TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Golf · resolved market

Will Tommy Fleetwood win the 2026 U.S. Open?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Golfevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$92,787
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$72,669

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $92,787 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Golf is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Golf
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xae2b…90eabacked Yes7c9,613$700 inLost-$700230%0 W · 23 L-2.4wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1ce8…3bd3backed Yes5c9,091$464 inLost-$464.2320%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d5e…0d8fbacked Yes5c5,891$265 inLost-$265.130%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe42c…6bf9backed Yes4c5,284$189 inLost-$189.02508%4 W · 46 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick11cpaid-41.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed Yes7c5,114$358 inLost-$3582020%4 W · 16 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-41.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb911…7c31backed Yes5c5,000$230 inLost-$230368.3%3 W · 33 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick5cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes11c4,510$504 inLost-$504.34746.8%5 W · 69 L-6.7wins-0.09per pick16cpaid-80.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa002…e840backed Yes1c3,600$43 inLost-$43.2250%0 W · 25 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e2f…0cc5backed Yes5c2,947$140 inLost-$14010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25e3…9f8cbacked Yes3c1,648$41 inLost-$41.451168.6%10 W · 106 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick5cpaid+133.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1616…1c4ebacked Yes5c1,111$50 inLost-$50277.4%2 W · 25 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b90…8cdcbacked Yes5c1,100$50 inLost-$49.5140%0 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe713…af20backed Yes5c1,064$50 inLost-$5030%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x25c7…9179backed Yes5c1,042$50 inLost-$50130%0 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee0d…1fc5backed Yes4c986.83$44 inLost-$43.9210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2308…6c79backed Yes4c888.89$40 inLost-$4040%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8563…1eeabacked Yes6c845.85$50 inLost-$5050%0 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9403…cd0ebacked Yes5c838.19$40 inLost-$40352.9%1 W · 34 L-0.1wins0.00per pick3cpaid-83.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd62…5bb3backed Yes5c794.49$37 inLost-$36.541315.4%2 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick19cpaid-57.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe04…a198backed Yes5c714.28$32 inLost-$32.1430%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes4c505.14$20 inLost-$20.2123319.3%45 W · 188 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-31.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Yes3c478.91$12 inLost-$12.476241.9%26 W · 36 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-30.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ae8…8b72backed Yes4c471.56$21 inLost-$21.2220%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c16…09cbbacked Yes5c463.66$21 inLost-$20.861225%3 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick13cpaid+73.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Yes4c420$16 inLost-$15.96933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick30cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb78d…835dbacked Yes6c398.1$25 inLost-$25.251421.4%3 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-57.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed17…ad0bbacked Yes5c384.62$20 inLost-$201631.3%5 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick25cpaid+54.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x95ec…b6debacked Yes4c375$15 inLost-$15742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.25per pick18cpaid+204.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9769…7cd7backed Yes4c334.73$15 inLost-$15156.7%1 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick6cpaid-83.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f13…12ddbacked Yes6c300$17 inLost-$1710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes4c292$12 inLost-$11.972953.7%11 W · 284 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick6cpaid-73.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed No77c268.98$206 inWon+$63.08966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33fc…4602backed Yes5c266.79$13 inLost-$12.73244.2%1 W · 23 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick12cpaid-92.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x55dc…19a3backed Yes5c266.27$13 inLost-$12.8210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38ed…4ed7backed Yes5c230$10 inLost-$10.3530%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e78…4e67backed Yes5c214.9$10 inLost-$1020%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9118…b410backed Yes5c212.88$10 inLost-$101711.8%2 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick10cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6a4…ca7fbacked Yes5c205.49$10 inLost-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdaaf…f9e0backed Yes7c147.92$10 inLost-$1030%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5bc5…c64dbacked No76c75$57 inWon+$1810268.6%70 W · 32 L+14.0wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+27.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Golf and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 61. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.