Tennis · resolved market
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Stefanos Tsitsipas
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6869dd21e8ca7c8f61cfd1c24bb95bb9325b6b8147ad3b1bfc276e8184f11e65
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Matteo Arnaldiof Matteo Arnaldi, Stefanos Tsitsipas
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,715,077
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,806,519
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,715,077 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 721 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc2e7…be51backed Stefanos Tsitsipas | 65c | 660,000$426,985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426,984.81 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1925…4654backed Matteo Arnaldi | 36c | 464,787$168,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296,601.59 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +78%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Matteo Arnaldi | 35c | 113,962$39,887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74,075.37 | 220 | 37.7%83 W · 137 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Matteo Arnaldi | 35c | 95,230$33,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61,899.44 | 1,143 | 46.4%530 W · 613 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1eaf…9bf0backed Stefanos Tsitsipas | 62c | 66,677$41,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,283.6 | 567 | 57.1%324 W · 243 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45e4…7e20backed Stefanos Tsitsipas | 61c | 34,160$20,837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,837.45 | 183 | 48.1%88 W · 95 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bec…b215backed Stefanos Tsitsipas | 44c | 30,413$13,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,434.71 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1137…e601backed Matteo Arnaldi | 35c | 24,973$8,741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,232.45 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Stefanos Tsitsipas | 64c | 24,000$15,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,359.77 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -22%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd38a…8d26backed Stefanos Tsitsipas | 43c | 22,614$9,724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,724.2 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Stefanos Tsitsipas | 68c | 21,950$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,000 | 104 | 44.2%46 W · 58 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed Matteo Arnaldi | 35c | 19,496$6,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,670.74 | 579 | 39.7%230 W · 349 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c7…c83bbacked Matteo Arnaldi | 35c | 19,330$6,765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,564.24 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +4.4wins | +0.15per pick | 33cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Matteo Arnaldi | 47c | 18,343$8,689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,654.29 | 8,726 | 36.2%3,161 W · 5,565 L | -187.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdc3…c0eabacked Matteo Arnaldi | 51c | 17,042$8,732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,310.12 | 133 | 63.9%85 W · 48 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x154e…fbdebacked Matteo Arnaldi | 35c | 17,030$5,953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,077.76 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa0…be6dbacked Stefanos Tsitsipas | 43c | 15,557$6,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,650.48 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Stefanos Tsitsipas | 63c | 15,000$9,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,499.92 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Matteo Arnaldi | 45c | 14,605$6,545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,059.61 | 659 | 52.5%346 W · 313 L | +27.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x966c…9b1abacked Matteo Arnaldi | 36c | 13,889$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,888.89 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Matteo Arnaldi | 32c | 13,165$4,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,011.08 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Matteo Arnaldi | 62c | 12,714$7,894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,819.74 | 4,126 | 44.6%1,842 W · 2,284 L | +13.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Stefanos Tsitsipas | 63c | 12,695$7,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,997.93 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | +8.0wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Matteo Arnaldi | 32c | 10,880$3,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,398.23 | 750 | 46.8%351 W · 399 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Stefanos Tsitsipas | 55c | 10,749$5,878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,878.17 | 4,882 | 38.8%1,892 W · 2,990 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf24…7d4abacked Stefanos Tsitsipas | 65c | 10,000$6,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,500 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58b3…653cbacked Matteo Arnaldi | 60c | 9,750$5,805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,945 | 450 | 36%162 W · 288 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Stefanos Tsitsipas | 64c | 9,345$5,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,996.41 | 168 | 44.6%75 W · 93 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3c…2f57backed Stefanos Tsitsipas | 63c | 9,110$5,764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,764.19 | 307 | 40.7%125 W · 182 L | -23.3wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Matteo Arnaldi | 38c | 8,494$3,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,243.98 | 352 | 44.6%157 W · 195 L | -20.