TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Golf · resolved market

Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 U.S. Open?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Golfevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$389,915
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$371,387

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $389,915 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 131 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Golf is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Golf
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xaa7b…0c1abacked Yes13c42,759$5,614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,614.17130%0 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x37ae…1002backed Yes10c41,506$4,201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,200.74210%0 W · 21 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b91…ae77backed Yes10c16,863$1,628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,627.864810.4%5 W · 43 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick13cpaid-76.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf472…a262backed Yes7c14,418$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$990.15244.2%1 W · 23 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick7cpaid-76.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6f3…2568backed Yes14c14,080$1,977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,977.393414.7%5 W · 29 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick20cpaid-52.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xae2b…90eabacked Yes9c13,364$1,249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,248.78230%0 W · 23 L-2.4wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1e10…0cd4backed Yes8c11,881$919 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$919.02219.5%2 W · 19 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick14cpaid-83.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x27d2…b0f8backed Yes12c10,720$1,299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,298.571811.1%2 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick18cpaid-68%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaff3…c3b2backed Yes7c6,757$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58a0…2b5bbacked Yes14c5,619$805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$804.87210%0 W · 21 L-3.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd105…7b2cbacked Yes13c5,443$704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703.81147.1%1 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick11cpaid-78.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2d5…df2fbacked Yes14c5,357$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75050%0 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc693…72dbbacked Yes9c5,083$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472.261711.8%2 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick8cpaid-69.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d97…f263backed Yes15c3,610$554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$554.14250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+37.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Yes16c3,041$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.614928.6%14 W · 35 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-40.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8db6…da81backed Yes9c3,000$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.12316.5%2 W · 29 L-3.8wins-0.12per pick19cpaid-58.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc5fe…d475backed Yes6c2,796$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.78329.4%3 W · 29 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick4cpaid-14.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x578e…c3c0backed Yes15c2,652$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40090%0 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa002…e840backed Yes2c2,450$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.45250%0 W · 25 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2b5…68e1backed Yes14c2,209$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.5100%0 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x06f8…2062backed Yes14c2,100$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.130%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Yes27c2,042$551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551.31687.4%5 W · 63 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-63%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed Yes12c2,001$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2472020%4 W · 16 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-41.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed No76c2,000$1,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-30%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb8b…6d8abacked Yes15c2,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30050%0 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes15c1,596$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.63746.8%5 W · 69 L-6.7wins-0.09per pick16cpaid-80.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa639…a48fbacked Yes14c1,560$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.34616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick15cpaid-53%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x011f…1122backed Yes8c1,448$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.96130%0 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x238c…57b1backed Yes15c1,358$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7ec…0931backed Yes15c1,333$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003511.4%4 W · 31 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick10cpaid+147.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc253…5800backed Yes16c1,265$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003611.1%4 W · 32 L+0.1wins0.00per pick11cpaid-44.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4047…b217backed Yes14c1,229$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.39166.3%1 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick10cpaid-78.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09b4…e56dbacked Yes12c1,122$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.22333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-41.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26e2…1a63backed Yes6c1,058$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.47137.7%1 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick11cpaid-87.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8563…1eeabacked Yes15c1,056$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.4350%0 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe42c…6bf9backed Yes6c1,050$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.59508%4 W · 46 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick11cpaid-41.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca3b…8a31backed Yes9c1,000$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91130%0 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5387…c91ebacked Yes12c999.99$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1151227.4%9 W · 113 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-42%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64ae…23c4backed Yes11c968.21$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc81f…656ebacked Yes15c946.13$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.92911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick17cpaid-85.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf12f…b30fbacked Yes16c943.4$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa40…c609backed Yes10c897$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.26520%1 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick17cpaid-41.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5e66…bbd2backed Yes15c866.04$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.82425%1 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick18cpaid-49%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Yes12c836.62$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005324.5%13 W · 40 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick20cpaid-29.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6dff…e1bdbacked Yes12c834.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003517.1%6 W · 29 L-3.0wins-0.08per pick26cpaid-61.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7b11…0e49backed Yes6c833.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50425%1 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick18cpaid-56.