460$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.2 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 68c | 433$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.77 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc936…c08abacked Yes | 26c | 427.09$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.7 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 28cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Yes | 32c | 404.16$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.33 | 53 | 26.4%14 W · 39 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed No | 69c | 400$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 31c | 374.7$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.16 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfec2…08afbacked Yes | 28c | 362.79$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.58 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa77a…e6f9backed Yes | 29c | 339.31$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.21 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2c…5e10backed Yes | 32c | 325.76$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 112 | 50.9%57 W · 55 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14c3…0262backed Yes | 8c | 321.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 45 | 24.4%11 W · 34 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08c4…e6a5backed Yes | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed No | 69c | 300$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed No | 69c | 300$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked No | 69c | 300$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae92…d367backed No | 67c | 299.9$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.97 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25c5…0817backed Yes | 33c | 296.64$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.89 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6af…b5efbacked No | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.12 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | -8.5wins | -0.14per pick | 62cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 73c | 292.38$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.4 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b6…c914backed Yes | 12c | 284.92$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.19 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39bb…8d44backed Yes | 32c | 281.91$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Yes | 13c | 254.93$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.32 | 62 | 27.4%17 W · 45 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Yes | 32c | 253$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.96 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -49%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 68c | 250$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 168 | 46.4%78 W · 90 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Yes | 14c | 214.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c07…4529backed Yes | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 240 | 50.4%121 W · 119 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa494…4a1fbacked No | 69c | 200$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7de…2b59backed Yes | 22c | 189.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.8 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9006…385abacked No | 68c | 180.88$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.88 | 39 | 76.9%30 W · 9 L | +4.8wins | +0.12per pick | 65cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 69c | 168.76$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.05 | 264 | 45.5%120 W · 144 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c7…1942backed Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +3.1wins | +0.18per pick | 17cpaid | +90.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x56ae…9badbacked Yes | 28c | 160$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 69c | 151.5$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.96 | 624 | 52.6%328 W · 296 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed No | 69c | 150$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.5 | 132 | 56.1%74 W · 58 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd41b…f231backed Yes | 29c | 145.8$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5465…ba43backed No | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 70cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 32c | 142.14$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 27cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 32c | 131.97$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.23 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf795…ab90backed Yes | 30c | 130.17$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.05 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Yes | 14c | 125$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe270…6bdbbacked Yes | 32c | 125$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5c7…c6bdbacked Yes | 14c | 124$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.36 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42a9…565cbacked Yes | 33c | 121.21$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96ec…fcc4backed Yes | 33c | 115$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.95 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd33a…1fe2backed Yes | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…763bbacked No | 68c | 110.29$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.29 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Yes | 32c | 109.38$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 125 | 38.4%48 W · 77 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 68c | 109.15$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.42 | 420 | 46.4%195 W · 225 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-05-02?this page
- Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. RB Leipzig end in a draw?No won
- Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-05-02?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.