TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Will the Boston Celtics win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,068,298
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,040,042

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,068,298 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 607 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8bd3…bf4dbacked Yes23c85,651$19,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,699.73333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-45.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19cf…ce7bbacked Yes31c66,488$20,811 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,810.7420%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb2e3…4ab6backed Yes24c64,300$15,175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,174.810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xedf4…45dcbacked Yes32c53,250$17,253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,25310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d8e…18d0backed No69c25,085$17,233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,851.61250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-27.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0324…ac85backed No68c24,320$16,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,879.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5886…d85abacked No69c23,423$16,092 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,331.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb95…1758backed No68c23,180$15,670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,510.322100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16ae…dca5backed No77c23,086$17,776 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,309.78250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-35.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8764…17adbacked No76c22,800$17,419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,380.82100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8cea…8a3bbacked No69c22,325$15,337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,987.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6712…a5f0backed No77c22,040$16,971 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,069.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x576f…e334backed No76c21,700$16,579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,121.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+30.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3857…2b7dbacked No77c20,099$15,476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,622.771100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf1c…0003backed No77c20,047$15,436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,610.81250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-35.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed No50c20,000$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,999.9949244.3%218 W · 274 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7853…19b8backed No76c19,800$15,127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,672.83100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+42.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked No60c16,666$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,666.3993148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No53c14,181$7,468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,713.022,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeba3…e659backed Yes22c12,750$2,818 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,817.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeab4…e210backed Yes51c11,800$6,037 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,037.0720%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e7a…1eecbacked Yes39c10,309$4,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,050.131453.5%168 W · 146 L+0.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed No68c10,199$6,890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,309.4278445.8%359 W · 425 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f51…7b9ebacked Yes39c10,100$3,914 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,914.210835.2%38 W · 70 L-7.7wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-6.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6e2e…3ffcbacked Yes23c9,940$2,237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,236.510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ed7…0803backed Yes33c9,166$3,034 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,033.95250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadc1…53a6backed No67c9,166$6,132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,033.952100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+82%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbffd…d0b5backed Yes43c8,724$3,723 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,722.59728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick52cpaid-47.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0ced…12b2backed Yes18c8,577$1,582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,581.542317.4%4 W · 19 L-3.5wins-0.15per pick33cpaid-70.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcf98…6e0abacked No72c8,170$5,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,269.611070%7 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+35.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfb64…5e23backed No64c7,833$4,986 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,847.5926530.9%82 W · 183 L+0.8wins0.00per pick31cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x478f…f5d9backed Yes45c7,259$3,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,30022035.5%78 W · 142 L-11.5wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Yes40c6,000$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,40056945.3%258 W · 311 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0333backed No68c4,920$3,326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,594.191100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes41c4,631$1,908 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,907.862,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47cb…dfdabacked Yes5c4,541$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.257726%20 W · 57 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-28.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe25c…ae63backed Yes22c4,533$987 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$986.8440448.3%195 W · 209 L-1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0e6…9fcabacked Yes31c4,345$1,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,359.9920%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3349…c0b8backed Yes47c4,010$1,898 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,898.47048.6%34 W · 36 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc092…0cd9backed Yes38c3,873$1,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,460.095032%16 W · 34 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-5.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x82ff…f0c4backed Yes39c3,801$1,486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,486.27147.9%34 W · 37 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x445e…9be0backed Yes38c3,721$1,426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,426.017358.9%43 W · 30 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0b17…1a5cbacked Yes45c3,708$1,661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,661.53735.1%13 W · 24 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-3.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a10…8b30backed Yes33c3,632$1,183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,183.3350239%196 W · 306 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x828c…95febacked No78c3,520$2,728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$792250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-35.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f63…17c4backed No78c3,500$2,713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$787.52100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+51.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5407…43c8backed No78c3,420$2,664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$755.821100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd1f…ea7abacked Yes39c3,316$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,300862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick59cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe085…0317backed No78c3,280$2,555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$724.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22f9…f814backed Yes52c3,260$1,708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,708.211553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+33.