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0202…cba8backed Yes8c817.33$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fa8…d720backed Yes12c731.38$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.4720%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5eb…c512backed Yes16c724.56$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.35166.3%1 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick18cpaid-91.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x92ad…a084backed Yes14c714.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100425%1 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick8cpaid+259.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b39…a4e6backed Yes14c714.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7460…944ebacked Yes10c698.47$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick14cpaid-51%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb76c…992fbacked Yes15c682.28$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2cb…ad46backed Yes8c643.5$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.48517.8%4 W · 47 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick9cpaid+87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b1a…1662backed Yes16c604.1$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.9410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Yes14c600$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$844047.5%19 W · 21 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+296.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x43eb…e6c0backed Yes16c582.24$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$921233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick26cpaid-15%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x375e…9561backed Yes17c542.18$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.1710%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66f4…9c4cbacked Yes7c533.1$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.3920%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c7f…21bfbacked Yes11c480.45$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.4240%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe04…a198backed Yes14c479.99$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.230%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd8cd…e77cbacked Yes14c459.29$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.3520%1 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick17cpaid-53.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd63…a39abacked Yes14c455.06$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.96156.7%1 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick14cpaid-79.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaade…e6dabacked Yes14c427.57$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.8610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4023…96dfbacked Yes12c416.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501010%1 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick9cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b8f…52bebacked Yes12c412.92$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x814d…b842backed No76c398.91$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.74850%4 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc6f…e441backed Yes13c380.71$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.3520%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd57d…f5d4backed Yes14c376.88$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27db…3824backed Yes10c366.31$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4646…e5c9backed Yes12c363.33$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.7620%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb907…63f2backed Yes6c357.55$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.45128.3%1 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-56.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2308…6c79backed Yes14c357.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5040%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5284…6f2bbacked Yes14c344.99$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5050%0 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33fc…4602backed Yes15c340.96$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50244.2%1 W · 23 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick12cpaid-92.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd003…0113backed Yes12c333.33$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401428.6%4 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick23cpaid-17.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa11e…5ba7backed Yes15c318.62$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.79120%0 W · 12 L-2.6wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb871…1cb8backed Yes15c312.49$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.820%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes7c291.14$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.351414.3%2 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick19cpaid-61.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca77…89bcbacked Yes7c285.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20825%2 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick11cpaid+84.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a91…9c50backed Yes7c275$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33ef…92d7backed Yes15c272.11$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40425%1 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick15cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc70b…d2f2backed Yes12c267.74$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.4520%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c95…7ca6backed Yes8c250$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20119.1%1 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick14cpaid-78.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6ab…1533backed Yes14c247.83$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.14250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+50%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f9…5273backed Yes11c247.25$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.82333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick18cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5255…6e58backed Yes10c230$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.03633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick26cpaid-44.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9769…7cd7backed Yes14c214.29$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30156.7%1 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick6cpaid-83.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5bc…44eabacked Yes7c200$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14616.7%1 W · 5 L0.0wins+0.01per pick16cpaid-74.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f4d…94ebbacked Yes10c190$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5720%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe14…d255backed Yes11c188.93$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.88616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick15cpaid+66.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5406…9815backed Yes20c186.87$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3720%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b10…ffd3backed Yes16c185.08$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick27cpaid-78.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd27d…95cebacked Yes12c185$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.7620%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xebee…db81backed Yes14c168.52$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.5950%0 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9aa7…e3d9backed Yes12c165$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.984613%6 W · 40 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick11cpaid-35.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24ee…4e60backed Yes14c162.14$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.7714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick19cpaid-61.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4166…3e91backed Yes16c156.25$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2520%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12d4…6c49backed Yes13c151.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a26…1368backed Yes12c150.83$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Golf and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 61. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.