Tennis · resolved market
Roland Garros WTA: Sara Bejlek vs Iga Swiatek
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x61688a921b2cbef170824e31105698c648b27759630f8d1edd43965696accb94
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Iga Swiatekof Sara Bejlek, Iga Swiatek
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $247,043
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $255,130
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $247,043 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Sara Bejlek | 0c | 48,000$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 721 | 32%231 W · 490 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Sara Bejlek | 1c | 15,287$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Sara Bejlek | 4c | 10,509$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5123…2f31backed Sara Bejlek | 4c | 10,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 183 | 15.8%29 W · 154 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Sara Bejlek | 4c | 8,323$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.9 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Sara Bejlek | 2c | 8,000$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158 | 2,528 | 36.2%914 W · 1,614 L | -26.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1400…765dbacked Sara Bejlek | 1c | 6,828$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.99 | 327 | 32.1%105 W · 222 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed Sara Bejlek | 4c | 6,386$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.45 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +182.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Sara Bejlek | 5c | 4,799$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.94 | 3,726 | 42.4%1,580 W · 2,146 L | -48.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Sara Bejlek | 5c | 4,617$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.85 | 1,229 | 53.1%653 W · 576 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d4…8b32backed Sara Bejlek | 2c | 4,331$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.66 | 1,207 | 8%96 W · 1,111 L | +17.2wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +80.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f64…3633backed Sara Bejlek | 5c | 4,167$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.36 | 996 | 49.5%493 W · 503 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e02…b178backed Sara Bejlek | 1c | 3,993$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.97 | 334 | 9.6%32 W · 302 L | -16.7wins | -0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Sara Bejlek | 4c | 3,082$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.28 | 6,652 | 50.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L | +263.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf294…7967backed Sara Bejlek | 4c | 3,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 123 | 22%27 W · 96 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 18cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bac…8769backed Sara Bejlek | 5c | 2,422$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.93 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Sara Bejlek | 1c | 2,306$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.14 | 4,760 | 49.6%2,361 W · 2,399 L | +176.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe6…a99fbacked Sara Bejlek | 3c | 1,671$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 759 | 12.1%92 W · 667 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed Sara Bejlek | 2c | 1,613$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.27 | 292 | 37.7%110 W · 182 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked Sara Bejlek | 4c | 1,500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 381 | 44.6%170 W · 211 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Sara Bejlek | 4c | 1,440$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 5,325 | 28.8%1,533 W · 3,792 L | -21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…f937backed Sara Bejlek | 4c | 1,375$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 66 | 30.3%20 W · 46 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x601d…bf65backed Sara Bejlek | 3c | 1,289$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.65 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Sara Bejlek | 4c | 1,250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,437 | 28.5%409 W · 1,028 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2c…2151backed Sara Bejlek | 5c | 1,160$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 389 | 11.6%45 W · 344 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Sara Bejlek | 3c | 1,114$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.06 | 5,009 | 41.4%2,075 W · 2,934 L | -82.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d68…4354backed Sara Bejlek | 4c | 1,100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 222 | 43.2%96 W · 126 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Sara Bejlek | 4c | 1,003$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.1 | 1,174 | 51.9%609 W · 565 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76a1…b1f3backed Sara Bejlek | 4c | 1,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda2b…85febacked Sara Bejlek | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 107 | 22.4%24 W · 83 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c87…98b1backed Sara Bejlek | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 226 | 2.2%5 W · 221 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Sara Bejlek | 4c | 979.95$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 3,319 | 48.4%1,605 W · 1,714 L | -52.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Sara Bejlek | 4c | 940.4$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.62 | 2,204 | 36.9%813 W · 1,391 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Sara Bejlek | 5c | 750$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 7,753 | 47.8%3,703 W · 4,050 L | +39.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6075…2f82backed Sara Bejlek | 5c | 723$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.15 | 139 | 44.6%62 W · 77 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9173…a6a6backed Sara Bejlek | 7c | 637$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.47 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | +94.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked Sara Bejlek | 3c | 634.33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1,276 | 30.4%388 W · 888 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Sara Bejlek | 5c | 616.41$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.82 | 1,107 | 42.8%474 W · 633 L | -20.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked Sara Bejlek | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 213 | 17.4%37 W · 176 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Sara Bejlek | 5c | 440$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 518 | 49.4%256 W · 262 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a47…3b21backed Sara Bejlek | 5c | 380$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 119 | 52.1%62 W · 57 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8330…b3b1backed Sara Bejlek | 3c | 365$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 372 | 33.9%126 W · 246 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Sara Bejlek | 4c | 336.76$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.47 | 2,521 | 38.4%969 W · 1,552 L | +93.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd82d…7882backed Sara Bejlek | 4c | 333.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.91 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Sara Bejlek | 5c | 330$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 249 | 28.9%72 W · 177 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Sara Bejlek | 5c | 280.6$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 503 | 40%201 W · 302 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Sara Bejlek | 4c | 270$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,300 | 36.9%480 W · 820 L | -34.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Sara Bejlek | 5c | 246.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.33 | 2,868 | 49.5%1,419 W · 1,449 L | +23.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdefa…d902backed Sara Bejlek | 5c | 240$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe8b…5e62backed Sara Bejlek | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 239 | 32.6%78 W · 161 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbf…f4e6backed Sara Bejlek | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 142 | 57%81 W · 61 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d2…4a24backed Sara Bejlek | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 529 | 10%53 W · 476 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00d2…fe64backed Sara Bejlek | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 196 | 34.2%67 W · 129 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Roland Garros WTA: Sara Bejlek vs Iga Swiatekthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Bejlek vs SwiatekSwiatek won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.