Ligue 1 · resolved market
Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Lille OSC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfb080864bfdf4267bf1c2d85b458e7ab803c6339a2f93fe309ca148d61a471dc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,095
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,095 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1414…ae7bbacked Over | 76c | 3,950$3,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$948 | 26 | 76.9%20 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 71cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 15c | 2,996$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.51 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 24c | 2,034$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.05 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Under | 23c | 1,293$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.32 | 53 | 28.3%15 W · 38 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 24c | 1,124$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.94 | 211 | 44.5%94 W · 117 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Under | 2c | 700$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 28 | 7.1%2 W · 26 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 2cpaid | +346.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Under | 30c | 417$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.48 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +4.3wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x092c…82a4backed Under | 26c | 304.05$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe198…c000backed Over | 74c | 304.05$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc16f…0f4fbacked Over | 73c | 299.96$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.99 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…1867backed Under | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.30per pick | 32cpaid | +74.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd56…d1cfbacked Over | 79c | 200$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Over | 79c | 190$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.9 | 65 | 29.2%19 W · 46 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Under | 25c | 142.56$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.86 | 84 | 34.5%29 W · 55 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 12c | 122.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.77 | 593 | 48.4%287 W · 306 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…d370backed Under | 29c | 105.76$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.73 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf94b…0639backed Over | 74c | 82.09$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Over | 72c | 71.42$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 380 | 56.6%215 W · 165 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5913…3bbebacked Over | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -5.4wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbb86…7dc4backed Over | 79c | 36$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 73c | 26$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.02 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e19…ce3fbacked Over | 71c | 24.72$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 71c | 17.45$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.06 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Lille OSC: O/U 1.5this page
- Spread: Lille OSC (-1.5)Stade Rennais FC 1901 won
- Spread: Lille OSC (-2.5)Stade Rennais FC 1901 won
- Spread: Stade Rennais FC 1901 (-1.5)Lille OSC won
- Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Lille OSC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Lille OSC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Lille OSC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Lille OSC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.