Serie A · resolved market
Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf8b5cb964d01c1df6eb851b3c9c47116957fe96d2fdd274f84567285a3cfaa2a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FC Internazionale Milanoof FC Internazionale Milano, SS Lazio
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,538
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,405
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,538 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed FC Internazionale Milano | 48c | 4,997$2,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,582.59 | 342 | 39.2%134 W · 208 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed SS Lazio | 54c | 4,578$2,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,485.05 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed FC Internazionale Milano | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,139.97 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc699…7961backed FC Internazionale Milano | 46c | 1,538$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$838.26 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed SS Lazio | 72c | 999.99$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.99 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +84.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked FC Internazionale Milano | 27c | 999$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.27 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked SS Lazio | 54c | 768.26$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.86 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed FC Internazionale Milano | 27c | 704.99$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.43 | 652 | 54.1%353 W · 299 L | +19.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed SS Lazio | 74c | 485.8$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.49 | 159 | 46.5%74 W · 85 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed SS Lazio | 72c | 456$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.32 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed SS Lazio | 72c | 266$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.52 | 142 | 58.5%83 W · 59 L | +10.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked SS Lazio | 73c | 174.25$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.87 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75f0…d5e9backed FC Internazionale Milano | 28c | 136.54$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.31 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed SS Lazio | 75c | 127.28$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.46 | 199 | 52.8%105 W · 94 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed FC Internazionale Milano | 25c | 127.28$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.46 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x739d…d2ffbacked FC Internazionale Milano | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.45 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked SS Lazio | 74c | 100$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 123 | 57.7%71 W · 52 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked SS Lazio | 57c | 87$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.59 | 146 | 51.4%75 W · 71 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed SS Lazio | 73c | 72.83$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 260 | 40%104 W · 156 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked SS Lazio | 55c | 71$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.05 | 467 | 42.8%200 W · 267 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed SS Lazio | 69c | 64.42$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.45 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed SS Lazio | 71c | 60.86$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.11 | 210 | 54.3%114 W · 96 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c30…7673backed SS Lazio | 73c | 60$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.8 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -4.1wins | -0.34per pick | 51cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed FC Internazionale Milano | 31c | 54.74$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.77 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -4.8wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbba9…81ccbacked FC Internazionale Milano | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.57 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1529…ba87backed SS Lazio | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccfa…6ee7backed FC Internazionale Milano | 28c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.15per pick | 37cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked SS Lazio | 57c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…396dbacked SS Lazio | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked FC Internazionale Milano | 77c | 19.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 217 | 48.8%106 W · 111 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed SS Lazio | 59c | 19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.24 | 131 | 57.3%75 W · 56 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed SS Lazio | 72c | 17.86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.86 | 419 | 54.7%229 W · 190 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-1.5)this page
- SS Lazio vs. FC Internazionale Milano: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- SS Lazio vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 1.5Over won
- SS Lazio vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 2.5Over won
- SS Lazio vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 3.5Under won
- SS Lazio vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-2.5)FC Internazionale Milano won
- Spread: SS Lazio (-1.5)FC Internazionale Milano won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.