TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Geneva Open: Mariano Navone vs Jaume Munar

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Mariano Navoneof Mariano Navone, Jaume Munar
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$196,106
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$215,090

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $196,106 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 198 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd5d4…8b32backed Jaume Munar0c13,941$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.741,2068%96 W · 1,110 L+17.2wins+0.01per pick7cpaid+80.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xef1b…8697backed Mariano Navone55c13,213$7,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,913.077236.1%26 W · 46 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-22.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Jaume Munar11c11,421$1,294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,294.048,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc243…5e94backed Jaume Munar25c6,890$1,756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,756.3614637.7%55 W · 91 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Jaume Munar35c5,516$1,938 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,937.5311,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Jaume Munar7c5,257$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.662,06834.9%721 W · 1,347 L-44.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Jaume Munar22c5,257$1,148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,147.891,19348.9%583 W · 610 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x710c…78eabacked Mariano Navone77c4,588$3,510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,077.311,04058.2%605 W · 435 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3f9…45a7backed Jaume Munar23c3,908$899 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$898.938066.3%252 W · 128 L-0.7wins0.00per pick67cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Jaume Munar47c3,016$1,413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,413.2668935%241 W · 448 L+9.1wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e33…afb3backed Mariano Navone75c2,587$1,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$637.4762061.9%384 W · 236 L-18.7wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa42f…5f5abacked Jaume Munar19c2,402$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460.331,01039.2%396 W · 614 L-23.0wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-25.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Jaume Munar45c2,172$967 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$966.82,52339.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L-3.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6566…ea1ebacked Jaume Munar9c2,100$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.99616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick20cpaid-63.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f07…9d0fbacked Mariano Navone53c2,000$1,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94070652.7%372 W · 334 L-19.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ee3…3a0abacked Mariano Navone53c1,700$901 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7994650%23 W · 23 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Jaume Munar47c1,541$724 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$724.151,65849.9%828 W · 830 L+7.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1491…11d3backed Jaume Munar12c1,452$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.2416133.5%54 W · 107 L-6.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-29.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb71…4371backed Jaume Munar48c1,344$644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$643.6810848.1%52 W · 56 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dfe…a5d6backed Mariano Navone54c1,296$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$596.350458.9%297 W · 207 L+9.6wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Jaume Munar10c1,241$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.064,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Mariano Navone74c1,125$836 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.686,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Mariano Navone77c1,067$826 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.4591755.5%509 W · 408 L+2.7wins0.00per pick55cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Mariano Navone63c1,020$647 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.233,66145.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L-8.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f1b…e4b4backed Mariano Navone53c1,019$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$478.7666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+17.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x879f…f155backed Jaume Munar48c1,011$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.19633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-36%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4c0c…a55dbacked Mariano Navone52c1,010$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$484.822965.9%151 W · 78 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8644…ad01backed Jaume Munar48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48026049.2%128 W · 132 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Jaume Munar46c1,000$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4601,15844.4%514 W · 644 L+2.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Jaume Munar46c999.99$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4601,51037.7%569 W · 941 L+24.5wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed Jaume Munar19c993.68$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.0827836.7%102 W · 176 L+0.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ec2…bd08backed Jaume Munar29c937.69$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.451,36338.3%522 W · 841 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x521c…f4aabacked Mariano Navone53c849.06$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.0636848.4%178 W · 190 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Jaume Munar29c754.97$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.0437230.4%113 W · 259 L-12.0wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-23.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7dbd…e1e3backed Mariano Navone66c754.96$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.9627446.7%128 W · 146 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Jaume Munar22c706.29$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.78,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Jaume Munar32c703.13$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.665,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8356…d6cbbacked Jaume Munar9c699.99$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$633050%15 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-15.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7932…5b38backed Mariano Navone72c690.32$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.3236157.1%206 W · 155 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd325…a4c4backed Mariano Navone74c675.74$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.745160.8%31 W · 20 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc478…d2e2backed Mariano Navone71c645$458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.05862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x48ee…0db4backed Jaume Munar48c625$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30054547.9%261 W · 284 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Mariano Navone54c617.58$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.284,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1252…e6e0backed Jaume Munar49c612.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3007256.9%41 W · 31 L+4.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf9a2…a79abacked Mariano Navone52c611.34$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.4410342.7%44 W · 59 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xab4d…3f0bbacked Mariano Navone54c600$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27617352%90 W · 83 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5baf…3e56backed Jaume Munar49c579.73$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.0765840.9%269 W · 389 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa7c0…dadabacked Jaume Munar11c521.95$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.754634.4%188 W · 358 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8cff…eeb8backed Jaume Munar6c495.46$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.4613013.8%18 W · 112 L-14.4wins-0.11per pick25cpaid-65.