TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd91c…985e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
81
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Middle East, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 59 out of 100; worst NHL at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT1850%9 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-18.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kings vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.3
Sharks vs. Senatorsbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.58
Flames vs. Ducksbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$140.99
Panthers vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+67%+$25.07
Blackhawks vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12.65
Canucks vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+66.3%+$11.73
Predators vs. Starsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Sabres vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$28.59
Capitals vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+35.7%+$11.44
Senators vs. Maple Leafsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+52.9%+$10.05
Flames vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+26.3%+$4.33
Islanders vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$30.97
Devils vs. Bluesbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+91.9%+$20.04
Oilers vs. Sharksbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$12.62
Oilers vs. Sharks: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$28.96
Bruins vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+98.1%+$49.14
Wild vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+66.7%+$12.75
Golden Knights vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+62.6%+$7.92
All 18 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST119.1%1 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick16cpaid-79.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$30.36
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$51.88
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$111.9
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$26.12
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$13.35
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$71.15
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$46.84
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$338Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$338.43
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$204.74
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$359Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+122.9%+$441.5
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 11 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+40.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+11.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.24per pick62cpaid+47.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+57.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.47per pick13cpaid+208.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Middle East — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-43.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-26.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.36
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.2
Spread: Sporting CP (-1.5)backed Sporting CP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+119.7%+$17.8
All 3 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-35.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Lynx vs Team Shpilit (BO3) - CCT Playoffsbacked Team Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+38.7%+$7.36
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Team Shpilit (BO3) - CCT Playoffsbacked Power Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+29.1%+$2.95
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Liverpool FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$15.14
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hellas Verona FC win on 2026-03-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$5.91
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+27.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be at least 1,050 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+27.1%+$4.06
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Stade Rennais FC 1901 (-1.5)backed Lille OSC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+25%+$2.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Shanghai Sharks vs. Qingdao Eaglesbacked Qingdao Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.07
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$11.75
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.