Tennis · resolved market
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jessica Pegula vs Rebeka Masarova
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa2390b20ed41935e0bd4ee713c4b96dc4908d4a7700c465286128f25b2d28644
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jessica Pegulaof Jessica Pegula, Rebeka Masarova
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $190,926
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $235,011
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $190,926 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Rebeka Masarova | 6c | 23,412$1,329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,329.38 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Rebeka Masarova | 12c | 21,617$2,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,680.27 | 937 | 40.6%380 W · 557 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Rebeka Masarova | 11c | 9,642$1,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,070.03 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Rebeka Masarova | 11c | 7,332$772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$772.11 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d4…8b32backed Rebeka Masarova | 4c | 5,586$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.86 | 1,206 | 8%96 W · 1,110 L | +17.2wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5123…2f31backed Rebeka Masarova | 14c | 5,150$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721 | 183 | 15.8%29 W · 154 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Rebeka Masarova | 4c | 4,837$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.8 | 292 | 41.8%122 W · 170 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa363…46c8backed Rebeka Masarova | 7c | 3,454$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.77 | 228 | 21.1%48 W · 180 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Rebeka Masarova | 14c | 2,974$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.43 | 1,865 | 44.7%834 W · 1,031 L | +36.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Rebeka Masarova | 14c | 2,857$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1,865 | 45.6%851 W · 1,014 L | +50.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Rebeka Masarova | 15c | 2,700$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Rebeka Masarova | 14c | 2,523$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.21 | 785 | 36.1%283 W · 502 L | +36.6wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked Rebeka Masarova | 14c | 2,379$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.99 | 119 | 45.4%54 W · 65 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9527…f108backed Rebeka Masarova | 1c | 2,019$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 527 | 39.3%207 W · 320 L | +37.6wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Rebeka Masarova | 14c | 2,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Rebeka Masarova | 15c | 1,902$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.33 | 538 | 43.5%234 W · 304 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Rebeka Masarova | 7c | 1,808$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.82 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca20…7b68backed Rebeka Masarova | 12c | 1,371$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.86 | 574 | 47.7%274 W · 300 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Rebeka Masarova | 15c | 1,334$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.1 | 1,444 | 38%548 W · 896 L | -46.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Rebeka Masarova | 9c | 1,150$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.91 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Rebeka Masarova | 15c | 873.13$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.97 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x287d…38febacked Rebeka Masarova | 16c | 763.13$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.94 | 374 | 21.9%82 W · 292 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Rebeka Masarova | 12c | 757$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.57 | 1,228 | 41.1%505 W · 723 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76a1…b1f3backed Rebeka Masarova | 14c | 750$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Rebeka Masarova | 8c | 688.88$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.56 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Rebeka Masarova | 15c | 679.2$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.88 | 503 | 40%201 W · 302 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Rebeka Masarova | 5c | 567.73$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.29 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf96d…20bebacked Rebeka Masarova | 16c | 562.5$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 482 | 14.1%68 W · 414 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf31…6575backed Rebeka Masarova | 9c | 500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 66 | 31.8%21 W · 45 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4538…7d5cbacked Rebeka Masarova | 4c | 400$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 177 | 38.4%68 W · 109 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Rebeka Masarova | 13c | 389.72$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.2 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Rebeka Masarova | 13c | 346$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.98 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0267…7f7ebacked Rebeka Masarova | 9c | 333.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 304 | 36.2%110 W · 194 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe44c…32a5backed Rebeka Masarova | 9c | 333.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 222 | 8.6%19 W · 203 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Rebeka Masarova | 4c | 318.35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Rebeka Masarova | 6c | 315.06$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.51 | 2,523 | 39.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Rebeka Masarova | 11c | 280.01$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 2,766 | 47.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Rebeka Masarova | 13c | 271.6$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.31 | 1,218 | 41.1%500 W · 718 L | -30.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Rebeka Masarova | 14c | 232.76$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.77 | 2,229 | 45%1,002 W · 1,227 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43fd…021fbacked Rebeka Masarova | 16c | 229.14$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.66 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Rebeka Masarova | 15c | 217$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.55 | 951 | 40.1%381 W · 570 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee11…19a9backed Rebeka Masarova | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x018b…5372backed Rebeka Masarova | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 66 | 62.1%41 W · 25 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Rebeka Masarova | 8c | 199.68$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.31 | 921 | 45.2%416 W · 505 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Rebeka Masarova | 10c | 199.35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.06 | 1,028 | 43.3%445 W · 583 L | -24.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51b9…9b4abacked Rebeka Masarova | 10c | 192.53$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.37 | 34 | 20.6%7 W · 27 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…ec9dbacked Rebeka Masarova | 15c | 166.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 580 | 45.9%266 W · 314 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Rebeka Masarova | 16c | 137$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.92 | 194 | 11.9%23 W · 171 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cef…fa91backed Rebeka Masarova | 15c | 123.25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.49 | 193 | 39.4%76 W · 117 L | +11.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d29…f683backed Rebeka Masarova | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 336 | 47.3%159 W · 177 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…eee6backed Rebeka Masarova | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 318 | 41.8%133 W · 185 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Rebeka Masarova | 15c | 91$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 810 | 47.9%388 W · 422 L | +30.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Rebeka Masarova | 14c | 75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 547 | 46.8%256 W · 291 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Rebeka Masarova | 16c | 74.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,001 | 45.4%454 W · 547 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31dd…7159backed Rebeka Masarova | 15c | 67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 903 | 40.2%363 W · 540 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Rebeka Masarova | 15c | 66.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9522…7af0backed Jessica Pegula | 80c | 41.5$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.3 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jessica Pegula vs Rebeka Masarovathis page
- Set 1 Winner: Pegula vs MasarovaPegula won
- Set Handicap: Pegula (-1.5) vs Masarova (+1.5)Pegula won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.