TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Golf · resolved market

Will Russell Henley win the 2026 U.S. Open?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Golfevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$12,942
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$11,712

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,942 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 10 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Golf is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Golf
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa2cb…ad46backed Yes3c2,400$60 inLost-$60517.8%4 W · 47 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick9cpaid+87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f92…1d26backed Yes3c1,500$39 inLost-$3920%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe42c…6bf9backed Yes2c1,413$28 inLost-$28.41508%4 W · 46 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick11cpaid-41.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca3b…8a31backed Yes4c1,201$50 inLost-$50130%0 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc050…067dbacked Yes3c875$22 inLost-$21.881711.8%2 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-34.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b11…0e49backed Yes3c566.28$15 inLost-$15425%1 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick18cpaid-56.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5387…c91ebacked Yes3c500$14 inLost-$141227.4%9 W · 113 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-42%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6938…e766backed Yes3c433.08$11 inLost-$11.23333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick22cpaid-42.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x648c…09c6backed Yes3c400$10 inLost-$10.4313.2%1 W · 30 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick5cpaid-94%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee1d…e134backed Yes3c377.79$10 inLost-$10258%2 W · 23 L0.0wins0.00per pick8cpaid-55.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Golf and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 61. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.