Bundesliga · resolved market
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-05-02?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x58d2893b12c5536c91691a785a70efcb1e46b7b5ba9e4ae18b9a5ecfdf0db3bc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $372,298
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $406,731
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $372,298 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 239 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfd29…77aebacked Yes | 45c | 132,545$59,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72,899.62 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…9b3cbacked No | 55c | 25,000$13,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,750 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 28c | 21,647$6,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,094.87 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0c…bcebbacked No | 55c | 20,000$11,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,000 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 55c | 20,000$10,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,899.99 | 166 | 52.4%87 W · 79 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…d62abacked Yes | 46c | 10,901$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,901.39 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 8c | 9,973$819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.47 | 481 | 41.8%201 W · 280 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd51…1041backed No | 56c | 8,920$5,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,020 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 55c | 8,000$4,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,400 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 54c | 7,217$3,897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,897.06 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 55c | 7,201$3,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,960.49 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e85…9b0bbacked No | 38c | 6,994$2,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,650 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked No | 55c | 6,000$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,300 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed No | 55c | 5,613$3,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,087.36 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -4.8wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed No | 55c | 5,455$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 54c | 4,984$2,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,709.87 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9212…4040backed No | 3c | 4,913$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.23 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2114…84c5backed No | 55c | 4,865$2,676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,676 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc8…2f68backed No | 55c | 4,829$2,656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,655.95 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes | 51c | 4,275$2,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,094.75 | 106 | 41.5%44 W · 62 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 15c | 4,089$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.04 | 407 | 44.5%181 W · 226 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…5068backed No | 56c | 4,000$2,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,239.97 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6945…729cbacked No | 1c | 3,903$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.17 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31c1…7047backed No | 52c | 3,821$1,987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,987 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4e…1dfcbacked No | 55c | 3,636$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.34per pick | 48cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 49c | 3,524$1,727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,726.52 | 486 | 58.6%285 W · 201 L | +44.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +33%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed No | 55c | 3,500$1,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,925 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Yes | 44c | 3,409$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,909.09 | 84 | 48.8%41 W · 43 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 44c | 3,300$1,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,848 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 15c | 3,124$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.65 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed No | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40b9…b002backed No | 56c | 3,000$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,680 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,620 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed No | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,649.88 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x89ec…ed41backed No | 55c | 2,942$1,608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,608.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb96c…6cc6backed No | 55c | 2,940$1,617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,617.1 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -63.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 22c | 2,921$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.76 | 640 | 43.9%281 W · 359 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 13c | 2,693$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.83 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 55c | 2,685$1,477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,476.94 | 208 | 45.7%95 W · 113 L | -16.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed No | 54c | 2,500$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 157 | 47.1%74 W · 83 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…017fbacked Yes | 44c | 2,476$1,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,386.68 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 46cpaid | +74.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e52…00f5backed No | 12c | 2,400$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +46%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 56c | 2,222$1,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,233.21 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed No | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked No | 3c | 2,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 60 | 10%6 W · 54 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +119.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Yes | 50c | 1,843$924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$918.8 | 96 | 46.9%45 W · 51 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fcf…80acbacked Yes | 46c | 1,739$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.13 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +63.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…94bcbacked No | 55c | 1,735$954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$954.34 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08f0…b809backed No | 53c | 1,631$865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$865.46 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 46c | 1,546$706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840.32 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb73…53b0backed Yes | 45c | 1,500$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +83.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 49c | 1,476$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726.97 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x171c…f0a0backed Yes | 70c | 1,429$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 55c | 1,300$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed No | 55c | 1,300$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Yes | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.96 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -5.3wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked No | 4c | 1,001$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.04 | 143 | 15.4%22 W · 121 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed No | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed No | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bfc…ce53backed Yes | 69c | 1,000$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 54c | 999.99$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 58 | 70.7%41 W · 17 L | +10.4wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 55c | 955$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.25 | 94 | 59.6%56 W · 38 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No | 55c | 900$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked No | 55c | 888$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.4 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -5.6wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed No | 55c | 800$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed No | 55c | 800$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No | 55c | 800$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed No | 13c | 795.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.71 | 62 | 27.4%17 W · 45 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1894…9b71backed Yes | 80c | 700.26$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.55 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 54c | 678.85$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.5 | 271 | 38.4%104 W · 167 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Yes | 47c | 638.3$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.3 | 64 | 28.1%18 W · 46 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 45c | 622.22$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.22 | 380 | 55.8%212 W · 168 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39b3…53b9backed Yes | 44c | 607.97$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.46 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed No | 8c | 598.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.24 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed No | 53c | 597.61$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.85 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed No | 36c | 580.58$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.11 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b6…c914backed Yes | 70c | 565.71$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.71 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd52c…6c59backed No | 31c | 516.58$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf0…df85backed No | 50c | 504$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 31cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1871…59e6backed Yes | 46c | 500$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe11…18cfbacked No | 55c | 500$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47fb…0c7bbacked No | 55c | 500$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked No | 55c | 500$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked No | 55c | 500$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 55c | 494.92$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.03 | 420 | 46.4%195 W · 225 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x054b…afd5backed Yes | 45c | 493.33$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.33 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 23c | 492.25$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.08 | 398 | 57.5%229 W · 169 L | +20.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e05…2ebcbacked No | 55c | 460$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed No | 55c | 450$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.5 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x353c…01d9backed Yes | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.44 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Yes | 44c | 442.43$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.76 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Yes | 45c | 424.7$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.71 | 298 | 55.4%165 W · 133 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed No | 56c | 410$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.6 | 240 | 50.4%121 W · 119 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 44c | 402$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.12 | 243 | 22.2%54 W · 189 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes | 49c | 400$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 92 | 52.2%48 W · 44 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed No | 55c | 400$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 46c | 391.24$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.27 | 114 | 47.4%54 W · 60 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked No | 54c | 380$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.2 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea3d…2e9dbacked Yes | 44c | 340.91$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.91 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9283…ba85backed Yes | 50c | 338$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-05-02?this page
- Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. RB Leipzig end in a draw?No won
- Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-05-02?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.