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Serie A · resolved market

SS Lazio vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$168,761
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$191,404

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $168,761 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 172 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9495…9a27backed Over51c33,823$17,249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,573.055752.6%30 W · 27 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9770…0ff5backed Under49c30,000$14,681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,680.6920%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xee0d…57abbacked Over51c24,655$12,574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,080.928743.7%38 W · 49 L-5.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under48c11,855$5,649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,649.112,57545.6%1,174 W · 1,401 L+12.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-13.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2114…84c5backed Under50c10,098$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0001030%3 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-37.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Over52c9,620$5,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,617.68239%32 W · 50 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c74…4ef0backed Under49c9,136$4,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,469.982445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee19…555ebacked Over51c8,873$4,525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,347.636048.3%29 W · 31 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over54c7,270$3,896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,374.4319023.7%45 W · 145 L-13.7wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-30.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under50c6,226$3,087 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,087.2132850.6%166 W · 162 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+15.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d5d…191dbacked Under49c5,724$2,805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,804.58650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over69c5,578$3,843 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,734.442,01339.4%794 W · 1,219 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-24%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6de…95e8backed Over53c4,774$2,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,243.581258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe0a2…40d5backed Under49c4,545$2,218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,2181520%3 W · 12 L-4.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-60.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xefd4…51b1backed Under49c4,082$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000850%4 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-22.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe02…dababacked Under33c3,922$1,309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,308.711747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x379a…5122backed Under49c3,878$1,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,900333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-42.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under36c3,807$1,381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,381.0137039.2%145 W · 225 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf83…248bbacked Under49c2,558$1,253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,253.42650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under20c2,500$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500387.9%3 W · 35 L-5.0wins-0.13per pick21cpaid-56.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc2fb…610cbacked Under47c2,199$1,044 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,043.531258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+13.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x09f4…dac0backed Under48c2,145$1,026 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,026.451741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f7c…7a19backed Over52c2,050$1,066 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$984728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick51cpaid-44.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc95b…f819backed Under49c2,041$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-31.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Over50c1,948$974 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$973.966839.7%27 W · 41 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed Under46c1,520$705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705.285151%26 W · 25 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0df8…b67ebacked Over47c1,478$699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$778.7650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over51c1,474$749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$725.1343854.8%240 W · 198 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under47c1,392$654 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$654.4316045%72 W · 88 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under48c1,215$588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$588.2928951.6%149 W · 140 L+15.0wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5634…d81abacked Under49c1,100$537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5373243.8%14 W · 18 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3673…2d13backed Under48c1,066$512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511.67714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.35per pick49cpaid-66.8%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x0fde…abcebacked Under47c1,000$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$470633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-36.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xceee…d39ebacked Under46c1,000$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4604242.9%18 W · 24 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Under38c999.99$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3803857.9%22 W · 16 L+4.4wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+108.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x76a1…b1f3backed Over52c800$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3841100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed Under48c800$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked Under46c700$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3228360.2%50 W · 33 L+5.8wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+18.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7066…50e5backed Over75c666.67$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.672065%13 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked Under46c650$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2996861.8%42 W · 26 L+5.8wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+20.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9660…ba56backed Over53c603.77$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.77366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc68b…f6eebacked Under47c572.72$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.1810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x71da…bc9ebacked Over54c555.56$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.569254.3%50 W · 42 L+7.6wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+22.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Over51c427.98$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.2136456.3%205 W · 159 L+19.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Over51c400$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1956731.3%21 W · 46 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-17.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under8c338.34$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.519154.5%104 W · 87 L+0.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbca…ca8dbacked Under47c319.15$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501546.7%7 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid+13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb408…e303backed Over55c318.18$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.181741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over67c313.43$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.4315459.7%92 W · 62 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over50c291$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.2566753.5%357 W · 310 L+16.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6945…729cbacked Over69c281.68$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.631258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+3.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x399f…e8d8backed Under37c270.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-35.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e46…60d6backed Under46c260$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.33959%23 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…ab23backed Under49c251.94$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.45850%4 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+28.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc367…a0b4backed Under40c250.26$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.823141.9%13 W · 18 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-22.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6c75…8a96backed Under49c246.64$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.86742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x196b…4151backed Under6c244.41$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6650%0 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Under22c243.6$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.416132.8%20 W · 41 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-25.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1575…3d32backed Over61c231.52$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.29366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d0c…1249backed Under22c219$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.1810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a66…ae5ebacked Under47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over50c207.01$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.5191043.3%394 W · 516 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under40c206.2$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.0841644%183 W · 233 L+1.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-18.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa566…72debacked Over68c206.07$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.93100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+38%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed Over49c204.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.482378.3%18 W · 5 L+5.7wins+0.25per pick53cpaid+50.8%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x059d…10e3backed Under49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002441.7%10 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x20bf…2be9backed Over52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$961656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x373b…1107backed Over53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$944553.3%24 W · 21 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+13.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under48c200$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9516352.1%85 W · 78 L+8.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+18.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9687…f828backed Under49c196.07$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.07837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under39c190.4$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.3610759.8%64 W · 43 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.8213636.8%50 W · 86 L-8.6wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-19.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xda11…25c3backed Under49c177.91$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.1810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd8…eecabacked Under46c173.91$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802846.4%13 W · 15 L+2.5wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+36.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under24c167.41$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.6332539.4%128 W · 197 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-25.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2309…2a24backed Over69c163.22$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.652100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+41.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb549…c2b6backed Under49c161.61$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.19425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under48c161$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.2814258.5%83 W · 59 L+10.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+12.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Over54c154.61$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.1215946.5%74 W · 85 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde28…8d20backed Over53c151.67$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.67955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under48c150.48$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.2340853.2%217 W · 191 L+15.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8ab8…e32fbacked Over69c140.57$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.582138.1%8 W · 13 L-4.7wins-0.23per pick61cpaid-46.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under48c139.4$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.9134552.8%182 W · 163 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xab90…5793backed Over78c131.84$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294271.4%30 W · 12 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick66cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed Under12c127.04$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.94654.3%25 W · 21 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd637…7617backed Under49c126.51$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.99540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x286b…c15fbacked Under49c123.04$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.2920%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3704…5487backed Over52c122.73$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.911241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-29.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Under38c120$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4611547.8%55 W · 60 L-6.8wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Under47c111.7$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.521548.4%104 W · 111 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+18.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe941…a496backed Over72c110.89$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.023964.1%25 W · 14 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick60cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked Under46c109.51$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.377358.9%43 W · 30 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+15.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under45c109.37$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.2271150.1%356 W · 355 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd306…463dbacked Over65c107.69$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.691973.7%14 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick65cpaid+15.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Over53c103.07$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.4443355%238 W · 195 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f7d…3a0cbacked Under49c100.94$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.46771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.33per pick38cpaid+99.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xad84…1897backed Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+72.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d63…2e49backed Over54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462450%12 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+54.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Under46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4624953.8%134 W · 115 L+20.7wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+12%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x6cb1…1002backed Over51c94.59$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.33757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+175.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.