TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7fcf…80ac

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
92
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: NBA, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 57 out of 100; worst Europa Conference League at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2060%12 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20,225Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+50.1%+$10,133.95
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$676Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$676.19
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$663Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$662.75
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$7,484Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,484
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$578Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$578
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+62.6%+$939.02
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$984Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$805.22
Michael Olise: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$368Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$368
Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
Australia vs. Egypt: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+39%+$195.13
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Australia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$193
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$532Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$532
Will France win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$9,024Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$2,695.41
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$550
Switzerland vs. Canada: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$796Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$678.07
Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$804Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$536
Will France win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$6,343Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+50.3%+$3,192.19
France vs. Senegal: France O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+68.8%+$1,375.22
Will Türkiye win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$404Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+100%+$403.52
Will France win on 2026-03-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$527Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+86%+$453.5
All 20 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT1553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$2,911Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,911
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$563.83
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$7,941Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$4,663.76
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$838Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$838
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,910Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+100%+$2,910
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Carabao Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$501Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$500.77
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$785.71
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$501Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$501
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+75.4%+$264.04
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$227Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$227
Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)backed Everton FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+33.3%+$50
Everton FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+47.1%+$70.59
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$301Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+58.7%+$176.67
All 15 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$7,149Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+70.8%+$5,064.91
Will Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) reach the UEFA Champions League final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$3,117Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+100%+$3,117.21
Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,773Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+102.7%+$1,821.65
Will Arsenal reach the UEFA Champions League final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$3,292Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+37%+$1,217.59
Will Sporting CP reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$270.19
Will Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$975Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+60.1%+$585.46
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Club Brugge KV end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$540Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$317.14
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$340Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$340
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$217.24
Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-2.5)backed Club Brugge KV · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$370Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$370
Will Club Brugge KV win on 2026-02-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$63
All 12 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,500
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,500
Spread: Olympique de Marseille (-1.5)backed OGC Nice · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$687Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$323.09
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-04-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$493Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$492.8
Will FC Lorient win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$291Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$291
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$2,206Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+111.9%+$2,468.46
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-04-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$305Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$157.12
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$874Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$1,026.13
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$442Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$442
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-03-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,510Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+28.7%+$432.76
Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Lille OSC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$36
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$90
All 12 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick56cpaid-39.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+25.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 30, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick48cpaid+63.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+97.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LaMelo Ball: Points O/U 19.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$340Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+58.8%+$199.77
Timberwolves vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$63.64
Nuggets vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+194.1%+$157.24
Cavaliers vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+58.7%+$29.37
All 4 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AS Roma win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+63.9%+$51.15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mlslast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Cincinnati win on 2026-08-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$595Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$306.77
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-02-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$150
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.