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x10f4…0034backed No78c3,250$2,532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$718.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Yes52c3,000$1,572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,57244740.7%182 W · 265 L-27.5wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5111…01b4backed No78c2,920$2,263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6571100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+29%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2889…fc69backed No56c2,814$1,576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,237.376639.4%26 W · 40 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-2.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ce9…31d5backed No78c2,800$2,181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$618.82100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+50.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0c3…eab3backed No72c2,774$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$774.21650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed No75c2,673$1,997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$676.0940133.4%134 W · 267 L+27.0wins+0.07per pick27cpaid+20.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x441d…544dbacked Yes31c2,561$795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$795.1911639.7%46 W · 70 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36bf…2864backed Yes7c2,170$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.5138239.5%151 W · 231 L+35.9wins+0.09per pick30cpaid+15.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4959…a6f5backed No70c2,088$1,466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$621.88853.4%47 W · 41 L+7.3wins+0.08per pick45cpaid-1.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5e84…4b92backed No62c2,017$1,243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$774.462536%9 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick37cpaid+29.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23f9…3c2dbacked Yes39c2,005$779 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$779.0218643.5%81 W · 105 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6870…5826backed Yes24c2,000$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.6854853.8%295 W · 253 L+16.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xccef…2de3backed Yes17c1,977$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3401926.3%5 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-30.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed Yes20c1,889$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.3615010%15 W · 135 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick12cpaid-33.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16b1…968abacked Yes28c1,885$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524.944143.9%18 W · 23 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-20.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked No49c1,867$919 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$947.941,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x724d…8deabacked Yes25c1,800$447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$446.611225%3 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7110…b042backed Yes56c1,792$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.28per pick50cpaid-56.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x04ec…580fbacked Yes30c1,757$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525.485756.1%32 W · 25 L+5.3wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+20.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1148…b5f4backed Yes36c1,736$623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$623.461030%3 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick24cpaid+17.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2eae…a25fbacked Yes5c1,696$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$925334%18 W · 35 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-40.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed Yes52c1,690$881 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$880.910539%41 W · 64 L-0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04b9…79e0backed No67c1,635$1,096 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538.6513642.6%58 W · 78 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid+14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked No61c1,543$936 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$607.1820536.6%75 W · 130 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7106…1caabacked Yes49c1,512$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74011743.6%51 W · 66 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb05…670fbacked Yes11c1,500$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16860%0 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd637…be9abacked Yes41c1,500$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$620.2716052.5%84 W · 76 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6e1…35edbacked Yes39c1,477$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5801050%5 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+54.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d54…6022backed Yes11c1,468$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.67742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-31.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc3c…759bbacked Yes38c1,410$531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531.159742.3%41 W · 56 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32c3…749ebacked Yes39c1,402$549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.16333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-49.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Yes37c1,400$515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$514.7959650.3%300 W · 296 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6a2…4b66backed Yes14c1,383$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.61378.1%3 W · 34 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick12cpaid-28.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4483…c565backed Yes44c1,378$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60023251.7%120 W · 112 L-0.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9e5…13ffbacked Yes26c1,369$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.3720050.5%101 W · 99 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed No60c1,331$799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$532.471,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x814d…b842backed Yes35c1,321$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468.614429.5%13 W · 31 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-14.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef46…b0eabacked Yes50c1,299$649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$649.377332.9%24 W · 49 L-8.6wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-26.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0257…22b2backed Yes29c1,288$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370.571044.6%317 W · 393 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44a0…4803backed Yes8c1,252$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003125.8%8 W · 23 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-21.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x66b6…159dbacked Yes35c1,228$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428.16357.1%36 W · 27 L+0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x781e…d942backed Yes52c1,200$622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$621.63714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick27cpaid-59.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x24c1…54b0backed No66c1,174$775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.074327.9%12 W · 31 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-15.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2cc9…7535backed Yes47c1,174$549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Yes34c1,155$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.3422140.3%89 W · 132 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93df…481bbacked No53c1,151$611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539.862100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+110.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Yes18c1,128$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.443348.5%210 W · 223 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c11…9b33backed Yes46c1,069$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.162227.3%6 W · 16 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-36.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes7c1,062$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.921,13217%192 W · 940 L+2.5wins0.00per pick17cpaid-25.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.