TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Golf · resolved market

Will Bryson DeChambeau win the 2026 U.S. Open?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Golfevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$74,627
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$63,243

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,627 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Golf is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Golf
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x37ae…1002backed Yes5c30,503$1,482 inLost-$1,481.65210%0 W · 21 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x011f…1122backed Yes0c10,000$10 inLost-$10130%0 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb2d9…26a2backed Yes3c4,244$120 inLost-$120130%0 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x81b5…a252backed Yes4c2,795$100 inLost-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x482a…7defbacked Yes2c2,500$60 inLost-$60306.7%2 W · 28 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-60.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27d2…b0f8backed Yes5c2,390$125 inLost-$1251811.1%2 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick18cpaid-68%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x64a7…2133backed Yes2c2,371$50 inLost-$50.02616.7%1 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick16cpaid-67.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12a7…399bbacked Yes2c1,711$41 inLost-$41.07362.8%1 W · 35 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick4cpaid-92.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeaf8…641ebacked Yes5c1,103$50 inLost-$50250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-34.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9536…369bbacked Yes5c1,041$50 inLost-$50714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick8cpaid+70.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd552…799cbacked Yes5c1,023$55 inLost-$5540%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes3c1,018$33 inLost-$32.69746.8%5 W · 69 L-6.7wins-0.09per pick16cpaid-80.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xccc4…5fa6backed Yes2c1,010$21 inLost-$21.22263.8%1 W · 25 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick2cpaid+174.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x648c…09c6backed Yes2c1,000$24 inLost-$24313.2%1 W · 30 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick5cpaid-94%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc81f…656ebacked Yes6c883.24$49 inLost-$49.23911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick17cpaid-85.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e9c…142bbacked Yes3c716.67$20 inLost-$2060%0 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebeb…903ebacked Yes3c630.59$20 inLost-$2010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe42c…6bf9backed Yes2c602.13$12 inLost-$12.16508%4 W · 46 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick11cpaid-41.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc5d1…dabdbacked Yes2c500$10 inLost-$10714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick10cpaid-59.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e83…0523backed Yes3c500$15 inLost-$1550%0 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b3a…35e6backed Yes3c436.93$13 inLost-$12.720%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe830…39ecbacked Yes3c361.27$10 inLost-$10911.1%1 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick6cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd49…d059backed Yes4c256.51$10 inLost-$1030%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Golf and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 61. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.