Ligue 1 · resolved market
Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Lille OSC: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6300bbcb9b5d52927ed009281e8c3180bee75b68d6784082f23e846d8827ea40
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,242
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,724
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,242 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Over | 10c | 1,250$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 53 | 28.3%15 W · 38 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x357b…0b65backed Under | 79c | 632.91$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.91 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 67cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 80c | 533$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.6 | 626 | 48.6%304 W · 322 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd491…60f0backed Over | 19c | 277.77$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6583…046bbacked Over | 19c | 277.77$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8c…8293backed Under | 76c | 138.72$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.72 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb226…e227backed Under | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Over | 24c | 106.45$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.73 | 84 | 34.5%29 W · 55 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x741c…bf80backed Over | 12c | 100.16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 34 | 11.8%4 W · 30 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 15c | 90.38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b35…768ebacked Over | 26c | 47.18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.27 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +3.5wins | +0.21per pick | 56cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4552…0333backed Under | 73c | 37.56$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.97 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa658…f93ebacked Under | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 71cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23e2…9ecdbacked Under | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x087f…2ebfbacked Under | 80c | 15.91$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.18 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bb…049fbacked Under | 71c | 14.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.24 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Lille OSC: O/U 4.5this page
- Spread: Lille OSC (-1.5)Stade Rennais FC 1901 won
- Spread: Lille OSC (-2.5)Stade Rennais FC 1901 won
- Spread: Stade Rennais FC 1901 (-1.5)Lille OSC won
- Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Lille OSC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Lille OSC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Lille OSC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Lille OSC: O/U 3.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.