Ligue 1 · resolved market
Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Lille OSC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x980929eeb1fff43a84b979e252237c26428df6aaadc4dee938258c6c692c996a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,905
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,905 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 73c | 16,022$11,723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,298.72 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed Over | 23c | 15,589$3,585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,585.38 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3497…812bbacked Under | 76c | 2,630$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.33 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 73cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 74c | 2,098$1,559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.44 | 211 | 44.5%94 W · 117 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 33c | 1,967$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.33 | 626 | 48.6%304 W · 322 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Under | 78c | 1,456$1,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.2 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +4.3wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Over | 23c | 1,249$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.37 | 53 | 28.3%15 W · 38 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Over | 21c | 1,220$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.28 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Under | 71c | 983.15$698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.2 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35d3…e506backed Over | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…220cbacked Over | 20c | 488.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc385…8eb0backed Over | 67c | 447.76$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 72cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked Over | 39c | 422.7$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.85 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3542…24f0backed Under | 35c | 419.01$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.01 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +4.8wins | +0.40per pick | 52cpaid | +85.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Under | 76c | 400$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Over | 27c | 397.73$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.95 | 84 | 34.5%29 W · 55 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 44c | 375.59$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.66 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…4806backed Over | 62c | 323.87$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.8 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7baf…99a7backed Over | 20c | 311.95$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.89 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc16f…0f4fbacked Over | 26c | 300$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d4…8e51backed Over | 14c | 297.7$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.72 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.25per pick | 46cpaid | +45%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 29c | 250$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.5 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 29c | 250$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.5 | 331 | 48.6%161 W · 170 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x694c…0215backed Over | 65c | 248.99$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 29c | 237.04$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.11 | 266 | 60.5%161 W · 105 L | +25.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 24c | 191.69$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.01 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Under | 72c | 177.84$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.8 | 117 | 53.8%63 W · 54 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8090…42c1backed Under | 72c | 172.49$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.49 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 71c | 157.84$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.83 | 593 | 48.4%287 W · 306 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc629…5e51backed Over | 67c | 149.7$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Under | 69c | 141.93$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.42 | 77 | 66.2%51 W · 26 L | +10.7wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 76c | 131.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.85 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 32c | 125.18$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.88 | 162 | 24.1%39 W · 123 L | -13.0wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked Over | 24c | 120$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 107 | 56.1%60 W · 47 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Under | 77c | 106.73$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.87 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…4d6ebacked Over | 51c | 104.23$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.9 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb4…692abacked Over | 24c | 104.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 27c | 102$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.84 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a2b…d4e9backed Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e72…54f0backed Under | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +4.9wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 67c | 80.9$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.2 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fcf…80acbacked Under | 55c | 80$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over | 24c | 76.31$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.31 | 232 | 60.8%141 W · 91 L | +15.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Over | 28c | 71.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 380 | 56.6%215 W · 165 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b82…7f3cbacked Over | 24c | 69.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 265 | 50.6%134 W · 131 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e08…19cabacked Over | 54c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5649…99adbacked Over | 29c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Under | 65c | 56.92$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.92 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -48%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 77c | 56.13$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.13 | 63 | 68.3%43 W · 20 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8a…8775backed Under | 72c | 55.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a6e…bd37backed Under | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.31per pick | 45cpaid | -69.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a0…e45ebacked Over | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e19…ce3fbacked Over | 23c | 49.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13b5…2c2cbacked Over | 29c | 48.28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9cb…ef98backed Over | 40c | 44.25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Under | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0742…86a0backed Over | 36c | 38.89$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 28cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ce3bbacked Under | 64c | 37.63$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.63 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed Over | 28c | 36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 106 | 43.4%46 W · 60 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e87…20cabacked Under | 72c | 34.26$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 76cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb20…16a1backed Over | 63c | 33.33$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 66c | 24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.16 | 263 | 46.4%122 W · 141 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b35…768ebacked Under | 53c | 23.7$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +3.5wins | +0.21per pick | 56cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x18b6…988dbacked Under | 71c | 21.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 73cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e14…bc35backed Under | 58c | 20.69$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.69 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.35per pick | 55cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bb…049fbacked Under | 63c | 20.19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.51 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…038cbacked Under | 77c | 19.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 71cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb17…32b2backed Under | 72c | 16.41$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Lille OSC: O/U 3.5this page
- Spread: Lille OSC (-1.5)Stade Rennais FC 1901 won
- Spread: Lille OSC (-2.5)Stade Rennais FC 1901 won
- Spread: Stade Rennais FC 1901 (-1.5)Lille OSC won
- Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Lille OSC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Lille OSC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Lille OSC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Lille OSC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.