Ligue 1 · resolved market
Spread: Stade Rennais FC 1901 (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb58861fd5ccccc5700d35c66cbcadd2b5b31ac6454c0dfd76c39422f146e9a28
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lille OSCof Stade Rennais FC 1901, Lille OSC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,295
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,295 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x35a6…cb8fbacked Stade Rennais FC 1901 | 22c | 6,377$1,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,403 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Lille OSC | 78c | 2,945$2,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.09 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Lille OSC | 79c | 1,441$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.37 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Stade Rennais FC 1901 | 6c | 649.54$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.24 | 53 | 28.3%15 W · 38 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed Stade Rennais FC 1901 | 20c | 505$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Lille OSC | 78c | 500$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 299 | 49.8%149 W · 150 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x802f…e008backed Stade Rennais FC 1901 | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Lille OSC | 78c | 491.55$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.14 | 211 | 44.5%94 W · 117 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b7e…7f73backed Stade Rennais FC 1901 | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7293…0516backed Stade Rennais FC 1901 | 20c | 281$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa1…4e7fbacked Lille OSC | 80c | 281$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ef1…352ebacked Lille OSC | 80c | 165.5$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7c…82f2backed Stade Rennais FC 1901 | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7841…7273backed Stade Rennais FC 1901 | 20c | 125$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Stade Rennais FC 1901 | 21c | 65$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…d370backed Stade Rennais FC 1901 | 21c | 49.34$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Stade Rennais FC 1901 | 22c | 49.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 84 | 34.5%29 W · 55 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x087f…2ebfbacked Lille OSC | 80c | 48.44$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.69 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…10c3backed Lille OSC | 80c | 44.8$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde66…be48backed Lille OSC | 80c | 43.2$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +3.2wins | +0.26per pick | 57cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8f4d…398dbacked Lille OSC | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b5…56abbacked Lille OSC | 80c | 37.26$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.45 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2a…a58dbacked Lille OSC | 80c | 35.7$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.14 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +4.3wins | +0.19per pick | 55cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf594…bfc1backed Lille OSC | 80c | 26.45$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.29 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e87…20cabacked Lille OSC | 79c | 25.31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 76cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca53…195fbacked Lille OSC | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe293…d3edbacked Lille OSC | 80c | 17.34$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.47 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a84…3598backed Lille OSC | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd91c…985ebacked Lille OSC | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Stade Rennais FC 1901 (-1.5)this page
- Spread: Lille OSC (-1.5)Stade Rennais FC 1901 won
- Spread: Lille OSC (-2.5)Stade Rennais FC 1901 won
- Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Lille OSC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Lille OSC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Lille OSC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Lille OSC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Lille OSC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.