NHL · resolved market
Capitals vs. Canadiens
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0f314aeb3db2e3d769ceaf90c803ca5733a60a9ac97c7da77b79f271b22a78de
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Canadiensof Capitals, Canadiens
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $507,569
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $490,967
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $507,569 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 361 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9976…67dabacked Capitals | 40c | 215,214$86,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86,135.59 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Canadiens | 60c | 161,363$96,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65,045.16 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Canadiens | 60c | 100,866$60,511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,355.03 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Capitals | 41c | 55,989$22,951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,951.39 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Canadiens | 60c | 40,636$24,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,254.4 | 367 | 48%176 W · 191 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Capitals | 40c | 26,166$10,471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,470.7 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Capitals | 40c | 20,000$7,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,899.98 | 224 | 43.8%98 W · 126 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Canadiens | 61c | 8,197$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,196.72 | 321 | 51.7%166 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Canadiens | 60c | 7,878$4,727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,151.2 | 260 | 58.8%153 W · 107 L | +17.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Capitals | 40c | 7,000$2,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,819.98 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1632…cb68backed Capitals | 39c | 7,000$2,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,729.96 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Capitals | 39c | 6,566$2,561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,560.73 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Capitals | 39c | 6,467$2,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,522.03 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Capitals | 39c | 6,243$2,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,434.88 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Capitals | 3c | 6,029$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.63 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Capitals | 39c | 6,028$2,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,351.11 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Capitals | 39c | 5,974$2,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,329.96 | 332 | 43.7%145 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Capitals | 39c | 5,000$1,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,950 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Canadiens | 61c | 5,000$3,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,950 | 151 | 45%68 W · 83 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Canadiens | 61c | 5,000$3,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,950 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56f3…bf55backed Capitals | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…9858backed Capitals | 39c | 5,000$1,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,949.98 | 291 | 46.7%136 W · 155 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Canadiens | 61c | 4,918$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,918.03 | 403 | 56.3%227 W · 176 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Canadiens | 66c | 4,727$3,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,594.02 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Capitals | 4c | 4,309$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.31 | 393 | 44.8%176 W · 217 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Capitals | 40c | 4,153$1,661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,661.2 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Canadiens | 59c | 3,831$2,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,570.88 | 243 | 49.8%121 W · 122 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Capitals | 40c | 3,831$1,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,532.54 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Canadiens | 59c | 3,544$2,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,453.04 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Capitals | 40c | 3,500$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Canadiens | 60c | 3,333$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,333.33 | 315 | 50.8%160 W · 155 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Capitals | 40c | 3,325$1,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,329.98 | 435 | 48.5%211 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Capitals | 40c | 3,015$1,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,197.62 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Capitals | 40c | 2,948$1,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,179.27 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Capitals | 3c | 2,747$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.61 | 544 | 18%98 W · 446 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Capitals | 40c | 2,500$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed Capitals | 40c | 2,470$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbe…b84fbacked Canadiens | 61c | 2,459$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.02 | 182 | 58.2%106 W · 76 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Capitals | 39c | 2,420$944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$943.89 | 485 | 49.7%241 W · 244 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Capitals | 1c | 2,348$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.27 | 185 | 20.5%38 W · 147 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Capitals | 41c | 2,244$915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$914.98 | 210 | 48.1%101 W · 109 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Canadiens | 60c | 1,984$1,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$793.44 | 702 | 49%344 W · 358 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Capitals | 1c | 1,915$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.65 | 250 | 4.8%12 W · 238 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +159.