TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2cc9…7535

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
38
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Golf, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Golf at 53 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2250%11 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$353Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$353.18
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+100%+$229.95
England vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$324Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$324.11
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$283Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$283.3
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+55%+$137.82
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$230.19
Spread: France (-1.5)backed Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$215.08
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.15
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.7
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+106.2%+$51.5
Spread: United States (-1.5)backed United States · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$53
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will England win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.8
Spread: England (-1.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Will France win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.48
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$36
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$669Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$211.13
Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$441Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$227.06
Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$436Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$255.87
All 22 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick39cpaid+127.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-26.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$148.46
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$798Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$375.68
All 2 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+194.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$386Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$749.34
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$342Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$471.94
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$686Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$633.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorantlast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: FOKUS Sakura vs Gentle Mates GC (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Playoffsbacked Gentle Mates GC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$206Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$137.22
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Opinion launch a token by February 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$24.59
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$261Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$260.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$287Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$286.88
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$415Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$414.73
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Boston Celtics win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$549Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$549.12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.89
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.