TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe6f3…2568

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
282
Categories scored
38
Categories below 50
18

Best Category: Tennis, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 57 out of 100; worst Middle East at 34.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT6838.2%26 W · 42 L-4.8wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-36.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 68 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$2,940Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,939.68
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.09
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.58
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+68.1%+$34.13
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.09
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$2,048Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,048.09
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+32%+$24.25
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.1
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$263Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$262.55
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$516Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$515.97
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$702Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$701.75
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$952Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$952.26
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$146.04
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$116.04
England vs. DR Congo: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+36.7%+$33.28
Spread: France (-1.5)backed Sweden · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.17
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$261Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$260.63
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$314Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$314.22
Germany vs. Paraguay: Germany O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$209Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+33.9%+$70.84
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Brazil vs. Japan: Team to Advancebacked Japan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.78
Showing 25 of 68 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT3414.7%5 W · 29 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick20cpaid-52.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Golf — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sam Burns win the 2026 The Open Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.59
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 The Open Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$132.16
Will Bryson DeChambeau win the 2026 The Open Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$112.8
Will Cameron Young win the 2026 The Open Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.28
Will Collin Morikawa win the 2026 The Open Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.59
Will Viktor Hovland win the 2026 Travelers Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$271Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+288.8%+$782.11
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Travelers Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$245.32
Will Wyndham Clark win the 2026 Travelers Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$161
Will Matt Fitzpatrick win the 2026 Travelers Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.35
Will Eric Cole win the 2026 Travelers Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Wyndham Clark win the 2026 U.S. Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$3,519Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+185.5%+$6,527.54
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 U.S. Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$1,977Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,977.39
Will Tom Kim win the 2026 U.S. Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Sahith Theegala win the 2026 U.S. Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Sam Burns win the 2026 U.S. Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Keith Mitchell win the 2026 U.S. Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Sam Stevens win the 2026 U.S. Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 U.S. Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.28
Will Matt Fitzpatrick win the 2026 U.S. Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.17
Will Collin Morikawa win the 2026 U.S. Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 U.S. Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$289Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$288.79
Will Chris Gotterup win the 2026 U.S. Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Brooks Koepka win the 2026 U.S. Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Patrick Reed win the 2026 U.S. Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Bud Cauley win the 2026 RBC Canadian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+82.1%+$66.99
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT3438.2%13 W · 21 L-8.2wins-0.24per pick62cpaid-39.6%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
Middle East — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$472Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$472
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,107Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+169%+$1,870.46
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$805Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$805
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$352Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+88.2%+$310.12
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.7
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$2,011Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,011
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.53
Will Iran strike Bahrain again in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+47%+$93.94
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 29, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+30.6%+$29.09
US strikes Iran by March 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$118
US strikes Iran by March 5, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$175
US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$175
US strikes Iran by March 11, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$167
US strikes Iran by March 8, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$185
US strikes Iran by March 4, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$203
US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$207Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$207
US strikes Iran by March 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$163
US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$210
US strikes Iran by March 12, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$165
US strikes Iran by March 9, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$180
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$179Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+48.6%+$86.86
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+60.1%+$68.57
US strikes Iran by March 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$172
US strikes Iran by March 6, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$173
US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+31.1%+$62.15
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT2347.8%11 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+754.7%+$441.49
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.6
Will LeBron James play for the New York Knicks in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.4
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.51
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.21
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,385Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+115.3%+$1,597.44
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,168Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,168
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$577Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+72.9%+$420.9
Will Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-1 be the exact series outcome?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,565Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+174.8%+$2,734.59
Will Karl-Anthony Towns win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will OG Anunoby win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$978Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$978.03
Will Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-2 be the exact series outcome?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$186.02
Will Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-3 be the exact series outcome?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$223Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$222.93
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$787Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$787
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+36.7%+$11.02
Will the Boston Celtics win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$373Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$373
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win more than 49.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$220
Lakers vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$268Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$80.13
Suns vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$66.14
Timberwolves vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$79.07
Celtics vs. Heatbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$2,040Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$1,098.59
Mavericks vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$172Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+34.1%+$58.74
Celtics vs. Clippersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+40.8%+$8.17
All 23 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-18%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 1320-1359 tweets in April 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$263Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$263
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+164.9%+$362.82
Will Elon Musk post 1280-1319 tweets in March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$270
Will Elon Musk post 1400+ tweets in March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$312Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$312
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$257Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+108.6%+$279.17
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$71
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$196
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 26 to March 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+42.3%+$92.96
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$386Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+76%+$293.48
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 23 to March 25, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$620Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+44.7%+$276.99
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$77
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+30.1%+$39.79
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$14
All 13 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.97
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+36.9%+$24.7
Will Solana reach $100 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$182Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+65.1%+$118.45
Will Solana dip to $80 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+43.2%+$44.5
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+78.6%+$15.71
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$22
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+27.4%+$14.54
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+69.5%+$9.03
Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$172Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+41.9%+$72.11
All 11 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2026, EDT1090%9 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.23per pick67cpaid+37.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Tennis — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Halle Open: Alexander Zverev vs Taylor Fritzbacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$21.3
HSBC Championships: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Corentin Moutetbacked Corentin Moutet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+105.2%+$31.95
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$2,165Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+74.9%+$1,620.76
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Matteo Arnaldi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$4,093Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+44.3%+$1,814.53
Bucharest Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Dino Prizmicbacked Dino Prizmic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$176
Bucharest Open: Stefanos Sakellaridis vs Fabian Marozsanbacked Fabian Marozsan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$42.09
Menorca: Miguel Damas vs Daniel Rinconbacked Daniel Rincon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$62.26
Bucharest Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Adrian Mannarinobacked Daniel Merida Aguilar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$32.83
US Men's Clay Court Championships: Rinky Hijikata vs Frances Tiafoebacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$44.19
Grand Prix Hassan II: Luca Van Assche vs Tallon Griekspoorbacked Luca Van Assche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$629Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+26.3%+$165.3
All 10 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-22.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.31
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$209.91
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$85.05
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$140.15
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$933Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+35%+$326.81
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+42.9%+$19.29
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$311Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$225.21
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$72.41
All 8 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-42.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Commodities — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick63cpaid-44.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+40.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.13per pick67cpaid+25.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-36.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-44.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick63cpaid+5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+111.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$335Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+28.8%+$96.32
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-01-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+194.1%+$38.82
All 2 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-9.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Chess — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Como 1907 vs. Udinese Calcio end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will AC Milan win on 2026-01-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+63.9%+$25.57
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-29.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+41%+$48.73
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$31
All 2 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick76cpaid-33.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+184.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$378Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+184.5%+$697.26
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2026-01-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+88.7%+$17.74
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Adelaide United FC vs. Auckland FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$80.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+48.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$191Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+48.6%+$92.89
All 1 picks, newest first.
Poker Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+46%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Poker — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Poker, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sam Soverel win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$273Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+46%+$125.69
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the DHS shutdown end after March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$423Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+44.3%+$187.24
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$38.14
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CS Independiente Rivadavia win on 2026-04-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$60.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+34.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Indiana win the 2026 College Football National Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+34.3%+$13.72
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$540Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+33%+$178.19
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$146
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mumbai Indians win the 2026 Indian Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Conor McGregor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$302Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$301.89
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-01-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.