TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x76a1…b1f3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
73
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Champions League, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 53 out of 100; worst NBA at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 25, 2026, EDT5736.8%21 W · 36 L+0.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid-16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 57 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Toby Samuel vs Juan Manuel Cerundolobacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$541Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$541.19
Mallorca Championships: Abedallah Shelbayh vs Grigor Dimitrovbacked Abedallah Shelbayh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Mallorca Championships: Vit Kopriva vs Ignacio Busebacked Ignacio Buse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$220
Will Casper Ruud win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.7
Will Francisco Cerundolo win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$73
Roland Garros ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Rafael Jodarbacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$238Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$228.67
Roland Garros WTA: Jil Teichmann vs Karolina Muchovabacked Karolina Muchova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$194.26
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Matteo Arnaldi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$738Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+169.1%+$1,248.05
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Roman Andres Burruchagabacked Roman Andres Burruchaga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Roland Garros ATP: Adolfo Vallejo vs Moise Kouamebacked Adolfo Vallejo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$138
Roland Garros WTA: Sara Bejlek vs Iga Swiatekbacked Sara Bejlek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Roland Garros WTA: Caty McNally vs Belinda Bencicbacked Caty McNally · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$192
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Daniel Altmaierbacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$250.82
Roland Garros WTA: Victoria Mboko vs Nikola Bartunkovabacked Nikola Bartunkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Roland Garros ATP: Jacob Fearnley vs Juan Manuel Cerundolobacked Jacob Fearnley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.88
Roland Garros WTA: Simona Waltert vs Katerina Siniakovabacked Simona Waltert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Roland Garros ATP: Lorenzo Sonego vs Pierre-Hugues Herbertbacked Pierre-Hugues Herbert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$640Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$640
Roland Garros ATP: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Novak Djokovicbacked Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Roland Garros ATP: Quentin Halys vs Mattia Belluccibacked Mattia Bellucci · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Roland Garros ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Nishesh Basavareddybacked Nishesh Basavareddy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$303.37
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Sorana Cirstea vs Jelena Ostapenkobacked Jelena Ostapenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$396Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$396.05
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Karen Khachanov vs Dino Prizmicbacked Dino Prizmic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Elina Svitolina vs Nikola Bartunkovabacked Nikola Bartunkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.1
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Sorana Cirstea vs Linda Noskovabacked Linda Noskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jessica Pegula vs Rebeka Masarovabacked Rebeka Masarova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$105
Showing 25 of 57 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick36cpaid-70.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Panathinaikos vs. Olimpia Milanobacked Panathinaikos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$302Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$302.4
Hapoel Tel Aviv vs. BC Dubaibacked Hapoel Tel Aviv · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$328Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+72.4%+$237.72
Fenerbahce vs. Olympiacos B.C.backed Fenerbahce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+65.6%+$328.03
All 3 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+212.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$422.88
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Algeria vs. DR Congo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$254Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+100%+$254.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-05-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$320Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+100%+$320
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SS Lazio vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$416Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$384
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA Huracán win on 2026-05-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$275Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$224.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$295Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$231.79
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami vs. Ole Missbacked Ole Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$558Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$558
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.