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4a65…7238backed Mariano Navone53c481.08$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.039056.7%51 W · 39 L-0.3wins0.00per pick57cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x63a4…0091backed Jaume Munar46c432.98$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.176747.8%32 W · 35 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+4.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x32bb…8addbacked Mariano Navone72c431.07$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.7666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick69cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06e1…ecdbbacked Mariano Navone52c403.12$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.1248935.8%175 W · 314 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Mariano Navone51c381.4$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.8987251.1%446 W · 426 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe521…9caebacked Jaume Munar21c347.48$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.1644527.2%121 W · 324 L-1.8wins0.00per pick28cpaid-14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1def…2e16backed Mariano Navone67c341.88$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.821172.7%8 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick65cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f81…9a48backed Jaume Munar48c339.58$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1636841.2%28 W · 40 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe44c…32a5backed Jaume Munar9c333.33$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302228.6%19 W · 203 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick8cpaid+16.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Jaume Munar46c326.07$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.992,17436.9%802 W · 1,372 L+39.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9271…a28abacked Jaume Munar48c316$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.6855241.3%228 W · 324 L-2.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60a3…3850backed Jaume Munar18c313.8$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.1185624.4%209 W · 647 L-9.7wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-25.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ac6…e020backed Mariano Navone75c300$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7534761.1%212 W · 135 L-10.5wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe463…f7b2backed Jaume Munar48c299.89$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.9510350.5%52 W · 51 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Jaume Munar48c276.9$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.833,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebde…1de0backed Jaume Munar19c270$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.889134.3%306 W · 585 L-40.1wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc162…40bbbacked Mariano Navone75c266.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.675547.3%26 W · 29 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8bd…478fbacked Mariano Navone54c259.26$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.2654450.6%275 W · 269 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6dc0…699abacked Jaume Munar29c250$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.532935%115 W · 214 L-1.6wins0.00per pick35cpaid-1.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x902c…b335backed Jaume Munar6c245.35$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.77200%0 W · 20 L-3.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x336b…1233backed Mariano Navone51c220.76$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.1757939.7%230 W · 349 L-0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca85…7453backed Mariano Navone53c201.89$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.8915440.9%63 W · 91 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x67be…6e09backed Mariano Navone59c200$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8248941.1%201 W · 288 L-0.4wins0.00per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc314…6a46backed Jaume Munar10c197.7$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7218410.9%20 W · 164 L-10.2wins-0.06per pick16cpaid-31%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaffe…7140backed Jaume Munar48c195$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.643242.4%183 W · 249 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a54…7c49backed Jaume Munar49c193.88$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$952356.5%13 W · 10 L+3.8wins+0.17per pick40cpaid+49.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5b5f…3397backed Mariano Navone52c193$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.6442743.8%187 W · 240 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e10…cb4fbacked Mariano Navone52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.317445.9%34 W · 40 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad76…36adbacked Mariano Navone73c184.86$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.916350.8%32 W · 31 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+60%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Jaume Munar44c183.26$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.631,95943.7%857 W · 1,102 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd154…9c74backed Jaume Munar22c178.54$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.5134847.1%164 W · 184 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4dee…5d00backed Jaume Munar7c178.21$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1316154.7%88 W · 73 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Jaume Munar27c173.6$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.734,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x79d0…4dffbacked Jaume Munar14c170.87$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.5531220.5%64 W · 248 L-11.1wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-26.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8968…c3c1backed Mariano Navone52c164.23$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.0322153.4%118 W · 103 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2cc9…7535backed Jaume Munar10c155.98$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick39cpaid+127.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc978…706bbacked Mariano Navone77c152.94$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.6539845.5%181 W · 217 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Jaume Munar31c150.87$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.779,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x75e2…2ed0backed Jaume Munar47c143.85$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6830860.1%185 W · 123 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x61c1…0513backed Mariano Navone72c139.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.521,28760.7%781 W · 506 L-21.2wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcbbe…1f4abacked Mariano Navone78c135.97$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.9112863.3%81 W · 47 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Mariano Navone75c133.63$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.641,17451.9%609 W · 565 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ddc…e874backed Jaume Munar33c133.08$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.332240.7%131 W · 191 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ce7…3150backed Jaume Munar48c130.77$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.7739149.1%192 W · 199 L+14.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b43…31cebacked Jaume Munar17c129.99$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.31566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+4.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Jaume Munar29c124.94$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.9699244.7%443 W · 549 L-29.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-25.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Jaume Munar32c122.87$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.026,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Jaume Munar18c122.17$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.162,04453.8%1,100 W · 944 L+61.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8330…b3b1backed Mariano Navone53c120$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.437233.9%126 W · 246 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Mariano Navone77c118.02$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.831,67850.8%852 W · 826 L+30.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Jaume Munar28c117.86$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333,42439.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L-12.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.