TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Golf · resolved market

Will Jon Rahm win the 2026 U.S. Open?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Golfevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$90,864
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$87,054

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $90,864 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Golf is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Golf
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x37ae…1002backed Yes13c30,000$3,900 inLost-$3,899.99210%0 W · 21 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d5e…0d8fbacked Yes6c6,777$407 inLost-$406.6230%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed Yes7c5,483$402 inLost-$4022020%4 W · 16 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-41.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b91…ae77backed Yes7c5,100$339 inLost-$3394810.4%5 W · 43 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick13cpaid-76.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9769…7cd7backed Yes6c4,175$265 inLost-$265156.7%1 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick6cpaid-83.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc26c…d532backed Yes6c4,167$250 inLost-$250140%0 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa002…e840backed Yes2c2,500$46 inLost-$45.95250%0 W · 25 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3d2…fe85backed Yes12c2,500$298 inLost-$29830%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x48ee…0db4backed Yes7c1,379$100 inLost-$10030%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6938…e766backed Yes6c1,250$75 inLost-$75333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick22cpaid-42.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x482a…7defbacked Yes5c1,000$50 inLost-$50306.7%2 W · 28 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-60.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1616…1c4ebacked Yes6c833.33$50 inLost-$50277.4%2 W · 25 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef54…c997backed Yes6c600$36 inLost-$3620%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes6c545.83$33 inLost-$32.75746.8%5 W · 69 L-6.7wins-0.09per pick16cpaid-80.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes8c358.12$29 inLost-$29.111414.3%2 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick19cpaid-61.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e00…9e93backed Yes6c200$12 inLost-$12270%0 W · 27 L-3.3wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9706…3eaabacked Yes11c136.36$15 inLost-$1520%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbacc…29e3backed Yes8c125$10 inLost-$1040%0 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Golf and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 61. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.