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07bf…f9cebacked Capitals | 1c | 1,769$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.85 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5b…a699backed Capitals | 7c | 1,766$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Canadiens | 61c | 1,713$1,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.07 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Capitals | 39c | 1,583$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.76 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc070…203abacked Capitals | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 152 | 52%79 W · 73 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Canadiens | 59c | 1,220$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.18 | 428 | 47.2%202 W · 226 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Capitals | 29c | 1,180$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.19 | 519 | 49.5%257 W · 262 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Capitals | 34c | 1,106$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.65 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Capitals | 24c | 1,065$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.2 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69ff…0d1dbacked Canadiens | 68c | 1,035$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.5 | 271 | 50.2%136 W · 135 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…f205backed Capitals | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 242 | 0.8%2 W · 240 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Capitals | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 104 | 38.5%40 W · 64 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Capitals | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed Canadiens | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Capitals | 14c | 913.15$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.75 | 88 | 37.5%33 W · 55 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Canadiens | 71c | 853.08$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.56 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Capitals | 40c | 840.74$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.3 | 607 | 41%249 W · 358 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x429e…41bdbacked Capitals | 39c | 833$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.87 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebba…383cbacked Canadiens | 61c | 819.67$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.67 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce50…b747backed Canadiens | 61c | 819.67$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.67 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Canadiens | 59c | 747.57$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.5 | 622 | 49.4%307 W · 315 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae9b…50a8backed Canadiens | 61c | 737.7$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9852…111abacked Canadiens | 61c | 727.87$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.87 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -8.5wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…3b21backed Capitals | 40c | 699.85$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Capitals | 40c | 659.91$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.08 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7cb…bc54backed Capitals | 40c | 625$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 299 | 46.8%140 W · 159 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Capitals | 40c | 600$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 1,220 | 46.1%562 W · 658 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Capitals | 31c | 550.72$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.92 | 215 | 55.3%119 W · 96 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9de4…7f2ebacked Canadiens | 60c | 550$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | +8.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5142…ee20backed Canadiens | 61c | 517.46$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.81 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Capitals | 39c | 500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 540 | 47.6%257 W · 283 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a94…822cbacked Capitals | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 106 | 43.4%46 W · 60 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Canadiens | 59c | 500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 305 | 52.5%160 W · 145 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e0…d084backed Canadiens | 61c | 491.8$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.8 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d0…9e50backed Canadiens | 61c | 469$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.91 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Capitals | 36c | 450$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76a1…bc05backed Canadiens | 75c | 437.44$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.92 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Capitals | 40c | 435$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Canadiens | 61c | 421.31$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.31 | 472 | 56.8%268 W · 204 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4477…f882backed Canadiens | 61c | 417.97$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.01 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae9…0801backed Canadiens | 61c | 409.84$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.84 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Capitals | 39c | 399.8$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.96 | 457 | 51.6%236 W · 221 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e00…9e93backed Canadiens | 61c | 377.05$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.05 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +4.6wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf50b…3cadbacked Canadiens | 61c | 375.41$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.41 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0463…a137backed Capitals | 40c | 375$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…44bcbacked Capitals | 13c | 370$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.79 | 54 | 27.8%15 W · 39 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe82…d047backed Canadiens | 60c | 365.09$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x789f…15d7backed Canadiens | 60c | 364.56$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x298c…3e58backed Capitals | 41c | 364.13$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 185 | 48.1%89 W · 96 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d3…9af1backed Capitals | 40c | 362$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.8 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ee…4794backed Canadiens | 60c | 358.09$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc332…d4a3backed Canadiens | 60c | 356.71$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8320…0a7abacked Capitals | 41c | 353.85$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb337…5589backed Canadiens | 61c | 350$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.5 | 486 | 54.1%263 W · 223 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad6…8a06backed Capitals | 41c | 349.51$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe318…3440backed Capitals | 41c | 346.32$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed Capitals | 32c | 343.13$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.53 | 302 | 59.6%180 W · 122 L | +31.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Capitals vs. Canadiensthis page
- Capitals vs. Canadiens: O/U 5.5Over won
- Capitals vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5Over won
- Capitals vs. Canadiens: O/U 7.5Over won
- Spread: Canadiens (-1.5)Canadiens won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.