TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xbba9…81cc

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
71
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Europa Conference League, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Europa Conference League at 53 out of 100; worst Other European Leagues at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT1540%6 W · 9 L-3.1wins-0.21per pick61cpaid-37.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Utrecht win on 2026-05-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$48.04
Will FC Utrecht win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$47.06
Will SC Braga win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Celtic FC win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$18.1
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$42.86
Spread: Galatasaray SK (-2.5)backed Galatasaray SK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will FC Famalicão win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Göztepe SK win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Will FC Groningen win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will FC Utrecht win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+44.8%+$92.81
Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-04-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.1
Will FC Porto win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.54
Will FC Twente '65 win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.26
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-04-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.61
All 15 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$23.48
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$18.33
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$28.21
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-05-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$33.23
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$13.23
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.24
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$23.88
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$20.19
All 11 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$72.41
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$77.84
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$46.84
Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-05-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$22.46
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$17.24
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$15.43
All 11 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$27.08
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$45.11
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+67.4%+$33.96
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-05-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$24.71
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+37%+$18.49
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.14
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$30.62
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+52.8%+$11.59
All 11 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-05-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will US Cremonese win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$44.72
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$30
Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-1.5)backed FC Internazionale Milano · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$38.57
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-04-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+37%+$10.92
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-04-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$38.24
All 9 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-39.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+32.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+55%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-05-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$35.26
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$20.45
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$274Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$86.42
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.