TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Golf · resolved market

Will Sam Burns win the 2026 U.S. Open?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Golfevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$238,990
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$228,342

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $238,990 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Golf is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Golf
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1624…bf63backed No76c25,949$19,822 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,127.46933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick30cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2ee…9bdcbacked Yes22c15,721$3,411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,410.842218.2%4 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick25cpaid-71.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Yes28c13,515$3,821 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,820.725324.5%13 W · 40 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick20cpaid-29.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Yes26c12,446$3,277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,277.024928.6%14 W · 35 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-40.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No79c11,799$9,319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,479.63030%9 W · 21 L+0.1wins0.00per pick30cpaid-43.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2cb…ad46backed Yes3c8,260$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208517.8%4 W · 47 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick9cpaid+87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc26c…d532backed Yes3c7,700$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200140%0 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked No71c7,092$5,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,031.422546.7%105 W · 120 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xccc4…5fa6backed Yes2c5,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120263.8%1 W · 25 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick2cpaid+174.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b91…ae77backed Yes14c4,725$673 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$672.774810.4%5 W · 43 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick13cpaid-76.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x69ad…31e6backed No71c3,546$2,532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,013.71812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick37cpaid-82.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x011f…1122backed Yes6c3,522$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.81130%0 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed No75c3,195$2,385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$810.764951%25 W · 24 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-14.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09b4…e56dbacked Yes29c3,091$911 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$911.14333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-41.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked No71c2,804$1,991 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$812.819747.4%46 W · 51 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed Yes30c2,528$771 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$770.792020%4 W · 16 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-41.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed No74c2,190$1,631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$559.318429.8%25 W · 59 L-7.9wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-45.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe42c…6bf9backed Yes4c2,125$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.21508%4 W · 46 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick11cpaid-41.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked No78c2,085$1,622 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463.416241.9%26 W · 36 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-30.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe558…dcd2backed Yes10c1,980$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.044112.2%5 W · 36 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick11cpaid+7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5711…2f81backed Yes4c1,917$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.08382.6%1 W · 37 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick4cpaid-76.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5fe…d475backed Yes2c1,622$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.08329.4%3 W · 29 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick4cpaid-14.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa34b…6118backed Yes32c1,543$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf472…a262backed Yes25c1,421$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.73244.2%1 W · 23 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick7cpaid-76.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7db3…e04cbacked Yes7c1,413$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.8910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5387…c91ebacked Yes3c1,330$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.991227.4%9 W · 113 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-42%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd535…fc47backed Yes10c1,126$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.28742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick33cpaid-28.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x140b…d0d9backed Yes5c1,107$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6040%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x814d…b842backed Yes20c995$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.24850%4 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb8b…6d8abacked Yes11c934.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10050%0 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0eb…af1ebacked Yes2c807.08$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.373915.4%6 W · 33 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick12cpaid-28.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9548…655fbacked Yes25c799.35$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.24520%1 W · 4 L0.0wins+0.01per pick19cpaid+42%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e00…9e93backed Yes3c600$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15270%0 W · 27 L-3.3wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1158…0dc0backed Yes3c560.56$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15175.9%1 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick10cpaid-71.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x312d…6814backed No67c558.73$373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.597062.9%44 W · 26 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed Yes22c521.67$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.74742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-26.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No79c510.81$406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.0918446.2%85 W · 99 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x510f…a43cbacked Yes21c486.81$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.585540%22 W · 33 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-25.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeee6…cbfebacked Yes20c485.69$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.141030%3 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-55.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6f3…2568backed Yes5c454.55$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253414.7%5 W · 29 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick20cpaid-52.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb0d6…7475backed No75c432.25$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.85666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x51f7…ae1fbacked No75c415$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.598756.3%49 W · 38 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf73d…f66bbacked Yes3c400$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid-21.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Yes10c396.9$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.284337.2%16 W · 27 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4646…e5c9backed Yes30c334.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa7db…6688backed Yes6c319.64$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.54425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-65.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31f5…c806backed Yes31c313.03$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.041729.4%5 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-40.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x45e1…5934backed No77c303.77$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.672100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked No78c301.34$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.251952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.10per pick43cpaid-7.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ca2…03cfbacked Yes12c301$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.6210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x66df…9811backed Yes36c265.63$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.698118.5%15 W · 66 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-37%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58b6…c324backed Yes13c250.53$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.541546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-30.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5822…8774backed No69c229.01$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.453100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ead…a840backed Yes33c183.79$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-32.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6854…67d0backed No79c148$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.39955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid-15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed No68c147.71$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.711154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-20.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes23c129.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.71746.8%5 W · 69 L-6.7wins-0.09per pick16cpaid-80.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x946e…9749backed Yes35c128.29$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick24cpaid+95%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed No64c123$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.282441.7%10 W · 14 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-19%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc2d1…a0f1backed Yes23c109.18$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ca0…cb82backed Yes24c104.39$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25110%0 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x077c…8b1fbacked No76c100.66$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.04450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44cc…7120backed Yes13c93.44$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x24ee…4e60backed Yes38c93.25$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.9714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick19cpaid-61.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58cb…b829backed Yes23c88.08$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-30.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9aa7…e3d9backed Yes18c82.94$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.044613%6 W · 40 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick11cpaid-35.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1edb…a60bbacked Yes35c71.64$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.86825%2 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-41.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x827a…e58fbacked Yes21c71.48$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b10…ffd3backed Yes28c70.96$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick27cpaid-78.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7e47…bb7fbacked Yes31c65.09$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x285f…0f08backed No64c62.92$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.923836.8%14 W · 24 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick33cpaid-5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a7f…dcdebacked Yes28c56.17$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43a8…d77fbacked No68c26.37$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cfd…dfe7backed No69c20.94$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.59666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee02…ce88backed No77c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Golf and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 61. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.