Bundesliga · resolved market
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-05-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x88099fe14519a307b967f426ea8759986ef150a59cf1aff204ac83ffeef7fd91
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $715,895
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $786,213
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $715,895 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 530 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed No | 53c | 141,218$75,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75,445.36 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.6wins | -0.26per pick | 54cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4a…8060backed Yes | 49c | 90,080$43,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,340.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +132.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 48c | 62,348$30,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,154.48 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 49c | 56,402$27,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,953.47 | 283 | 45.2%128 W · 155 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 51c | 22,440$11,524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,523.74 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 46c | 20,500$9,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,062.71 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a91…c6b1backed No | 51c | 20,000$10,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,199.94 | 67 | 61.2%41 W · 26 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc8…2f68backed No | 53c | 17,473$9,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,333.86 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0c…bcebbacked No | 53c | 14,177$7,534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,533.64 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaff3…6eccbacked Yes | 79c | 11,554$9,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,450.26 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b5…4582backed Yes | 48c | 10,500$5,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,460 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 12c | 9,972$1,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,158.43 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf375…f105backed Yes | 48c | 8,333$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,333.33 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked No | 53c | 7,557$4,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,005 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9772…4867backed Yes | 76c | 7,427$5,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,762.63 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd51…1041backed Yes | 47c | 7,330$3,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,884.79 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Yes | 53c | 7,150$3,778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,371.68 | 96 | 46.9%45 W · 51 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 52c | 6,400$3,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,328 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 52c | 6,317$3,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,036.27 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a63…fc03backed No | 23c | 6,202$1,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,420.3 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 52c | 5,772$3,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,001.44 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a66…ae5ebacked No | 53c | 5,660$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Yes | 48c | 5,250$2,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,730 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb30d…5cf1backed Yes | 78c | 5,117$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,116.58 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked No | 52c | 4,800$2,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,496 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf57e…bbd6backed No | 58c | 4,431$2,556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,555.71 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x379a…5122backed Yes | 47c | 4,255$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,255.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8105…3287backed Yes | 76c | 4,206$3,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,003.16 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc62d…8fd8backed Yes | 48c | 4,102$1,969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,132.87 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ff…79dcbacked Yes | 47c | 3,972$1,867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,105.46 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…abcebacked Yes | 47c | 3,911$1,838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,072.64 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 50c | 3,741$1,854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,854.04 | 264 | 45.5%120 W · 144 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes | 73c | 3,720$2,699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,021.19 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d4e…6478backed Yes | 40c | 3,461$1,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,079.34 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 59c | 3,396$1,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,397.94 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 52c | 3,370$1,751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,751.32 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b5…a2a7backed Yes | 45c | 3,367$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,867.25 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 38cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed No | 52c | 3,204$1,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,665.87 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 53c | 3,017$1,587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,586.56 | 298 | 55.4%165 W · 133 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6f…2653backed No | 53c | 2,830$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -3.4wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4607…d542backed Yes | 46c | 2,826$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,526.09 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed No | 52c | 2,800$1,456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,456 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9212…4040backed Yes | 80c | 2,688$2,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.62 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3358…9072backed Yes | 47c | 2,600$1,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,378 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dea…b021backed No | 53c | 2,595$1,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,375.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf83…248bbacked Yes | 47c | 2,586$1,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,370.58 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +120%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cbc…faebbacked Yes | 49c | 2,527$1,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +106.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Yes | 47c | 2,500$1,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,325 | 157 | 47.1%74 W · 83 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…73bfbacked Yes | 45c | 2,418$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,317.82 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +4.2wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 52c | 2,407$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,259.9 | 287 | 55.1%158 W · 129 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed No | 52c | 2,400$1,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,248 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed No | 51c | 2,368$1,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,207.67 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Yes | 47c | 2,235$1,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,191.21 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26e7…cc6cbacked Yes | 47c | 2,128$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.65 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x689c…6b1ebacked Yes | 46c | 2,083$969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,114.32 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed No | 52c | 2,077$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079.88 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -4.8wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 52c | 2,067$1,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,074.59 | 386 | 46.9%181 W · 205 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked No | 56c | 2,053$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,149.69 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Yes | 80c | 2,052$1,636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.93 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed No | 57c | 2,000$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,149.85 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed No | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Yes | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ac…a2c9backed No | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,039.99 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40b9…b002backed No | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.98 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f28…ff9abacked No | 52c | 1,938$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 64cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8735…db43backed Yes | 75c | 1,871$1,407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked No | 61c | 1,841$1,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,131.79 | 65 | 64.6%42 W · 23 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed No | 54c | 1,838$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 47c | 1,834$863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$971.28 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 52c | 1,600$832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed No | 52c | 1,600$832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 48c | 1,555$746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$808.6 | 71 | 11.3%8 W · 63 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a93…c3eabacked Yes | 48c | 1,527$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$786.79 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 34c | 1,507$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.81 | 407 | 44.5%181 W · 226 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0b…5577backed Yes | 48c | 1,458$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.33 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 35c | 1,448$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.75 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a30…34b1backed Yes | 75c | 1,421$1,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.32 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 69cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Yes | 47c | 1,341$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714.45 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5732…9030backed Yes | 48c | 1,330$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0178…3f7abacked No | 35c | 1,220$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.59 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Yes | 41c | 1,220$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.51 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -5.3wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed Yes | 46c | 1,204$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.08 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No | 52c | 1,200$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed No | 52c | 1,200$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed No | 29c | 1,199$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.66 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed No | 52c | 1,199$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.57 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 51c | 1,169$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.99 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed No | 34c | 1,075$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.94 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a90…1dddbacked Yes | 48c | 1,069$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 50c | 1,055$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.65 | 435 | 32.2%140 W · 295 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d93…b34dbacked Yes | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.67 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed No | 52c | 1,040$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.8 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No | 52c | 1,040$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.8 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 45c | 1,036$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.93 | 113 | 56.6%64 W · 49 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 52c | 1,030$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.56 | 640 | 43.9%281 W · 359 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32f2…7830backed Yes | 46c | 1,010$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.4 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +4.0wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9c07…4529backed Yes | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7906…be5dbacked Yes | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed No | 55c | 999.99$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.04 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-05-16?this page
- Will SV Werder Bremen vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund end in a draw?No won
- Will SV Werder Bremen win on 2026-05-16?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.