TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd325…a4c4

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
54
Categories scored
4
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: Champions League, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 52 out of 100; worst Tennis at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT5160.8%31 W · 20 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 51 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Set 2 Winner: Khachanov vs Cobollibacked Khachanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Libema Open: Thijs Boogaard vs Yibing Wubacked Yibing Wu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$700
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Flavio Cobollibacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonsecabacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$2,526Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,525.87
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$948Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+25%+$236.97
Roland Garros WTA: Mirra Andreeva vs Sorana Cirsteabacked Mirra Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$630Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$324.44
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Matteo Arnaldi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,045Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+97.7%+$1,021.2
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+56.2%+$1,687.05
Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Diane Parrybacked Diane Parry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$266Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$265.6
Roland Garros WTA: Madison Keys vs Diana Shnaiderbacked Madison Keys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$800
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Andrey Rublevbacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$607Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$607.09
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonsecabacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,984Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+33.2%+$659.76
Set Handicap: Andreeva (-1.5) vs Teichmann (+1.5)backed Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$359.42
Set 1 Winner: Jong vs Zverevbacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$197.56
Roland Garros WTA: Mirra Andreeva vs Jil Teichmannbacked Mirra Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,545Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$411.38
Roland Garros WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Belinda Bencicbacked Elina Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+48.4%+$967.3
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Stefanos Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Roland Garros ATP: Luca Van Assche vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Luca Van Assche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Roland Garros ATP: Raphael Collignon vs Ben Sheltonbacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Roland Garros ATP: Adolfo Vallejo vs Moise Kouamebacked Moise Kouame · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+52%+$520.16
Roland Garros ATP: Marton Fucsovics vs Matteo Berrettinibacked Matteo Berrettini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$69.47
Roland Garros ATP: Lorenzo Sonego vs Pierre-Hugues Herbertbacked Pierre-Hugues Herbert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$450
Roland Garros ATP: Hamad Medjedovic vs Yannick Hanfmannbacked Hamad Medjedovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$381Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$120.32
Roland Garros ATP: Federico Cina vs Reilly Opelkabacked Federico Cina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+51%+$254.82
Roland Garros ATP: Tomas Etcheverry vs Nuno Borgesbacked Nuno Borges · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$372Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+37.1%+$138
Showing 25 of 51 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$1,086.21
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,160Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$571.18
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Toronto Tempo vs. Minnesota Lynxbacked Minnesota Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$497Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+28.5%+$141.78
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.