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Matteo Arnaldi | 38c | 7,512$2,854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,658.46 | 853 | 48.7%415 W · 438 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe733…8ed4backed Stefanos Tsitsipas | 42c | 7,184$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1852…cb4ebacked Stefanos Tsitsipas | 32c | 7,115$2,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,290.85 | 118 | 38.1%45 W · 73 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d76…9168backed Matteo Arnaldi | 47c | 7,000$3,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,709.96 | 375 | 40.8%153 W · 222 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66d1…c18fbacked Matteo Arnaldi | 58c | 6,324$3,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,674.25 | 225 | 62.7%141 W · 84 L | +21.0wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Matteo Arnaldi | 38c | 6,125$2,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,800.01 | 6,596 | 50.7%3,341 W · 3,255 L | +259.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Matteo Arnaldi | 57c | 5,827$3,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,510.59 | 4,875 | 41.5%2,023 W · 2,852 L | -77.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b73…8688backed Stefanos Tsitsipas | 49c | 5,534$2,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,689.9 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Matteo Arnaldi | 57c | 4,942$2,829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,112.83 | 8,152 | 45.3%3,695 W · 4,457 L | +155.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba55…41f1backed Matteo Arnaldi | 58c | 4,900$2,842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,058 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba38…e406backed Stefanos Tsitsipas | 63c | 4,797$3,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,022.23 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77f6…dbd1backed Matteo Arnaldi | 36c | 4,706$1,694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,011.73 | 407 | 48.9%199 W · 208 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b3…49f8backed Stefanos Tsitsipas | 21c | 4,625$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 198 | 35.4%70 W · 128 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bd2…fa7fbacked Matteo Arnaldi | 46c | 4,387$2,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,384.7 | 127 | 52%66 W · 61 L | +9.2wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Matteo Arnaldi | 58c | 4,345$2,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,826.77 | 5,288 | 56.5%2,989 W · 2,299 L | +231.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab8…1b4abacked Matteo Arnaldi | 44c | 4,315$1,917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,398.28 | 271 | 54.2%147 W · 124 L | +16.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Matteo Arnaldi | 35c | 4,300$1,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,795 | 108 | 37%40 W · 68 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5df…be66backed Matteo Arnaldi | 34c | 4,120$1,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,726.65 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Stefanos Tsitsipas | 57c | 3,755$2,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,156.37 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc181…0992backed Matteo Arnaldi | 53c | 3,564$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,663.64 | 656 | 51.8%340 W · 316 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Matteo Arnaldi | 58c | 3,514$2,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,486.87 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0075…5f10backed Matteo Arnaldi | 37c | 3,500$1,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,205 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -55%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21b7…c861backed Matteo Arnaldi | 37c | 3,500$1,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,204.92 | 317 | 36.9%117 W · 200 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Matteo Arnaldi | 51c | 3,227$1,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,582.25 | 3,541 | 42.4%1,501 W · 2,040 L | -44.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Stefanos Tsitsipas | 63c | 3,175$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 459 | 57.5%264 W · 195 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a7…8105backed Matteo Arnaldi | 35c | 3,066$1,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,992.9 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7381…d95dbacked Stefanos Tsitsipas | 66c | 3,022$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15e9…26bebacked Matteo Arnaldi | 37c | 3,000$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,890 | 228 | 42.5%97 W · 131 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Stefanos Tsitsipas | 61c | 2,935$1,791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,790.54 | 111 | 37.8%42 W · 69 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf83b…44a2backed Matteo Arnaldi | 37c | 2,891$1,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,821.35 | 539 | 42.1%227 W · 312 L | +19.9wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0b…5577backed Matteo Arnaldi | 39c | 2,778$1,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,694.44 | 122 | 48.4%59 W · 63 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9c4…7433backed Stefanos Tsitsipas | 64c | 2,750$1,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,760 | 216 | 42.6%92 W · 124 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Matteo Arnaldi | 36c | 2,739$986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,752.96 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Stefanos Tsitsipas | 29c | 2,678$766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766.21 | 4,647 | 49.3%2,291 W · 2,356 L | +159.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fae…0d19backed Matteo Arnaldi | 38c | 2,590$984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,605.74 | 428 | 39.7%170 W · 258 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3abe…1446backed Stefanos Tsitsipas | 65c | 2,585$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,680.