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Ligue 1 · resolved market

Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Lille OSC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$75,351

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,351 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Over50c9,433$4,729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,704.181,93345.3%876 W · 1,057 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9df…2d62backed Under44c7,110$3,129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,128.6450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x036c…178dbacked Over46c6,723$3,092 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,630.181070%7 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick51cpaid+36.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Under54c6,660$3,596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,596.43141.9%13 W · 18 L-3.6wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-24.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under54c6,009$3,245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,244.66952.2%36 W · 33 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under54c5,915$3,173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,173.237638.8%146 W · 230 L-13.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under54c5,343$2,881 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,881.0321144.5%94 W · 117 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb49…1fbebacked Over48c4,141$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,141.451464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+30.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xba6f…fd5bbacked Over48c3,580$1,718 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,861.392653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under50c3,294$1,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,639.9812839.8%51 W · 77 L-9.8wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb2b6…032cbacked Over50c2,400$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,200333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Under52c2,000$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,039.998041.3%33 W · 47 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf6b7…cef9backed Over73c1,450$1,058 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over47c1,364$643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$720.7988044.2%389 W · 491 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid+6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over51c1,078$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$528.439458.5%55 W · 39 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcdad…9eaebacked Over44c1,000$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$560250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+13.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb58…86a4backed Over44c977.5$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$547.4966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+49.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over46c921.73$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$497.7320250%101 W · 101 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Over43c913.54$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524.856553.8%35 W · 30 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under46c853.82$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.841,42640.8%582 W · 844 L+14.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked Over46c727$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.583262.5%20 W · 12 L+5.0wins+0.16per pick47cpaid+42.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under49c674.55$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.8159348.4%287 W · 306 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a94…769cbacked Over49c612.86$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.861936.8%7 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-21%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02ea…220cbacked Over46c430.25$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.253231.3%10 W · 22 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-33.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c56…0615backed Under45c400$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1801546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under51c362.43$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.8449348.5%239 W · 254 L+13.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1667…4806backed Over48c312.5$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+91.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Over49c305.77$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.8411753.8%63 W · 54 L+6.3wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+16.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc16f…0f4fbacked Over49c299.99$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1539752.6%51 W · 46 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf60…79c5backed Over49c293.57$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.72650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2961…cfcfbacked Under50c273.71$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1369846.9%46 W · 52 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1966…da9ebacked Over51c245.1$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.13253.1%17 W · 15 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+18.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over48c221$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.929747.4%46 W · 51 L-5.8wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-15%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over46c217.11$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.1111044.5%49 W · 61 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4547…ac9bbacked Over48c200$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1042100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+90.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under50c173.86$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.727046.3%125 W · 145 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Over46c158$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.3214247.9%68 W · 74 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under52c154.61$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.462648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96b4…c2f1backed Over45c154.45$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.452548%12 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x092e…c685backed Over51c150.53$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.76250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x63c5…1ecbbacked Over52c139.99$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.26549.2%32 W · 33 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c80…6f38backed Over49c133.88$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.281936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-2.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xab15…7eacbacked Over50c130.68$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.34366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+54.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Over52c114.27$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.338434.5%29 W · 55 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8123…268cbacked Under45c111.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-40.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f57…770ebacked Under46c104.93$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.031464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+28.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0a2d…4f43backed Over48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.173100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+90.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5a2b…d4e9backed Under40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over46c100$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5422340.8%91 W · 132 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb052…7adabacked Over51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.041060%6 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Over50c97.79$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.8417251.2%88 W · 84 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc991…abd4backed Over48c91.06$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.352100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+91.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xad57…b8d3backed Over46c90.07$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.641346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick57cpaid-22.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0e72…54f0backed Over57c87.72$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.723070%21 W · 9 L+4.9wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+28.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1f6d…3070backed Under31c82$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.421520%3 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-57.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over58c80$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.624051.7%124 W · 116 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Over50c74.99$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.4938756.6%219 W · 168 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Over46c74.34$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.432552%13 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+0.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Over46c71.48$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.69256.5%52 W · 40 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+14.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Under45c70$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.52540%10 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Under55c65.68$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.851070%7 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+29%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x891f…88bfbacked Over61c65.57$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.572166.7%14 W · 7 L+2.9wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+25%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x56a7…9f37backed Under54c64.71$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.091136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-36.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd979…d8a0backed Over48c62.65$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.652100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Under53c60$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.53847.4%18 W · 20 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under49c59.1$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.9626550.6%134 W · 131 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Over57c57.87$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.877766.2%51 W · 26 L+10.7wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+27.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x1ca7…ce3bbacked Under36c56.06$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.181931.6%6 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-46.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29b0…3f3cbacked Under56c53.1$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.743647.2%17 W · 19 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bb4…692abacked Over48c52.08$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.08333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x671a…9ae0backed Under50c49.72$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.8610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa427…f87fbacked Over52c48.06$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.072857.1%16 W · 12 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+21%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x25fa…42a4backed Over51c47.45$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x94a5…4eb8backed Under53c47.2$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.02955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick57cpaid+9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3c80…93b5backed Over46c45.36$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.494544.4%20 W · 25 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8725…d370backed Over47c45.28$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.021926.3%5 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-40.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked Over47c44.99$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.847853.8%42 W · 36 L+5.6wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+20.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over51c44.25$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.8322954.1%124 W · 105 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed Under37c43.38$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163228.1%9 W · 23 L-4.0wins-0.13per pick41cpaid-48%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x45c1…4364backed Under49c41.9$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.611376.9%10 W · 3 L+2.6wins+0.20per pick57cpaid+43.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7353…a4f0backed Under49c41.12$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.26per pick48cpaid-55.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x472e…f14cbacked Over51c40.92$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.051100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x46ef…6318backed Over51c38.59$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.911100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6723…a540backed Over49c37.16$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.95862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31bb…3dbabacked Under54c37.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+26.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3eb0…9978backed Under50c36.8$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Under53c36.74$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.45328.3%15 W · 38 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over45c33.79$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.729450%47 W · 47 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+20.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4fc2…59f7backed Under50c33.74$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.8710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0ca…e89fbacked Under43c32.14$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.96250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-25.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4903…498dbacked Over46c31.76$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Under47c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.13855.3%21 W · 17 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over68c29$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.23455.9%19 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over62c26.19$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.9716624.1%40 W · 126 L-13.5wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-42.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbbe9…416cbacked Under50c25.78$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over48c24.58$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.789262%57 W · 35 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Over46c22.91$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.376368.3%43 W · 20 L+5.6wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x14b2…013fbacked Over53c21.26$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.07580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+51.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.