TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1e00…9e93

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
155
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: NHL, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 57 out of 100; worst Golf at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT5160.8%31 W · 20 L+4.6wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+18.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
NHL — the 51 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden Knights vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$54
Hurricanes vs. Flyersbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$38
Ducks vs. Golden Knightsbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$59
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
Ducks vs. Golden Knightsbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$63
Wild vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$35
Spread: Lightning (-1.5)backed Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$43.32
Canadiens vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.35
Kings vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$342Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$139.63
Wild vs. Starsbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$56.79
Kraken vs. Avalanchebacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Canucks vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$627Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$220.24
Kings vs. Canucksbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$198.98
Canadiens vs. Flyersbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Hurricanes vs. Senatorsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.12
Utah vs. Canucksbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+58.5%+$39.59
Avalanche vs. Starsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$44.34
Flyers vs. Islandersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$161Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+135.3%+$217.64
Predators vs. Kingsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+37%+$30.3
Maple Leafs vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$29.45
Utah vs. Krakenbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$27.16
Sabres vs. Senatorsbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.72
Canadiens vs. Rangersbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$34.07
Stars vs. Penguinsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$46.39
Showing 25 of 51 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2026, EDT270%0 W · 27 L-3.3wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Golf — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sam Burns win the 2026 Travelers Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.28
Will Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 Travelers Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.5
Will Sam Burns win the 2026 U.S. Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 U.S. Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.3
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 U.S. Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.67
Will Jon Rahm win the 2026 U.S. Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Sam Burns win the 2026 the Memorial Tournament presented by Workday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.89
Will J.J. Spaun win the 2026 Charles Schwab Challenge?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.03
Will Jon Rahm win the 2026 PGA Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.4
Will Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 PGA Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.55
Will Chris Gotterup win the 2026 PGA Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.2
Will Cameron Young win the 2026 PGA Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.15
Will Cameron Young win the 2026 Truist Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.22
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 RBC Heritage?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.48
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.99
Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Tommy Fleetwood win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Matt Fitzpatrick win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Sepp Straka win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Jon Rahm win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.17
Will Akshay Bhatia win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 Valero Texas Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.98
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 THE PLAYERS Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Will Collin Morikawa win the 2026 THE PLAYERS Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.56
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT2060%12 W · 8 L+2.6wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+38%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
CS2 — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Imperial vs largadosypelados (BO3) - CCT South America Series #1 Playoffsbacked Imperial · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.68
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$66
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$65
Counter-Strike: Favbet vs TNC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Group Stagebacked TNC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$47.4
Counter-Strike: Lavked vs The Last Resort (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #1 Group Stagebacked Lavked · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$30.65
Counter-Strike: Players vs Alzon (BO3) - CCT South America Series #1 Group Stagebacked Players · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality (BO5) - IEM Rio Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.88
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$93.33
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$206Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$72.43
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$84.59
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Bbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+157.2%+$182.05
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Passion UA (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Bbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$55.04
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Abacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.39
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs 3DMAX (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Abacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$149.36
Counter-Strike: BET-M 33 vs 1WIN (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Playoffsbacked BET-M 33 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.43
Counter-Strike: G2 vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1 Playoffsbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+201.5%+$154.86
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Heroic (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1 Playoffsbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.09
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Sinners (BO3) - BC Game Masters Championship Playoffsbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs HyperSpirit (BO3) - BC Game Masters Championship Playoffsbacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+41.9%+$30.92
All 20 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST2055%11 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jaxon Smith-Njigba: First Touchdownbacked Jaxon Smith-Njigba · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$12.4
Kenneth Walker III: Anytime Touchdownbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Hunter Henry: Anytime Touchdownbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Big Game: Player/HC to cry during National Anthem?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Drake Maye win the Super Bowl LX MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$44.53
Will Sam Darnold win the Super Bowl LX MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$329Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+44.9%+$147.73
Big Game: Coin Tossbacked Tails · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$73.44
Spread: Patriots (-3.5)backed Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+96.1%+$47.17
Rams vs. Bearsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+65.4%+$111.13
Texans vs. Patriotsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$35
49ers vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+29.9%+$29.87
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+96.1%+$33.63
Texans vs. Steelersbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+66.7%+$46.67
Spread: Patriots (-3.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+96.1%+$48.04
49ers vs. Eaglesbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+212.5%+$53.13
Bills vs. Jaguarsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+108.3%+$30.33
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+112.8%+$56.38
Rams vs. Panthersbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+88.7%+$53.21
All 20 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-24%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Connecticut Huskies vs. Illinois Fighting Illinibacked Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.79
Will Duke win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$28.19
Will Iowa State win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Florida Gatorsbacked Florida Gators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.73
St. John's Red Storm vs. Kansas Jayhawksbacked St. John's Red Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$14.59
Kentucky Wildcats vs. Iowa State Cyclonesbacked Iowa State Cyclones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$46.44
Texas Longhorns vs. Gonzaga Bulldogsbacked Gonzaga Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.71
NCAA Tournament: No. 16 seed to pull off an upset?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.05
Utah State Aggies vs. Villanova Wildcatsbacked Utah State Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+174.3%+$27.24
All 10 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+62.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Sean Strickland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$218.7
UFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Max Holloway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
UFC 326: Reinier de Ridder vs. Caio Borralho (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Caio Borralho · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+51.5%+$25.76
UFC 326: Michael Johnson vs. Drew Dober (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Michael Johnson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$20
UFC 326: Gregory Rodrigues vs. Brunno Ferreira (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Gregory Rodrigues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+66.7%+$26.67
UFC 326: Cody Garbrandt vs. Xiao Long (Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Cody Garbrandt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+138.1%+$27.62
UFC 325: Fiziev vs. Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Ruffy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+117.4%+$41.09
Will Tallison Teixeira win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$30
All 8 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$32.01
Timberwolves vs. 76ersbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.3
Spurs vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$10.96
Trail Blazers vs. Jazzbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+44.9%+$22.46
Bucks vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+100%+$60
Jazz vs. Heatbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+49.3%+$36.94
All 7 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+23.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Indiana win the 2026 College Football National Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+136%+$205.95
Spread: Indiana (-7.5)backed Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$29
Miami vs. Indianabacked Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+33.3%+$40
All 3 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-54.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Canada (-1.5)backed Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Men's Group B - Finland vs. Swedenbacked Sweden · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Men's Group C - Germany vs. Denmarkbacked Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+37%+$27.74
All 3 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.66
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$44.35
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.15
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.96
All 2 picks, newest first.
Poker Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Poker — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Poker, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nik Airball vs. Kristen Foxen: Higher winnings at Hustler Casino on Friday?backed Kristen Foxen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+163.2%+$65.26
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOUD (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffsbacked Vivo Keyd Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.