Golf · resolved market
Will Matt Fitzpatrick win the 2026 U.S. Open?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6f03c46f967028d6a9e8bca8970fc77723457ea58a5fff8a9ec9f641ad8e4c20
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Golfevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $105,569
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $63,973
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $105,569 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Golf is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Golf | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaa7b…0c1abacked Yes | 11c | 20,000$2,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,294.18 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf77b…e31dbacked Yes | 5c | 10,356$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d5e…0d8fbacked Yes | 4c | 9,142$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.53 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Yes | 6c | 7,041$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe42c…6bf9backed Yes | 8c | 3,897$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.44 | 50 | 8%4 W · 46 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ee…9bdcbacked Yes | 9c | 3,799$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.3 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -71.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa002…e840backed Yes | 2c | 3,503$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.14 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5fe…d475backed Yes | 8c | 3,258$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.05 | 32 | 9.4%3 W · 29 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 4cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 9c | 2,700$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.07 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6f…72f2backed Yes | 4c | 2,223$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Yes | 4c | 2,222$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc26c…d532backed Yes | 4c | 2,222$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8563…1eeabacked Yes | 7c | 1,515$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb8b…6d8abacked Yes | 7c | 1,429$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd62…5bb3backed Yes | 5c | 1,320$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.4 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b90…8cdcbacked Yes | 5c | 1,300$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1616…1c4ebacked Yes | 4c | 1,112$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 27 | 7.4%2 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Yes | 10c | 978.86$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.86 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Yes | 9c | 977.71$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.93 | 70 | 31.4%22 W · 48 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc050…067dbacked Yes | 5c | 650$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.25 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 4c | 577.47$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.76 | 295 | 3.7%11 W · 284 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6067…08eabacked Yes | 11c | 565.79$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.47 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5284…6f2bbacked Yes | 5c | 540.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.95 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25c7…9179backed Yes | 4c | 488.89$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c95…7ca6backed Yes | 8c | 476.19$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -78.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb9…e983backed Yes | 5c | 430.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc889…4903backed Yes | 12c | 409.84$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64a7…2133backed Yes | 9c | 399.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -67.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x978b…34f6backed Yes | 4c | 369.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.91 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -78.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9506…c548backed Yes | 4c | 361.88$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9186…9220backed Yes | 11c | 336.28$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.31 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17f6…93a2backed Yes | 4c | 333.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25e3…9f8cbacked Yes | 10c | 310.38$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.01 | 116 | 8.6%10 W · 106 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | +133.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbae…9a39backed Yes | 3c | 309.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca77…89bcbacked Yes | 7c | 303.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 11cpaid | +84.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x938d…8674backed Yes | 5c | 300$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc70b…d2f2backed Yes | 5c | 292.17$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 7c | 290.04$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.71 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7460…944ebacked Yes | 12c | 260.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -51%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c74…56a2backed Yes | 4c | 257$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ace…f3dabacked Yes | 4c | 243.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f3…2568backed Yes | 14c | 243.19$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.17 | 34 | 14.7%5 W · 29 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe830…39ecbacked Yes | 5c | 226.16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 6cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20b7…91b2backed Yes | 12c | 213.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43eb…e6c0backed Yes | 11c | 184.21$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -15%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00c8…9ccdbacked Yes | 10c | 149.92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…b33bbacked Yes | 12c | 103.14$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c10…5d44backed Yes | 10c | 101.39$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6f…1163backed Yes | 11c | 97.35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Golf and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 61. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Matt Fitzpatrick win the 2026 U.S. Open?this page
- Will Aaron Rai win the 2026 U.S. Open?No won
- Will Adam Scott win the 2026 U.S. Open?No won
- Will Adrien Dumont De Chassart win the 2026 U.S. Open?No won
- Will Akshay Bhatia win the 2026 U.S. Open?No won
- Will Alex Smalley win the 2026 U.S. Open?No won
- Will Alexander Noren win the 2026 U.S. Open?No won
- Will Andrew Novak win the 2026 U.S. Open?No won
- Will Benjamin James win the 2026 U.S. Open?No won
- Will Brian Harman win the 2026 U.S. Open?No won
- Will Brooks Koepka win the 2026 U.S. Open?No won
- Will Bryson DeChambeau win the 2026 U.S. Open?No won
- Will Cameron Smith win the 2026 U.S. Open?No won
- Will Cameron Young win the 2026 U.S. Open?No won
- Will Chris Gotterup win the 2026 U.S. Open?No won
- Will Collin Morikawa win the 2026 U.S. Open?No won
- Will Corey Conners win the 2026 U.S. Open?No won
- Will Dustin Johnson win the 2026 U.S. Open?No won
- Will Emiliano Grillo win the 2026 U.S. Open?No won
- Will Gary Woodland win the 2026 U.S. Open?No won
- Will Harry Higgs win the 2026 U.S. Open?No won
- Will J.J. Spaun win the 2026 U.S. Open?No won
- Will JT Poston win the 2026 U.S. Open?No won
- Will Jackson Koivun win the 2026 U.S. Open?No won
- Will Jacob Bridgeman win the 2026 U.S. Open?No won
- Will Jake Knapp win the 2026 U.S. Open?No won
- Will Jason Day win the 2026 U.S. Open?No won
- Will Joaquin Niemann win the 2026 U.S. Open?No won
- Will Jon Rahm win the 2026 U.S. Open?No won
- Will Jordan Spieth win the 2026 U.S. Open?No won
- Will Justin Rose win the 2026 U.S. Open?No won
- Will Justin Thomas win the 2026 U.S. Open?No won
- Will Keith Mitchell win the 2026 U.S. Open?No won
- Will Kristoffer Reitan win the 2026 U.S. Open?No won
- Will Kurt Kitayama win the 2026 U.S. Open?No won
- Will Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 U.S. Open?No won
- Will Maverick McNealy win the 2026 U.S. Open?No won
- Will Michael Kim win the 2026 U.S. Open?No won
- Will Min Woo Lee win the 2026 U.S. Open?No won
- Will Nick Taylor win the 2026 U.S. Open?No won
- Will Patrick Cantlay win the 2026 U.S. Open?No won
- Will Patrick Reed win the 2026 U.S. Open?No won
- Will Patrick Rodgers win the 2026 U.S. Open?No won
- Will Rickie Fowler win the 2026 U.S. Open?No won
- Will Robert MacIntyre win the 2026 U.S. Open?No won
- Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 U.S. Open?No won
- Will Russell Henley win the 2026 U.S. Open?No won
- Will Ryan Gerard win the 2026 U.S. Open?No won
- Will Sahith Theegala win the 2026 U.S. Open?No won
- Will Sam Burns win the 2026 U.S. Open?No won
- Will Sam Stevens win the 2026 U.S. Open?No won
- Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 U.S. Open?No won
- Will Sepp Straka win the 2026 U.S. Open?No won
- Will Shane Lowry win the 2026 U.S. Open?No won
- Will Sung-Jae Im win the 2026 U.S. Open?No won
- Will Tom Kim win the 2026 U.S. Open?No won
- Will Tommy Fleetwood win the 2026 U.S. Open?No won
- Will Tyrrell Hatton win the 2026 U.S. Open?No won
- Will Viktor Hovland win the 2026 U.S. Open?No won
- Will Wyndham Clark win the 2026 U.S. Open?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.