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48de…95babacked Matteo Arnaldi | 37c | 2,446$893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,553.11 | 623 | 45.4%283 W · 340 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dbd…e1e3backed Matteo Arnaldi | 66c | 2,432$1,616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.92 | 274 | 46.7%128 W · 146 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac39…95c7backed Stefanos Tsitsipas | 36c | 2,370$853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$853.1 | 70 | 25.7%18 W · 52 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc149…dc81backed Matteo Arnaldi | 37c | 2,176$805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,370.68 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +65.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca0e…7248backed Stefanos Tsitsipas | 62c | 2,113$1,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,310 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Matteo Arnaldi | 37c | 2,080$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,320.87 | 3,187 | 48.4%1,542 W · 1,645 L | -46.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf584…2497backed Stefanos Tsitsipas | 1c | 2,061$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.61 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 15cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cef…71b4backed Matteo Arnaldi | 62c | 2,037$1,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$766.42 | 200 | 45%90 W · 110 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33e9…1045backed Stefanos Tsitsipas | 65c | 2,000$1,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,309.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d96…7c16backed Stefanos Tsitsipas | 62c | 2,000$1,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,240 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3407…c3ebbacked Matteo Arnaldi | 69c | 2,000$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafe6…8192backed Stefanos Tsitsipas | 36c | 2,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 247 | 40.5%100 W · 147 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76a1…b1f3backed Matteo Arnaldi | 37c | 1,986$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,248.05 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc68…f899backed Stefanos Tsitsipas | 41c | 1,830$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | -9.5wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Stefanos Tsitsipas | 61c | 1,739$1,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,067.54 | 1,148 | 53%608 W · 540 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdba8…9accbacked Stefanos Tsitsipas | 64c | 1,729$1,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,106.86 | 41 | 17.1%7 W · 34 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe024…0762backed Matteo Arnaldi | 65c | 1,697$1,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.28 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b20…8eafbacked Matteo Arnaldi | 51c | 1,613$827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.72 | 96 | 62.5%60 W · 36 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7932…5b38backed Matteo Arnaldi | 62c | 1,613$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.01 | 361 | 57.1%206 W · 155 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62ae…c975backed Matteo Arnaldi | 37c | 1,599$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,007.2 | 215 | 37.2%80 W · 135 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Matteo Arnaldi | 35c | 1,590$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,039.6 | 1,842 | 44.8%825 W · 1,017 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Matteo Arnaldi | 57c | 1,550$886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.15 | 3,621 | 45.3%1,641 W · 1,980 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…6f9abacked Stefanos Tsitsipas | 72c | 1,550$1,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,116.01 | 926 | 55.9%518 W · 408 L | +25.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Matteo Arnaldi | 64c | 1,529$976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.47 | 4,466 | 67.7%3,023 W · 1,443 L | +299.9wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x48b8…4b69backed Stefanos Tsitsipas | 62c | 1,517$941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940.72 | 82 | 39%32 W · 50 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9c…a518backed Stefanos Tsitsipas | 62c | 1,517$941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940.72 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3f…1365backed Matteo Arnaldi | 72c | 1,516$1,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.4 | 92 | 60.9%56 W · 36 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6d…dbbbbacked Stefanos Tsitsipas | 67c | 1,500$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf38…848bbacked Matteo Arnaldi | 37c | 1,476$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$926.53 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Stefanos Tsitsipas | 64c | 1,456$932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$931.99 | 419 | 41.1%172 W · 247 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd325…a4c4backed Stefanos Tsitsipas | 35c | 1,429$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef29…2f1ebacked Matteo Arnaldi | 70c | 1,429$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.55 | 1,101 | 45.1%497 W · 604 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb5…7ce9backed Matteo Arnaldi | 72c | 1,384$996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.39 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Matteo Arnaldi | 36c | 1,377$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.45 | 587 | 45.7%268 W · 319 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Stefanos Tsitsipasthis page
- Arnaldi vs. Tsitsipas: Match O/U 36.5Over won
- Arnaldi vs. Tsitsipas: Match O/U 38.5Over won
- Arnaldi vs. Tsitsipas: Match O/U 40.5Over won
- Matteo Arnaldi vs. Stefanos Tsitsipas: Total Sets O/U 3.5Over 3.5 won
- Matteo Arnaldi vs. Stefanos Tsitsipas: Total Sets O/U 4.5Under 4.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Arnaldi vs TsitsipasArnaldi won
- Set Handicap: Tsitsipas (-1.5) vs Arnaldi (+1.5)Arnaldi won
- Set Handicap: Tsitsipas (-2.5) vs Arnaldi (+2.5)Arnaldi won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.